These are the latest polls (two days ago) for the Dutch elections:
TK2012 = Number of seats for the named party at the 2012 elections
12-2 / 5-3 / 7-3 = Number of seats in the polls of that day
'Versch' = Difference with the previous poll / difference with the 12-2 poll / difference with the 2012 elections
Two of the historically big parties are losing with especially the centre-left PvdA (Partij van de Arbeid/Labour Party) losing a shitload of seats. Since the second World War they have had less than 30 seats only three times and they have never had less than 20 seats, but are now down to a projected 9.
Whereas PvdA is centre-left, VVD (the party of our current prime-minister and together with PvdA the big winners of last time) is somewhat centre-right and they're losing a whole lot too. They are climbing back up though in recent weeks and are now, for the first time since 2015, the largest party in the polls.
PVV is Geert Wilders' right-wing party, which I'm sure doesn't need a lot of introduction. Thanks to a whole lot of stuff like terrorist attacks and the immigration debate they've had a perfect opportunity to grow a lot, more than doubling their 2012 seats, but they are losing in recent weeks.
CDA is set to be rather big again, after some meager years. This is the centre/centre-right Christian party that had our previous prime-minister. The biggest growth so far seems to be surprisingly for GroenLinks ('GreenLeft', translated literally). Officially they are centre-left and all about 'green' stuff and environmental issues and their young, charismatic leader has so far brought them way above their record of 11 seats. They somewhat talk with the wind though (I guess that's part of being an environmental party) and don't seem to be incredibly strong about their principles.
D66 is probably our most 'centre' party, with slightly left tendences in social aspects and slightly right tendencies in economical aspects and also pro-European. They've never been a huge player (although they had a huge spike of 24 seats in 1994) but are usually around, filling up the gaps in a coalition and otherwise just enjoying their role in the opposition.
SP is the most left party we have, ChristenUnie is somewhat centre (slightly more right) and as the name suggest, Christian-based, Partij voor de Dieren is the 'Party for the Animals' and almost puts animal rights above human rights, 50PLUS is the party that only thinks about older people and their leader is a way too emotional guy for rational politics.
SGP is sort of the more extreme version of ChristenUnie: the oldest political party in the Netherlands, very strictly Christian and insanely stable in the elections, always getting 2-3 votes because their 'fan base' always stays the same. People who are of their religious belief vote for them whatever they say so they don't lose those voters, and people who aren't of their belief won't vote for them so they don't win voters. Interestingly they're also not very active in the campaigns because they know they'll get their 2-3 seats. Good thing about them: they don't care what others want from them, they always stick to their principles which I think is admirable even if you don't agree with them at all. Side note: they're usually the biggest party in my little Bible Belt hometown, hurray.
DENK is a party founded last year (or the year before) by two Turkish-Dutch politicians who went out from their Dutch party and now have some sort of a "Erdogan is a hero"-kind of freak club there. Loved by a small part, hated by most.
As for myself, there's a few parties I'm definitely not voting for:
- PVV (because Wilders)
- DENK (because Erdogan)
- SGP (because religion should be separate from the state)
- SP (way, way too left)
- GroenLinks (don't like their leader)
- 50PLUS (don't like their leader)
I'm mostly doubting between VVD and D66, staying somewhere in the centre