Nickyc707 305 Posted October 18, 2022 #11 Share Posted October 18, 2022 46 minutes ago, Noorderling29 said: Again a Dutch victory, after batting second. A small defeat against Sri Lanka in the third match should suffice. As I suggested yesterday its looking like a three way tie between and unless the Dutch beat Sri Lanka in their last group match. I'm certain Namibia will have a better run rate than the Netherlands so I'd make them favourites to qualify. As for Sri Lanka and the Netherlands the latter have a clear advantage at the moment but that's likely to close, perhaps even be eradicated if the Sri Lankans have a big win later on against . Ironically that game is potentially crucial to Dutch chances of qualifying if they don't beat SL themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickyc707 305 Posted October 18, 2022 #12 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Noorderling29 said: Again a Dutch victory, after batting second. A small defeat against Sri Lanka in the third match should suffice. Batting second or Going Dutch as we say across the North Sea. 😊 Dragon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noorderling29 105 Posted October 18, 2022 #13 Share Posted October 18, 2022 (edited) My post was based on the mistaken assumption that two teams would qualify Edited October 18, 2022 by Noorderling29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickyc707 305 Posted October 18, 2022 #14 Share Posted October 18, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Noorderling29 said: My post was based in the mistaken assumption that two teams would qualify Two will qualify. If Namibia beat UAE as they should they are guaranteed a spot as they can't be overtaken by both the other two challengers. SL and the Netherlands will then be in a battle for the second spot. The Netherlands win and they're through. If not it comes down to run rate. We'll have a better idea of what the Netherlands needs to do after the SL v UAE game. If Netherlands maintains a run rate advantage after that then a narrowish defeat against SL might still be enough. Mind you the Netherlands will also qualify if Namibia lose to UAE but they won't want to rely on that happening. Edited October 18, 2022 by Nickyc707 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickyc707 305 Posted October 18, 2022 #15 Share Posted October 18, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Nickyc707 said: Two will qualify. If Namibia beat UAE as they should they are guaranteed a spot as they can't be overtaken by both the other two challengers. SL and the Netherlands will then be in a battle for the second spot. The Netherlands win and they're through. If not it comes down to run rate. We'll have a better idea of what the Netherlands needs to do after the SL v UAE game. If Netherlands maintains a run rate advantage after that then a narrowish defeat against SL might still be enough. Mind you the Netherlands will also qualify if Namibia lose to UAE but they won't want to rely on that happening. 4 pts 0.149 Run rate 2 pts 1.277 2 pts 0.600 0 pts -2.028 SL beat the UAE comfortably and now have a better run rate than the Netherlands so the Dutch will have to beat SL in their final round one match or hope that Namibia lose to the UAE. If SL finish second I believe they'll be in the same group as and in the next round which will be fun. Edited October 18, 2022 by Nickyc707 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noorderling29 105 Posted October 18, 2022 #16 Share Posted October 18, 2022 I would be very surprised if NL were to beat SL, but stranger things have happened at sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nickyc707 305 Posted October 18, 2022 #17 Share Posted October 18, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Noorderling29 said: I would be very surprised if NL were to beat SL, but stranger things have happened at sea Edited October 18, 2022 by Nickyc707 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dragon 1,676 Posted October 19, 2022 #18 Share Posted October 19, 2022 beat Ireland beat Everyone level on points On the run rate tiebreaker it looks like this Scotland +0.75 Zimbabwe 0 West Indies -0.27 Ireland -O.48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dolby 712 Posted October 19, 2022 #19 Share Posted October 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Dragon said: beat Ireland beat Everyone level on points On the run rate tiebreaker it looks like this Scotland +0.75 Zimbabwe 0 West Indies -0.27 Ireland -O.48 NRR would only matter to decide who goes in which Super 12 group. Winners of vs and vs would advance to the next stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dragon 1,676 Posted October 19, 2022 #20 Share Posted October 19, 2022 41 minutes ago, Dolby said: NRR would only matter to decide who goes in which Super 12 group. Winners of vs and vs would advance to the next stage. Although it could get complicated if a game gets rained off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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