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2026 Winter Olympics - Very Early Predictions


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day 15

112 events plus:

W curling bronze medal match

M ice hockey bronze medal match

 

 

 

:USA 17-10-9---36

:NOR 14-12-12---38

:GER 11-8-15---34

:JPN 10-8-6---24

:FRA 9-10-6---25

:CAN 7-10-10---27

:ITA 7-5-13---25

:NED 7-5-4---16

:AUT 5-11-10---26

:SUI 5-8-4---17

:SWE 5-5-6---16

:CHN 5-5-2---12

:KOR 2-2-4---8

:AUS 2-2-1---5

:FIN 2-1-1---4

:GBR 1-2-3---6

:SLO 1-2-1---4

:CZE 1-1-2---4

:ESP 1-0-1---2

:BEL 0-2-0---2

:LAT 0-1-1---2

:BRA 0-1-0---1

:EST 0-1-0---1

:SVK 0-0-2---2

:GEO 0-0-1---1

:NZL 0-0-1---1

:POL 0-0-1---1

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  On 11/28/2024 at 8:15 PM, phelps said:

very slim, I think :FRA:SUI and :ESP (also :SVK among the women) have better chances (and I wouldn't underestimate :CHN too, in 2 seasons their very strong juniors might surprise also at senior level)

 

gotta say that sprint races are not the core disciplines of this sport, the classic individual and the vert races would have been a lot more entertaining and "fair" to the athletes

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You don’t think :BEL and :GER have high chances at a medal? Especially the German, who is ahead of the Slovak athlete in the rankings from last season. 

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day 16

 

113. ICE HOCKEY - M Tournament

 

1. Canada

2. United States

3. Czech Rep.

 

114. CURLING - W Tournament

 

1. Canada

2. Switzerland

3. Sweden

 

115. BOBSLEIGH - M Four

 

1. Francesco Friedrich GER

2. Emils Cipulis LAT

3. Johannes Lochner GER

 

116. CROSS-COUNTRY SKIING - W 50km Mass Start Classic

 

1. Frida Karlsson SWE

2. Therese Johaug NOR

3. Ebba Andersson SWE

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FINAL MEDAL TABLE - version 1.0 30.11.2024 early morning CET :)

 

 

:USA 17-11-9---37

:NOR 14-13-12---39

:GER 12-8-16---36

:JPN 10-8-6---24

:CAN 9-10-10---29

:FRA 9-10-6---25

:ITA 7-5-13---25

:NED 7-5-4---16

:SWE 6-5-7---18

:AUT 5-11-10---26

:SUI 5-9-4---18

:CHN 5-5-2---12

:KOR 2-2-4---8

:AUS 2-2-1---5

:FIN 2-1-1---4

:GBR 1-2-3---6

:SLO 1-2-1---4

:CZE 1-1-2---4

:ESP 1-0-1---2

:LAT 0-2-1---3

:BEL 0-2-0---2

:BRA 0-1-0---1

:EST 0-1-0---1

:SVK 0-0-2---2

:GEO 0-0-1---1

:NZL 0-0-1---1

:POL 0-0-1---1

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Uff...

 

early, premature - probably all wrong - first version finished

 

will be updated

 

@Josh it's your turn now

 

I wonder if you see more than 9 golds for Canada...

 

@MagyarBabu maybe You would like to join us here as well, you made very interesting predictions before Paris 2024

Edited by rafalgorka

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2026/2022 comparison

 

2026------2022

 

:USA 17-11-9---37-------------------9-9-7---25 (3)

:NOR 14-13-12---39------------------16-8-13---37 (1)

:GER 12-8-16---36-------------------12-10-5---27 (2)

:JPN 10-8-6---24-------------------3-7-8---18 (12)

:CAN 9-10-10---29------------------4-8-14---26 (11)

:FRA 9-10-6---25-------------------5-7-2---14 (10)

:ITA 7-5-13---25--------------------2-7-8---17 (13)

:NED 7-5-4---16--------------------8-5-4---17 (6)

:SWE 6-5-7---18---------------------8-5-5---18 (5)

:AUT 5-11-10---26------------------7-7-4---18 (7)

:SUI 5-9-4---18--------------------7-2-6---15 (8)

:CHN 5-5-2---12--------------------9-4-2---15 (4)

:KOR 2-2-4---8--------------------2-5-2---9 (14)

:AUS 2-2-1---5---------------------1-2-1---4 (18)

:FIN 2-1-1---4---------------------2-2-4---8 (16)

:GBR 1-2-3---6---------------------1-1-0---2 (19)

:SLO 1-2-1---4---------------------2-3-2---7 (15)

:CZE 1-1-2---4----------------------1-0-1---2 (T21)

:ESP 1-0-1---2----------------------0-1-0---1 (T25)

:LAT 0-2-1---3---------------------0-0-1---1 (T27)

:BEL 0-2-0---2-------------------1-0-1---2 (T21)

:BRA 0-1-0---1

:EST 0-1-0---1--------------------0-0-1---1 (T27)

:SVK 0-0-2---2-------------------1-0-1---2 (T21)

:GEO 0-0-1---1

:NZL 0-0-1---1-----------------------2-1-0---3 (17)

:POL 0-0-1---1-----------------------0-0-1---1 (T27)

 

:RUS ------------------------------5-12-15---32 (9)

:HUN ------------------------------1-0-2---3 (20)

:BLR -------------------------------0-2-0---2 (24)

:UKR -------------------------------0-1-0---1 (T25)

Edited by rafalgorka

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SUMMARY version 1.0


 

  Reveal hidden contents
 

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M downhill on the first day

A blue ribbon event

The BEST event for me

it's good that it's on day 1 - a nice thing to begin with

 

but...on the other hand... it's all downhill from there

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Day 1

 

A lot of these predictions are what I’m hoping for, honestly :p

 

Speed Skating - Women’s 3000m

Gold- :NOR Ragne Wiklund

Silver- :CAN Ivanie Blondin

Bronze- :NED Joy Beune

 

Snowboard - Men’s Big Air

Gold- :JPN Taiga Hasegawa

Silver- :NOR Marcus Kleveland

Bronze- :USA Red Gerard

 

Alpine Skiing - Men’s Downhill

Gold- :SUI Marco Odermatt

Silver- :NOR Aleksandr Aamodt Kilde

Bronze- :GER Andreas Sander

 

Ski Jumping - Women’s Normal Hill Individual

Gold- :AUT Eva Pinkelnig

Silver- :JPN Sara Takanashi

Bronze- :SLO Nika Prevc

 

Cross Country Skiing - Women’s 10km and 10km Skiathlon (Confused on the format and favourites… might not be the best of guesses) @heywoodu does this look fine? :mumble:

Gold- :USA Jessie Diggins

Silver- :SWE Frida Karlsson

Bronze- :FIN Krista Parmakoski

 

:NOR 1-2-0

:JPN 1-1-0

:USA 1-0-1

:SUI 1-0-0

:AUT 1-0-0

:SWE 0-1-0

:CAN 0-1-0

:FIN 0-0-1

:SLO 0-0-1

:GER 0-0-1

:NED 0-0-1

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  On 11/30/2024 at 4:35 AM, Josh said:

Day 1

 

A lot of these predictions are what I’m hoping for, honestly :p

 

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That was the same for me.

And it's obviously too early, just for fun.

Now it's more like predictions for 2024/2025 winter sports World Championships than 2026 olympics actually...

 

And still - it was done before 24/25 world cup events in some sports started (e.g. nordic combined, downhill and super-G in alpine, skicross etc...)

 

so it will have to be updated for sure...

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