De_Gambassi

Yes, it might be also the last world pentathlon event featuring horses ?

Theoretically, yes, but we all can see how easy is it to abuse the system. (and in the last know case, Thibus BF is actually a former olympic fencer, so, yeah...)

En utilisant le même système qu'ici, c'est à dire en donnant une chance de médaille définie selon leur place au ranking* à chaque membre du Top 8 de chaque épreuve (Top 5 pour le titre), voilà le tableau des médailles française que je trouve pour chaque sport. *Dans certains cas, comme l'aviron ou la gym, il n'y existe aucun classement digne de ce nom, j'ai alors repris les classements du dernier championnat du monde. Ce qui n'est pas une méthode extraordinaire, mais c'est mieux que rien. Sport Médaille Titre Athlétisme 3,7 0,7 Aviron 0,5 0,1 Badminton 0,0 0,0 Boxe 2,7 0,6 Breaking 0,5 0,2 Canoë-Kayak 3,4 0,9 Cyclisme 7,9 2,5 Equitation 2,2 0,8 Escalade 0,5 0,0 Escrime 5,6 1,9 Golf 0,2 0,0 Gym 0,8 0,2 Haltérophilie 0,2 0,0 Judo 5,1 1,2 Lutte 1,0 0,2 Natation 6,3 2,1 Pentathlon 0,0 0,0 Plongeon 0,3 0,1 Skate/Surf 0,6 0,1 Sports Co 5,4 1,9 Tennis 0,2 0,0 Tir 3,9 1,4 Tir Arc 0,6 0,2 Triathlon 2,8 1,2 Tennis de Table 1,1 0,3 Taekwondo 1,6 0,7 Voile 2,4 0,9 Total 59,0 17,6 Je suis curieux de savoir à quel point ceci sera proche de la réalité ? Mieux que Gracenote ?

I won't either and I'm on my personal phone. God knows, i wish there was a définitive way to determine the origin of a drug found. I'm so fucking tired of these "the 5 terminal cancer grandma pastas were fed to the family dog of the neighbor which actually happen to be the father of my dead brother' and tada, see, I'm clean.

How come does he know how long this drug will remain in his body ?

