OlympicsFan

Overall i would consider most of the predictions pretty good, but i am not sure about the following predictions for overall medals: - 3.45 medals for Sweden: Unless i am forgetting something, their absolute best case would be 4 medals for Sjöstrom (50 free, 100 free, 200 free, 100 fly). She is pretty much a lock in the 100 fly, but it isn't even certain that she will compete in the 200 free and in the 50 free and especially the 100 free she isn't a lock for a medal. I would consider 2.5 medals a more realistic prediction. - 1.90 medals for France: Right now i would say 1 medal in total seems to be the most realistic prediction for them, probably for Manaudou in the 50 free (although he will have to beat at least two out of Fratus, Dressel, Morozov and Proud). They have other medal contenders (men's open water, men's 800 free), but i don't think that those 3 (the two mentioned before + Manaudou) combined are likely to win 2 (1.90 to be precise) medals. - 0.74 medals for South Africa: I think you are underrating their medal chances. Le Clos (100 fly + 200 fly) and Schoenmaker (200 breast) should combine for an expected medal count of around 1.50 in my opinion. - 0.69 medals for Lithuania: I think right now Rapsys has to be considered the favorite for gold in the 200 free and i don't see 3 other guys who are more likely to medal in the 400 free right now. I would have them at 1.25 medals or something like that. - 5.25 medals for Hungary: 5 medals realistically seems to be the best case for them in my opinion (2 x men's 200 fly, women's 200 IM, women's 400 IM, women's 200 fly). Kesely (400 free), Hosszu (200 back) and Milak (100 fly) have outside chances for more medals, but on the other hand 2 medals in men's 200 fly and a medal in women's 200 fly are far from certain. I would say their expected number of medals is closer to 4.50. - 6.32 medals for Canada: 7.50 seems more realistic in my opinion. 3 medals in the relays on the women's side are almost a lock (at least the 2 medals in the 400 free relay and the medley relay), the same is true for a medal in women's 100 fly and then you also have (very) good medal chances in women's 100 free, women's 200 free, women's 200 breast, women's 100 back, women's 200 back, women's 200 IM and women's 400 IM. - 7.91 medals for Italy: I really don't see how Italy should win 8 medals? Men's 400 free, men's 800 free, men's 1500 free, women's 200 free, women's 800 free, women's 1500 free, women's 200 back. Those medals aren't all a lock (especially men's 400 free, women's 200 free, women's 200 back), but of course on the other hand they have (outside) chances in other events like women's open water and men's 100 breast. Overall i would consider something like 6.50 or 7.00 a more realistic value. In the end it is still a long time until the olympics and i am sure a lot of things will change until then, so probably it is still too early for predictions like that to be taken too seriously, although of course it will be interesting to compare the actual medal table to your predictions. When/how often (if at all) will you update your predictions?

Surprisingly dominant performance by Germany against the Netherlands today, Henk Groener is really doing an amazing job. I think a major reason why the Netherlands are so amazing in team sports (at least on the womens side) is that they have great coaches, Germany could learn a lot from them. It is kind of sad that Germany needs to hire a dutch coach to play successful handball again ... I think with one more win (hopefully against Serbia) Germany should be guaranteed at least the 3rd place in this group and the 6th place overall, but maybe this team can keep overperforming and qualify for the olympics right here, although of course Germany wouldn't be the favorite in a possible semifinal/final. I think there arent many team sports (on the womens side) where it is realistic for the reigning world (and european) champion to not even make the top 12 at world championships, but i am not sure whether this is a sign that the overall level in womens handball is very high?

How is this a TV show?

I haven't watched it, but this take still seems rather "creative" in my mind ... It's rating on IMDb isn't great and after all it is a show about superheroes ... https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7049682/ Have you watched "The Boys" yet? Based on the reviews many people seem to think that Watchmen isn't even the best TV show about superheroes currently running. I have to say that for me there currently isn't much going on when it comes to TV shows. Curb, Fargo, Rick & Morty, True Detective, Modern Family and Better Call Saul are all on a break and for me there really isn't a "must-watch" TV show right now (although many seem to consider "Stranger Things" just that). I just finished watching "Fleabag" and it was ok (better than must other current shows), now i am watching "Vikings" and it is quite entertaining, despite being far worse quality-wise than shows like "The Sopranos", "The Wire" or "Breaking Bad" (but i guess that is true for 99 % of all shows).

