JoshMartini007

I see only one non-Northern African athlete in Greco-Roman, Namibia in -66kg. Not too surprised since the region dominates Greco-Roman in the continent, but I thought other nations would at least attempt to compete. Where's Nigeria? They could have challenge for the spots.

At this rate France's team will be non-existent.

Only one athlete from Turkmenistan remains. He'll have to beat a fellow -stan nation in order to qualify.

Does he still compete? I had him before, but I couldn't find any results in 2015 so I thought he retired.

He (or someone else) needs to get 10 UCI points before they are allowed to be selected.

If you're giving Germany a chance I'd give France a chance. Most likely it will go to Russia. The Canada/Russia match on the first day may be very decisive (winner becomes the big favourite to finish second in the group.

How did Papua New Guinea get the 3 seed in the -75kg? He's not event the best boxer in Oceania.

True we would have been underdogs against all three of those teams, but morale is a factor in sport and Canada is going in with low morale against a team with high morale just to make things harder.

Shame, it was going to be hard no matter who our quarterfinal opponent was, but finishing fourth and facing the winner of Russia/Italy is pretty close to worse case scenario.

No New Zealand player in the women's table tennis Oceania qualifier, most likely Fiji will qualify.

Update (Remove) Men's 100m (athletics)

Assuming nations pick the higher ranked boat it looks like all three women's single sculls boats will be reallocated (poor El Salvador). For the men's things get complicated, with this assumption Brazil will pick their lightweight double sculls and the single sculls spot will go to Venezuela while Mexico will take its single sculls spot thus giving the lightweight double sculls spot to Chile. Chile however, finished fourth in both the single and lightweight double sculls boats. Should Paraguay somehow fail to get one of the reallocation spots they will be the very heavy favourite to one of the tripartite spots. Should Paraguay qualify normally the tripartite spot will become more open with Honduras becoming the favourite in this region (Bolivia, Nicaragua and St. Vincent and the Grenadines are the only other eligible boats which competed here).

The federation wants to qualify as many nations to the Olympics. It's also unfair that Canada and US can't compete here (or Australia and New Zealand in Asia/Oceania).

That's good, it makes sense that Caribbean nations would take an interest in rowing, especially former British colonies.

It's not formally rejected, New Zealand can still give the quota to someone else

Hopefully Canada can upset Greece or Spain and finish at least third in the group. Fourth place is no good and even third would put us as an underdog.

I decided to do a comparison between this format and the 2012 format. As a reminder the continental qualifiers gave Africa 50 spots (+2 tripartites) to be used across the 10 men's events (some events got 6, others 5 and others 2), for every athlete qualified in the respective event from a different event one less would go to the continental qualifier. Algeria qualified two athletes outside of the continental route therefore Africa had 48 quotas. For 2016 Africa received 30 quotas, 3 per event. 13 different nations qualified here while 19 qualified during the 2012 qualifiers. If you adjust for the quota difference 16 would have qualified assuming everything was equal. Uganda and Lesotho qualified athletes after failing to qualify in 2012 while Ghana (4) and Gabon (2) were the nations which qualified multiple athletes in 2012 yet failed to qualify in 2016. One thing that surprised me is that I thought the top nations would retain their quotas better while the lower nations would suffer from the lower quotas for the continent, but after adjustment the only top nation which did better was Algeria (qualified 5, 2012 adjusted was 4) while Morocco, Cameroon and Egypt stayed the same.

We were talking only about the continental qualifiers, Algeria qualified two out of those seven men in other categories.

The formula would be... (8/8*6/7*4/6)^5

Correct. So there isn't really a fair way to do this. Also Morocco is the only nation majorly benefiting from the current format as all of the other African/American nations have not qualified more than 5 men/2 women (~50%, like in taekwondo). Seems like a lot of work just to lower quotas for one nation (maybe there might be a couple more for Europe/Asia)

6.1%, not likely, but still possible I guess.

If you allow all of them to participate in the qualification tournament then you won't get an idea on who actually deserves to go. Weren't we complaining about South Africa competing here despite knowing full well they wouldn't compete in the Olympics? At least in taekwondo only two athletes compete in the qualification tournament.

I disagree, why should an athlete be not only the best at their event for their nation, but be better than someone in a different event? It opens up corruption (how can you measure whether someone is better in the light flyweight vs. the bantamweight?), weakens the overall field and could shrink the interest of the sport in some nations.

Overall it was a good day for Japan, winning 3/4 available quotas for them.

Congrats to Honduras and Trinidad and Tobago for qualifying. Also congrats to our girls, hopefully one of them can pick up a medal at the Olympics.