[hide] General (15) 1 - Pacific Island nations in Oceania (including New Zealand, not Australia) will win more medals than Caribbean nations. 2 - At least six south american nations will medal. 3 - At least two NOCs will win their first olympic medal. 4 - Mexico will finish higher than Colombia in the medal table. 2 5 - At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia. 6 - Will Italy and the Netherlands win more total gold medals than France. 7 - Will Ethiopia finish in the top 20 of the medal count? (Tie for 20th =Yes). 8 - At least one individual podium from Tokyo 2020 will be repeated (same people in the same positions). 9 - At least one individual medallist from Beijing 2008 will win an individual medal. 3 10 - Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) will win a combined total of 10 or more medals. 10 11 - Denmark will end with 5 (all-time best) or more Gold medals. 9 12 - Bosnia&Herzegovina or Albania will win their first Olympic medal. 5 13 - Hong Kong will finish above Chinese Taipei on the Medal Table. 5 14 - Indonesia and Thailand will be only two countries/NOCs from Southeast Asia that will win gold medals from this region. 15 - Top three Asian nations at the overall medal table placement: China, Japan, South Korea. 12 Aquatics - Diving (2) 16 - North Korea will win at least one medal. 7 17 - The four chinese synchronized teams will win with at least 172 points in total to their opponents in second places in the four synchronized events. For comparison the chinese synchronized teams have won with 173,58 points (WCH 2023) and 170,86 points (WCH 2024). Aquatics - Swimming (8) 18 - Australia will win more gold medals than the USA. 10 19 - Summer McIntosh will win four or more medals. 20 - The winner of the women's 100m Backstroke will go under 57 seconds. 21 - Leon Marchand will win 2 or more gold medals. 7 22 - One of Caeleb Dressel, Kristof Milak or Adam Peaty will win an individual gold medal. 12 23 - An athlete will make a false start during one of the finals sessions. 5 24 - Australia will win a medal in all 7 relays. 8 25 - There will be a podium consisting of only junior swimmers (all born in 2006 or younger). 12 Aquatics - Synchronized Swimming (1) 26 - At least one NOC will win its first Olympic medal. 6 Aquatics - Water Polo (2) 27 - The USA women's team will lose a match. 6 28 - Only one nation will reach the semifinals in both competitions. 3 Archery (2) 29 - At least one non-Asian country will win a gold medal in any event. 30 - South Korea will only win one gold medal. 11 Athletics (10) 31 - Men’s 100m- These three USA sprinters (N.Lyles/K.Bednarek/F.Kerley) will reach the final . 32 - Italy will win at least 5 medals. 33 - Canada will win both hammer throw events. 34 - Norway will be in the top 5 of medal table. 12 35 - Only one athlete will defend his/her Tokyo gold medal (relays excluded). 8 36 - Eritrea will win at least one medal. 11 37 - Ukraine will win more than one medal in women's high jump. 38 - At least one of the medal winners in any relay will later be disqualified due to a wrong exchange or crossing the line to another lane. 39 - France will win more gold medals than Great Britain . 9 40 - Finland will win more medals than Sweden. 12 Badminton (2) 41 - Three seeded players will be eliminated in the group stage. 2 42 - Gregoria Tunjung will win a medal. Basketball (2) 43 - Men's Tournament - United States will lose the gold medal match. 11 44 - Women's Tournament - Two different continents will be represented in the gold medal match. 12 Basketball 3x3 (2) 45 - Women's Tournament - The podium will consist of NOCs from three different continents. 7 46 - Men's Tournament - There will be one NOC who will win all its matches in the group stage. Boxing (3) 47 - Ireland will be the NOC who will win most medals among European NOCs. 3 48 - Cuba will fail to win any medal. 49 - Australia will win more than 1 medal. Breakdance (2) 50 - B-Girls event- D. Bancevic (LTU) (B-Girl Nicka) or A. Fukushima (JPN) (B-Girl Ayumi) will win the gold medal. 51 - B-Boys event- The final matchup will be P. Kim (CAN) (B-Boy Phil Wizard) vs. V. Montalvo (USA) (B-Boy Victor). Canoeing - Slalom (2) 52 - At least 2 non-European NOCs will win a medal. 53 - In either women's W K1 & W C1, at least one winner of the qualification will fail to advance to the final from semifinal. 4 Canoeing - Sprint (2) 54 - In at least one of the K1-events for women or men, a NOC will win gold and silver. 4 55 - Germany will top the medal table. 9 Cycling - BMX (2) 56 - France will have all three male riders in the BMX racing Olympic final. 2 57 - United States will win 1 medal or less in the BMX freestyle events. 4 Cycling - Mountain Bike (2) 58 - Switzerland will win at least one gold and silver medal. 9 59 - A non-European NOC will win at least one medal. 3 Cycling - Road (2) 60 - Men's - The Benelux-countries (Belgium, Luxembourg and Netherlands) will win at least 3 medals. 11 61 - Women's - There will be 3 different NOCs on the podium in the women's road race. 9 Cycling - Track (3) 62 - Harrie Lavreysen will not lose a single race/heat (including qualification and knockout) in the individual spint. 