1. Dressage, Team (inspite of wimming "only" Bronze at the World Championships. Von Bredow Werndl is back, and IMO they are clear favourites. It's the only one I feel almost positive about one year before the championships)
2. Jessica von Bredow Werndl, Dressage individual
3. Florian Wellbrock, Open Water Swimming
4. Malaika Mihambo, Long Jump (Her injury should be minor enough for her to be back in shape next year. It will still be difficult, but I do think she has a good chance)
5. Leonie Beck, Open Water Swimming (Maybe. I am torn with Michael Jung in eventing and Ricarda Funk in canoe slalom, but in both of these sports, one small mistake can basically throw you out of the competition, so that's risky)