website statistics
Jump to content

Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation (Version 2)


 Share

Recommended Posts

145 quotas, 6 months out from Paris 2024, sounds good, but from a Canadian perspective it’s absolutely terrible. Although I was never expecting to match our Tokyo 2020 number (381, our highest ever) with the quotas being reduced significantly, there’s been a number of Olympic qualification events in which we’ve either underperformed or just barely failed to secure a quota. 
 

- Wrestling Worlds, we were expecting quotas in all 6 events, instead we ended up with none. 
 

- Ran Sevens Men’s Olympic Qualifier, lost 14-24 to United States in the final. 

 

- Women’s Volleyball Olympic Qualifying Tournament, finished at 5-2 along with Serbia but they took second spot over us as they had more points. 
 

- Rowing Worlds, Canada has been on a decline, but was expecting more than two quotas (somewhere between 3-4)

 

- Modern Pentathlon at the Pan Am Games, now normally I wouldn’t have high expectations for one of our worst sports but Kelly Fitzsimmons was actually in the lead heading into the laser run portion of the final (and in a really great position for one of two quotas, I believe she was over 20 points ahead of the second NORCECA athlete) but blew it with incredibly poor shooting :facepalm:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, Josh said:

145 quotas, 6 months out from Paris 2024, sounds good, but from a Canadian perspective it’s absolutely terrible. Although I was never expecting to match our Tokyo 2020 number (381, our highest ever) with the quotas being reduced significantly, there’s been a number of Olympic qualification events in which we’ve either underperformed or just barely failed to secure a quota. 
 

- Wrestling Worlds, we were expecting quotas in all 6 events, instead we ended up with none. 
 

- Ran Sevens Men’s Olympic Qualifier, lost 14-24 to United States in the final. 

 

- Women’s Volleyball Olympic Qualifying Tournament, finished at 5-2 along with Serbia but they took second spot over us as they had more points. 
 

- Rowing Worlds, Canada has been on a decline, but was expecting more than two quotas (somewhere between 3-4)

 

- Modern Pentathlon at the Pan Am Games, now normally I wouldn’t have high expectations for one of our worst sports but Kelly Fitzsimmons was actually in the lead heading into the laser run portion of the final (and in a really great position for one of two quotas, I believe she was over 20 points ahead of the second NORCECA athlete) but blew it with incredibly poor shooting :facepalm:

Cross fingers for womens voleyball team. Good luck woth American wrestling QQT.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Biathlonfan said:

Well we got 22 quotas as of right now,i'm not sure much more will be joining,could be the smallest team we ever send to a Summer olympics.

Men’s basketball team, another female athlete in modern pentathlon, a male athlete in modern pentathlon, men’s 3x3 basketball team, women’s 3x3 basketball team all have chances. Not to mention you have a bunch of athletes in athletics, and a couple in swimming that could qualify.

Edited by Josh
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Biathlonfan said:

Well we got 22 quotas as of right now,i'm not sure many more will be joining,could be the smallest team we ever send to a Summer olympics.

At the beginning of the year, I predicted Lithuania to qualify 61 athletes. The biggest factors will be whether or not you guys can qualify a men's basketball team, a men's 3x3 basketball team and a men's 4x200m relay in swimming. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Josh said:

145 quotas, 6 months out from Paris 2024, sounds good, but from a Canadian perspective it’s absolutely terrible. Although I was never expecting to match our Tokyo 2020 number (381, our highest ever) with the quotas being reduced significantly, there’s been a number of Olympic qualification events in which we’ve either underperformed or just barely failed to secure a quota. 
 

- Wrestling Worlds, we were expecting quotas in all 6 events, instead we ended up with none. 
 

- Ran Sevens Men’s Olympic Qualifier, lost 14-24 to United States in the final. 

 

- Women’s Volleyball Olympic Qualifying Tournament, finished at 5-2 along with Serbia but they took second spot over us as they had more points. 
 

- Rowing Worlds, Canada has been on a decline, but was expecting more than two quotas (somewhere between 3-4)

 

- Modern Pentathlon at the Pan Am Games, now normally I wouldn’t have high expectations for one of our worst sports but Kelly Fitzsimmons was actually in the lead heading into the laser run portion of the final (and in a really great position for one of two quotas, I believe she was over 20 points ahead of the second NORCECA athlete) but blew it with incredibly poor shooting :facepalm:

Don't worry for your women's volleyball team, they will qualify in the end. Dutch volleyball women are masters in screwing up qualifications for the Games. Besides that, Canada simply has a better team with a few exceptional players, while the Dutch team no longer has any real stars like Sloetjes, De Kruijff or Flier.