1 63 - France will not win gold medal. 6 64 - European NOCs will win at least 9 out of the 12 medals in the sprint events for both men and women, individual and team. Equestrian (2) 65 - At least two out of the three defending Olympic gold medallist in the three team events from Tokyo 2020 will defend their gold medals. 66 - The medalists in the individual dressage event will also win a medal in the team dressage event. 4 Fencing (3) 67 - Team events - At least one of the African NOC's will win its quarterfinal match and advance to a semfinal. 9 68- Individual events - At least 2 out of the 6 individual 2023 world champions will win gold. 69 - Either France, Hungary, Italy or fencers from these NOCs will be presented at every podium. 8 Field Hockey (2) 70 - The top scorer of the women's competition will be a dutch player. 1 71 - Great Britain will win a medal (men's or women's). Football (2) 72 - Spain will at least win either the women's or men's gold medal. 73 - At least one player born 2000 or before will receive a red card in the men's tournament. Golf (1) 74 - USA will not win a medal in either women's or men's event. Gymnastics - Artistic (3) 75 - At least two NOCs will win their first Olympic medal. 10 76 - Men's - Daiki Hashimoto will be the only male gymnasts to defend an olympic title in one of the individual events. 3 77 - Women's - Qiu Qiyuan will win at least two medals in the apparatus events. Gymnastics - Rhythmic (1) 78 - Bulgaria will defend their Olympic title in the team event. 11 Gymnastics - Trampoline (1) 79 - China will win gold in both men's and women's event. Handball (2) 80 - Men's - France will defend its Olympic gold from Tokyo 2020. 81 - Women's - France will not make the final. 9 Judo (3) 82 - At least one athlete will win gold by winning all fights by Ippon. 83 - France will win more gold medals than Japan. 84 - Japan will win the team event. Modern Pentathlon (2) 85 - Egypt will fail to win any medals in both men's and women's events. 5 86 - At least one of the two defending Olympic gold medallists (Joe Choong and Kate French) will defend their gold medal. 9 Rowing (2) 87 - Romania will win at least 5 medals. 88 - Netherlands will top the medal table. 7 Rugby Sevens (2) 89 - The women's final will feature Australia and New Zealand. 8 90 - At least one medal match will be decided in extra-time. 4 Sailing (3) 91 - France, Netherlands and Italy will be the top 3 NOCs in the medal table. 11 92 - Maximilian Maeder will win Singapore's first Olympic medal in Sailing. 2 93 - Great Britain will not win any medals in men's events. 2 Shooting (3) 94 - China will win Gold in 50% or more (7+ Gold) of the total events. 12 95 - India will win at least 3 medals. 4 96 - At least one NOC will win more than one medal in a single mixed team event. Skateboard (2) 97 - Teenagers (age 19 or younger) will win every gold medal in the skateboarding events. 12 98 - There will not be a medalists from the Tokyo 2020-podiums in skateboarding street events that will be at the podiums in Paris 2024. 10 Sport Climbing (2) 99 - The women’s lead semi final will have more tops than the final. 100 - Men's speed climbing podium will consist of only Asian NOCs. Surfing (2) 101 - A European NOC will win at least one medal. 9 102 - At least one medallist will have been through Round 2. 3 Table Tennis (2) 103 - Wang/Sun (CHN) will lose maximum one set during the mixed double tournament. 2 104 - France will be only non-Asian NOC to win a medal. Taekwondo (2) 105 - The NOC to win most medals will at maximum win 3 medals in total. 106 - There will not be a NOC who will win two or more gold medals. 8 Tennis (2) 107 - At least one player (man or woman) that has never advanced further than the round of 16 at the French Open singles tournament will win a singles medal in Paris 2024. 108 - An unseeded team will make final in women's doubles event. 5 Triathlon (2) 109 - Mixed Relay event - The difference between the 1st-placed and 2nd-placed NOCs will be less than 12 seconds. 8 110 - France will win an individual medal in either men's or women's event. 12 Volleyball - Indoor (2) 111 - Men's - Poland will win at least a silver medal. 112 - A team from the Asian Volleyball Confederation will win a medal (men's or women's). Volleyball - Beach (2) 113 - Women’s event- A North American duo (USA/CAN) will win the gold medal. 114 - Men’s event- Bryl/Losiak (POL) will advance further in the tournament than Diaz/Alayo (CUB)? (If both are eliminated at the same stage e.g. Round of 16, then “No” will count). 4 Weightlifting (2) 115 - United States will be placed 2nd in the medal table. 8 116 - At least two world records will be broken (snatch, clean and jerk or overall). 4 Wrestling (4) 117 - Kyrgyzstan will win at least one gold medal (first Olympic gold in their history). 118 - Freestyle - Albania will win a medal. 119 - Greco-Roman - At least 4 out 6 finals will be decided within a one point difference (Example: 2-1, 3-2... or 1-1, 2-2..etc.) . 3 120 - Women's - Japan will win medals in at least 5 classes. [/hide]

