[POLL] Which Nations will be in the Medal Count Top 10 at the Summer Paralympic Games 2020?

[vinipereira 3,240]

Please choose 10 options

[vinipereira 3,240]

My predictions for top 10:

 

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 

gets first position at the medal table since 2004, so their place is secured, but is back (as RPC of course) with probably their best team ever (?), so I expect them to "steal" some of the golds other big nations won in their 2016 absence. They'll have a good fight with , which since 2000 always figure in the top 3 positions, and this time maybe can even maintain the second place.

 

About and it could go either way, both are very consistent and finish at the top 5 in almost every recent edition. I gave United States the edge because Ukraine has fewer athletes this time. I could change the order of the top 5 nations, but for me this are the most likely to end ahead of the competition.

 

could potentially challenge for top 5 as they have a good variety of medalling sports, but their results in Athletics and Swimming (obviously the two sports that give most medals) aren't that great. Either way, they should at least get 6th place ahead of , , and which are close in medal chances. Netherlands is strong in Cycling and Swimming, Italy in Swimming (amazing results at the most recent world championships), Germany in Cycling and Athletics, and Brazil in a few sports. I think Netherlands will pull ahead because they are clearly in an ascending curve when it comes to Paralympics, but Brazil could challenge for 8th and show the "legacy" of the Rio Games.

 

A slew of nations could challenge for top 10 though. was top 10 in the last two editions and of course could repeat the feat. is consistent and could show the improvement ahead of their own Games. , , , , and didn't reach the top 10 in London and Rio, but with some luck at the gold medal count maybe will. And of course there's which didn't get a single gold medal in Rio and it's in a decline since their best result in 2004. The addition of new sports should help a little, but I wouldn't be surprised if they don't reach top 10 (the first hosts since Greece to do so). I really don't know what to expect from them but maybe they'll do amazing like at the Olympics.

[Dunadan 1,103]

Guessed exactly the same 10 barely knowing anything 

[intoronto 5,638]

No idea but not Canada. 

[dcro 10,210]

Netherlands are the new super power of equestrian. I wouldn't be surprised if they took 5-7 gold medals (as compared to only 1 from Rio).

[Illya 511]

55 minutes ago, vinipereira said:

About and it could go either way, both are very consistent and finish at the top 5 in almost every recent edition. I gave United States the edge because Ukraine has fewer athletes this time. I could change the order of the top 5 nations, but for me this are the most likely to end ahead of the competition

Because we didn't qualified in sitting volleyball) I also think , that we would be fifth in medal table

[vinipereira 3,240]

On 8/24/2021 at 12:50 PM, vinipereira said:

My predictions for top 10:

 

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

After 4 days we have the same top 6 of my predictions (just swap Great Britain and RPC), with Brazil, Netherlands and Italy also in the top 10.

Only surprise is in 7th but most of their medals are from Judo, so I don't know how long they can hold this position. Also Germany didn't win a single gold medal so far, and even though they can improve in the next days, I don't know anymore if they'll reach top 10 (which would be the first time they're out since 2008). Japan with 2 gold medals and 15th place so far might be looking for top 10.

[Nickyc707 382]

On 8/24/2021 at 4:50 PM, vinipereira said:

My predictions for top 10:

 

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 

gets first position at the medal table since 2004, so their place is secured, but is back (as RPC of course) with probably their best team ever (?), so I expect them to "steal" some of the golds other big nations won in their 2016 absence. They'll have a good fight with , which since 2000 always figure in the top 3 positions, and this time maybe can even maintain the second place.

 

About and it could go either way, both are very consistent and finish at the top 5 in almost every recent edition. I gave United States the edge because Ukraine has fewer athletes this time. I could change the order of the top 5 nations, but for me this are the most likely to end ahead of the competition.

 

could potentially challenge for top 5 as they have a good variety of medalling sports, but their results in Athletics and Swimming (obviously the two sports that give most medals) aren't that great. Either way, they should at least get 6th place ahead of , , and which are close in medal chances. Netherlands is strong in Cycling and Swimming, Italy in Swimming (amazing results at the most recent world championships), Germany in Cycling and Athletics, and Brazil in a few sports. I think Netherlands will pull ahead because they are clearly in an ascending curve when it comes to Paralympics, but Brazil could challenge for 8th and show the "legacy" of the Rio Games.

 

A slew of nations could challenge for top 10 though. was top 10 in the last two editions and of course could repeat the feat. is consistent and could show the improvement ahead of their own Games. , , , , and didn't reach the top 10 in London and Rio, but with some luck at the gold medal count maybe will. And of course there's which didn't get a single gold medal in Rio and it's in a decline since their best result in 2004. The addition of new sports should help a little, but I wouldn't be surprised if they don't reach top 10 (the first hosts since Greece to do so). I really don't know what to expect from them but maybe they'll do amazing like at the Olympics.

GB have been in the top three at every Games since 1960 bar 1976, 1980 and 1996. Repeatedly second and destined now never to be first given China's recent hegemony. 

 

Medals by Summer GamesEdit

Games	Athletes	Gold	Silver	Bronze	Total	Rank
1960 Rome	53	20	15	20	55	2
1964 Tokyo	39	18	23	20	61	2
1968 Tel Aviv	75	29	20	20	69	2
1972 Heidelberg	72	16	15	21	52	3
1976 Toronto	87	29	29	36	94	5
1980 Arnhem	96	47	32	21	100	5
1984 Stoke Mandeville/New York	227	107	112	112	331	2
1988 Seoul	231	65	65	53	183	3
1992 Barcelona	209	40	47	41	128	3
1996 Atlanta	248	39	42	41	122	4
2000 Sydney	215	41	43	47	131	2
2004 Athens	167	35	30	29	94	2
2008 Beijing	212	42	29	31	102	2
2012 London	288	34	43	43	120	3
2016 Rio de Janeiro	265	64	39	44	147	2
2020 Tokyo	227
2024 Paris	future event
2028 Los Angeles	future event
2032 Brisbane	future event
Total		626	584	579	1789	2

[Quasit 865]

12 minutes ago, Nickyc707 said:

GB have been in the top three at every Games since 1960 bar 1976, 1980 and 1996. Repeatedly second and destined now never to be first given China's recent hegemony. 

When 107 golds are only good for second place but they really had over 900 medal events back then. Wow. 

[Nickyc707 382]

17 hours ago, Quasit said:

When 107 golds are only good for second place but they really had over 900 medal events back then. Wow. 

1984 was an oddity with the event held jointly either side of the Atlantic and this perhaps partly explains why the number of events were so much greater than any Games before or since. Added to which most of the Eastern bloc boycotted the Paralympics just as they had the LA Olympics.