Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Unqualified Nations

[Olympian1010 7,971]

17 minutes ago, rybak said:

Good for them, they will have more than 10 athletes qualified first time since 1988. It also doesn't mean that Samoa won't be tripartite nation for Los Angeles?

It’s based on an average, so it’s not a guaranteed thing. They might be ineligible though, since they tend to qualify at handful of athletes.

Edited November 12, 2023 by Olympian1010

[JoshMartini007 2,536]

Team sports don't count for tripartite eligibility.

[JoshMartini007 2,536]

We are down to 70 unqualified nations remaining. I've updated all nations and sports, adding/removing potential events. Let me know if I missed anything. Since most nations remaining are tripartite eligible (everyone except ) many of the predicted options rely on winning one of those quotas. Here's the breakdown by how many nations have a chance in each sport.

 

Athletics - 63

Swimming - 61

Judo - 40

Boxing - 22

Weightlifting - 22

Taekwondo - 20

Shooting - 13

Canoeing - 11

Badminton - 10

Rowing - 8

Sailing - 8

Table Tennis - 8

Archery - 7

Tennis - 7

Wrestling - 7

Gymnastics - 5

Fencing - 4

Football - 4

Surfing - 4

Cycling - 3

Handball - 3

Basketball - 2

Equestrian - 2

Rugby Sevens - 2

Triathlon - 2

Artistic Swimming - 1

Golf - 1

Volleyball - 1

Water Polo - 1

Breaking - 0

Diving - 0

Field Hockey - 0

Modern Pentathlon - 0

Skateboarding - 0

Sport Climbing - 0

 

Unsurprisingly, athletics and swimming tops the list. Judo being third was expected. It is the easiest sport for a nation to qualify after athletics/swimming. Shooting being a bit low on the list despite having so many tripartite quotas likely means either many quotas will be reallocated or ISSF may change the rules and allow nations with no ranking points to be given the quota. Boxing, taekwondo and weightlifting are popular sports with some nations having a chance to qualify normally. Unfortunately a large set of nations will be left with nothing. On the low end six sports do not have any nations with a chance to qualify, most of which have tripartite quotas that will likely go unrewarded.

[rybak 3,217]

Besides  and  who have chances to qualify in equestrian, is there any real chance that any other nation will qualify yet in 2023?

[JoshMartini007 2,536]

2 hours ago, rybak said:

Besides  and  who have chances to qualify in equestrian, is there any real chance that any other nation will qualify yet in 2023?

Outside of athletics/swimming, the next best (unlikely) bet would be the African Sprint Canoeing Championships. Everything else would be quite a surprise. Maybe boxing at the Pacific Games or the African or Oceania sailing qualifiers.

[Josh 10,489]

 has qualified their first athletes in taekwondo (men’s -68kg/men’s -80kg) via Zaid Kareem and Saleh Al Sharabaty through the WT Olympic Rankings!

[dcro 10,210]

Palestine and Syria have qualified their first athletes in equestrian.

[Josh 10,489]

@JoshMartini007 Montenegro also has a good chance for a quota in women’s high jump 

[Josh 10,489]

 has qualified their first athlete via Tebello Ramakongoana through the Marathon Road To Paris Ranking List! 

[Benolympique 2,398]

ha qualified their first athlete in SAILING