I mean, Thibus actually had sex with her BF... Not sure if she wants to take that road.

The day of pleading for your pardon is getting closer

I don't think 60-65 medals for France is that much of an overestimation. Myself, I'm about 55-60 medals and I was trying to keep my expectations down. Gold medals is another subject though.

T'es exigent. Je me satisferais de 18-20 médailles d'or. Pour ce qui est de Gracenote, les 6 médailles d'or en judo me paraissent bien trop optimistes, Mathilde Gros impossible et les 2 titres sur canasson improbables.

Le détail des prédictions de Gracenote est disponible ! Les 29 médailles d'or qui bous sont gracieusement offertes : Luka Mkheidze (judo) Teddy Riner (judo) Shirine Boukli (judo) Amandine Buchard (judo) Clarisse Agbegnenou (judo) Romane Dicko (judo) Marie-Florence Candassamy (Escrime, épée) Romain Cannone (Escrime, épée) Epée par équipe H Sabre par équipe F Léon Marchand (Natation, 200 4N) Léon Marchand (Natation, 400 4N) Mathilde Gros (Piste, vitesse) Benjamin Thomas (Piste, omnium) Handball H Handball F Magda Wiet-Hénin (TWD) Althéa Laurin (TWD) Léo Bergère (Triathlon) Relais Mixte (Triathlon) Lauriane Nolot (Voile, Kite) Joris Daudet (BMX) Sofiane Oumiha (Boxe) Clément Bessaguet (Tir, pistolet 25m) Pauline Ferrand-Prevot (VTT) Basket 3x3 F Vincent Milou (Skate, street) Saut par équipe CC par équipe

In the meantime, this was by faaaaaaaaaaar the post liked post. (never heard of him)

First, there was nothing, then a boat came in Marseille and the hype was growing, then our président got bored and decided it was the perfect time to have a snap election and there was nothing again. Now, it's getting back.

Comparison of today's performances (given in w/kgs) versus 2022 perfomances. Pogacar and Jonas-i-was-almost-dead-two-weeks-ago-vingegaard are pulling stuff we have never seen before and a guy like Landa is basically as good as the 2022 version of the two aliens. Ok.

Do you have the numbers per sport ? Wiki has it at 360, that's a huge margin.

Yes, two years later, let's do exactly that What people predicted vs what happened (I've only used first prediction by people as some have did multiple ones) Nation Prediction Reality % Off @Siddhartha Talukdar 112,5 113 0 % @Topicmaster1010 60 60 0 % @Dnl 87,5 88 -1 % @vinipereira 278,5 277 1 % @Agger 122 123 -1 % @phelps 372,5 381 -2 % @intoronto 309 318 -3 % @Vic Liu 400 388 3 % @LDOG 145 136 6 % @De_Gambassi 532 571 -7 % @Makedonas 112 101 10 % @Vektor 150 170 -13 % @TeamGB 375 327 13 % @Rafa Maciel 380 327 14 % @Andry84 325 381 -17 % @Josh 410 318 22 % @Werloc 77 50 35 % @hckošice 45 28 38 % We have a surprisingly high number of people who were almost 100% correct Edit: Italian numbers were off (dam you wiki, I'll check other numbers)

Des nouvelles de l'un de nos deux athlètes sous astérisque Aucune idée du temps demandé par la fédé pour prouver sa compétitivité.

I meant specifically for the Olympics. IOC said nothing on the matter AFAIK.

Is there any particular rule regarding covid this year ?

I'm guessing (just guessing) that Cosnefroy would have been an Alaphilippe bis. There, the four riders would each have a different role.

He was no candidate. And really, if one basketball player was to be chosen, I'would had been Batum. Basically, we always go with stories over star material (that's one for the sociologists here). Edit: if any native english speaker could tell me if this sentence is grammatically correct, I'll appreciate that

French selection has been out for a few days There as been a bit of noise in french fans circles about the absence of Benoit Cosnefroy.

Une seule médaille en tir serait une sacrée contre-performance au vu de toutes les cartes dont on dispose.

On est clairement tous les 3 dans les mêmes eaux, avec une moyenne à ~57 médailles.

Today's ITW translated with Deepl. Make it what you want.