AIN athletes qualification for Milano Cortina 2026 Olympic Games and possible reallocation of quotas

[avlar 474]

I did not think it would happen again but...

I created similar post for Paris - 2024 https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/27489-ain-athletes-qualification-for-paris-2024-olympic-games-and-reallocation-of-quotas-post1-updated-1507/#comments 
I was not sure if that reallocations would really happen but the reality was even more serious than the expectations.
According to this research 43% of the neutral statuses issued by the IFs were fake AIN  - https://razom22.com/neutrality-research/ 
And the figures are based on the IOC decisions - not on the evaluations by Ukrainian NOC or sport ministry.

Right now the situation is absolutely unclear. As usually ))

Some notes:
1. Russians will not reject quotas for 2026 as they did for 2024 in judo and wrestling.

2. AINERP may be more loyal to russians due to the new member - Watanabe. His federation issued AIN status to Melnikova who took part in the primaries of the russian ruling party, had phots with Z and e .t.c.

3. I do not expect a lot of reallocations becaues of the total small number of the rus/blr athletes in qualification events right now.

4. BUT, even with these small numbers we see that FIS allowed to compete several incompliant persons. 
 

 

 

Short notes from the IOC statement before Paris - 2024:

 

1. IOC`s decisions to reject quotas are final.

2. IOC`s decisions to approve quotas are not final - new facts may lead to the rejection of invitation.

3. IOC`s decisions cannot be appealed - NOCs were not invited to the Games, so it is a good will to invite individual athletes... or not

 

 

* - provisional, waiting for formailities 

russians

Sports	Athlete(s)	Discipline	Possible Reallocation	NOC	IOC Decision + IF reallocation if happened
Figure skating	Adeliia PETROSIAN	Women's singles	Stefania Yakovleva		Confirmed by IOC
Figure skating	Petr GUMENNIK	Men's singles	Davide Lewton Brain		Confirmed by IOC
Cross country	Dariya NEPRYAEVA *	Cross country W	?		Pending
Cross country	Savelii KOROSTELEV *	Cross country M	?		Pending
Speed Skating	Kseniia KORZHOVA	3000 m	Greta Myers		Pending
Speed Skating	Anastasiia SEMENOVA	Mass Start	Julia Nizan		Pending
Short Track	Alena KRYLOVA	500 m, 1000 m	1500(W)		Confirmed by IOC
Short Track	Ivan POSASHKOV	1000 m, 1500m	1500(W)		Confirmed by IOC
Ski mountaineering	Nikita FILIPPOV	Sprint	?	?	Confirmed by IOC
Luge	Pavel REPILOV *	Men's singles	Mirza Nikolajev		Pending
Luge	Daria OLESIK *	Women's singles	Elsa Desmond		Pending
Alpine Skiing	Julia PLESHKOVA * OR Ekaterina TKACHENKO	DH OR SL,GS	?	?	Pending
Alpine Skiing	Aleksander ANDRIENKO * OR Simon EFIMOV OR Ivan KUZNETSOV	GS OR SL OR GS	?	?	Pending

belorussians

 

 

Sports	Athlete(s)	Discipline	Possible Reallocation	NOC	IOC Decision + IF reallocation if happened
Figure skating	Viktoriya SAFONOVA	Women's singles	Stefania Yakovleva		Confirmed by IOC
Speed Skating	Marina ZUEVA	3000 m  5000m	Greta Myers Violette Braun		Pending
Cross country	Hanna MACHAKHINA *	Cross country W	?	?	Pending
Alpine Skiing	Maria SHKANOVA *	SL	?	?	Pending
Freestyle	Hanna HUSKOVA *	Aerials W	Anna Derugo Rosalie Gagnon		Pending

 

Edited 2 hours ago by avlar

[avlar 474]

As we are approaching the end of qualification period I have updated the list of AIN`s and possible reallocations.

 

1. Right now there are 13 russian and 5 belorussian athletes with Olympic quotas.

Luge quotas are under investigation + next WC is needed  for proper number of runs.

Freestyle, cross-country and alpne sking are not formally awarded by FIS yet. But it is a formality.

 

2. 5 russian and 1 belorussian atheletes got inviatations from the IOC.

 

3. The list is not final. Belorussians may get Aerials quotas via reallocations. Russians may get something in other FIS disciplines - but it would not be easy even with the reallocations.

 

4. A lot of controversial persons (like Tatalina, Perestoronin) failed to qualify (Tatalina may have some chances during the reallocation).

A lot of athletes did not get AIN status due to different reasons like problens with anti-doping rules and affiliation with military.

 

That`s why I do not expect a lot of reallocations this time.
 

But AIN statuses by some athletes like Dariya NEPRYAEVA will be surely challenged.