3:51 low for Germany in men's team pursuit, a new national record. Realistically we could have 4 teams under the old world record by 2020 ...

Very good draw for Germany. They should field the strongest team in their tournament (especially with Wagner, Bonga and Hartenstein all being one year older), but if they underperform like they did this year, then every other team can beat them. Serbia should be safe (although Italy also has a pretty good team), in tournament B it could be close between Lithuania and Slovenia (but only if Doncic will play). Tournament D is absolutely brutal, Greece and Canada (if they play with their best team) would have been favorites in all other tournaments except for tournament A and Turkey also has a decent team (at least on paper). In my opinion Canada clearly has the 2nd best guard rotation in the world (only behind the US), but their big man situation looks pretty dire, maybe Greece (Giannis) can hurt them there, but Giannis hasn't been spectacular at FIBA level and Milwaukee is very likely to go far in the postseason, so if Canada will play with at least 2 or 3 of their top guards (Alexander-Walker, Murray, RJ, Gilgeous-Alexander, Lyles, Wiggins) they should win their tournament. Only Murray should go far in the postseason, so all the other guys probably will have no excuse to not participate. I would say tournament C is by far the most unpredictable, at least 4 teams could win that tournament.

1) It is not the beginning, we had many major competitions over there before (for example cycling or artistic gymnastics world championships) and i hope this development will stop. 2) Very unlikely that more sport fans will be willing to travel halfway around the world to a country where it is almost impossible to find alcohol (at a reasonable price), where women are treated like shit and where you basically cant leave your hotel room without risking your health. 3) Please god prevent any official from being stupid (corrupt) enough to give a (major) competition to Saudi Arabia ... whats next ... giving a world championship to North Korea?

Not sure about Eugene ... how big is the stadium and what was the attendance for the US trials this year for example?

Womens long jump was below level when Mihambos winning mark was the best female performance of the whole competition (based on IAAF points) ... ? Also what makes womens long jump worse than mens 200 m, mens 400 m, mens 5000 m, mens 110 m hurdles, mens 400 m hurdles, mens discus throw, mens hammer throw, mens decathlon, womens 200 m, womens 800 m, womens shot put, womens hammer throw or womens javelin throw?

Really sad to see how far Germany has falllen, even Spain and Switzerland are better now ... With more than 80 million people Germany should always be easily top 8.

Completely delusional ...

I think based on the individual times Jamaica should have won silver. Polish relay is pretty old, so they got a lot of experience.

Congrats, silver for Poland is very surprising, but i dont know why you didnt predict a medal for Jamaica?

I am very surprised by this result, i thought that Jamaica would easily win silver, but Poland never fails to surprise in events like that.

It is great to see that you havent lost your humor, but which athletes exactly are supposed to win medals for you in Tokyo?

Cool, but does anyone really care nowadays? Its not like he is a legend like Stefan Holm, Javier Sotomayor or Ivan Ukhov.

I have heard of him before, but didnt know about his country. In general i try not to follow doped up events without german participation.

6 medals is a really disappointing result for Germany. Germany should have won at least 9 medals and 5 of them in gold. I hope that german athletes will perform better in Tokyo.

Never heard of that country before, so i just assumed it was in Africa.

Another sensational medal for Africa in javelin throw after Yego and Walcott. I hope this motivates the german athletes for Tokyo. Looking at the past 2 seasons only 1 bronze is super disappointing for Germany.

Very disappointing session for Nigeria, only 1 bronze instead of 1 silver (by Brume) and 1 silver/bronze (by Amusan), also Okagbare and Oduduru were pretty disappointing. Their athletes seem like even bigger chokers than the german athletes.

Vetter not winning gold would be another massive disappointment for Germany, but at this point him not winning a medal seems more likely than him winning gold.

In theory yes, but in reality thats extremely unlikely, i dont think she would have made it past the qualification. By your logic there are also a couple of hundred guys who could have won the marathon here.

There is a good chance in my opinion. After the heat was turned on in Kenya, many of the italian managers/coaches moved to Uganada, so i think Uganada will become stronger in the next couple of years.

Ese Brume is one of my favorite athletes, too bad her federation is such a joke. Maybe there is a chance for Cyprus to naturalize her? I would have liked to see her winning gold, but maybe next year.