 

Speaking of The Netherlands, already 142 quota! Depends on handball, football and volleyball women if we exceed the number of 200 athletes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, CCB said:

Don't worry for your women's volleyball team, they will qualify in the end. Dutch volleyball women are masters in screwing up qualifications for the Games. Besides that, Canada simply has a better team with a few exceptional players, while the Dutch team no longer has any real stars like Sloetjes, De Kruijff or Flier.

 

Speaking of The Netherlands, already 142 quota! Depends on handball, football and volleyball women if we exceed the number of 200 athletes.

I don't have high hopes about the volleyball and football teams qualifying, but hopefully the handball team will be there!

 

If all three somehow qualify we could exceed our Tokyo squad probably, because we had no volleyball team then. I don't think we're losing any major quotas compared to last time.

And in the best case we will hopefully also add a womens archery team and 3x3 basketball team.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • These games will officially be held from July 16 - August 1
    • Not yet although around half of the territory is filled with snowy mountains during winter.   But hey at least we got our first medal in Winter sports, thanks Italy    
    • day 11   75. SPEED SKATING - M Team Pursuit   1. Italy 2. United States 3. Norway   76. SPEED SKATING - W Team Pursuit   1. Netherlands 2. Japan 3. United States   77. FREESTYLE SKIING - M Freeski Big Air   1. Alexander Hall USA 2. Marc Forehand USA 3. Birk Ruud NOR   78. SNOWBOARD - W Snowboard Slopestyle   1. Kokomo Murase JPN 2. Reira Iwabuchi JPN 3. Julia Marino USA   79. BOBSLEIGH - M Two   1. Francesco Friedrich GER 2. Johannes Lochner GER 3. Michael Vogt SUI   80. BIATHLON - M 4x7.5km Relay   1. Norway 2. France 3. Germany   81. NORDIC COMBINED - M 10km Individual (Large Hill)   1. Jan Magnus Riiber NOR 2. Kristjan Ilves EST 3. Stefan Rettenegger AUT       12-9-10---31 11-9-7---27 10-7-10---27 7-8-5---20 6-5-11---22 6-4-3---13 5-10-9---24 5-6-2---13 5-4-3---12 4-7-3---14 3-2-4---9 2-1-1---4 2-1-1---4 1-2-1---4 1-1-1---3 1-0-0---1 0-1-3---4 0-1-3---4 0-1-1---2 0-1-0---1 0-1-0---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1 0-0-1---1
    • Unfortunate, but it doesn't change the fact that I'm looking forward to Thursday evening, when the team captain's meeting is over and we have our very first World Cup start list of the season. Always a cool moment to see who's there and everything  
    • Today I unpacked some of the boxes in which we have put my way too many books to move to our house, and I came across these beauty's I hadn't seen for a while     Absolutely recommended, tough to get for a decent price, but they are such an interesting read with lots of very interesting little stories! Still looking for at least 1900, 1904 and 1906, but not really in the right moment to spend money on that now, so the wait goes on  
    • Which I guess is part of why unfortunately 'our' first wild card attempt of the season was rejected last week  
    • The next chapter in the Krasnobaeva saga is upon us.   Looks like  Armenia have cut ties with her after only a few weeks. A person from their Federation has said, that they won't continue the relationship, because of her unprofessional and rude attitude towards the coaches and other officials. That includes: - having no respect to the coaches and their advise; - training without any motivation; - stops doing the routine and throws objects without any reason; - just lays on the floor and ignores the music.   When this was escalated with her mother, she mentioned that "Elvira has a strong temper and she was the same in Bulgaria and they tolerated her". Which of course is complete BS. If anyone attempted this shit here, they would be thrown out immediately.   And now  are wanting from her mother to return all finances they gave them, which she is refusing, so they will probably sue them. They will also inform other RG Federations about this situation, so they don't hire them.   My 2 cents on this is most likely Krasnobaeva was happy in BG and was forced out by her mother, so now she is sabotaging the move and be done with it.
    • Honestly Ruka is my favourite World Cup event of the whole season. Everybody is there. Later on there is always someone who skips one weekend or another . Not everybody takes part in Tour de ski. But here everyone shows up.
×
×
  • Create New...