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Agger

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Everything posted by Agger

  1. Money and ads is one thing, but it's not all. If you don't have a message, it won't help much. Klobuchar is moving up and she's one of the candidates with least money while Steyer has been on a spending spree in the next two states, and it looks like it will at very best give him delegates in South Carolina. What is very interesting is that Bloomberg is getting attention, not just in the ads, but getting more positive attention on TV. But Bloomberg is a big question mark. He could be forced into the Nevada debate in a week (some theories say that he wants to, others that it was one of the reasons for not doing any fundraising) which could be interesting. No matter what, the easiest thing to say seems to be that this is another election that could end up rewriting plenty of books.
  2. Warrer/Precht getting pretty close to the Danish 49er spot after some advancement. Meanwhile the 49er FX race is damn close after both boats advanced. Right now Schütt/Nielsby is 2 positions in front of Baad/Thusgaard, but it's just a couple of points that need to change there for Ida and Marie to take it back. They cannot afford much more mistakes after their black flag and an 18 in the last race.
  3. Joe the Plumber is from Toledo, Ohio But well. 2 things in your analysis that I don't quite agree with here in another Scandinavian country 1. Buttigieg's main "problem" isn't so much being gay, Almost 90 % of democrats are open to voting on an openly gay person according to Gallup and even among Republicans it's up to 60. Sure there are some who won't. But the main issue is minority votes. We've seen polls in the past where he's at 0 % of black votes and below 5 among latinos. That doesn't win an election. A potential Biden collapse (though it is certainly looking that way, I'll be waiting for South Carolina before calling his campaign dead). 2. Unelectable Sanders? That's a question of who you're asking. He was the highest at perceived electability after the NH debate and (though they shouldn't be used too much at this time) he is winning most polls against Trump, very often at the top of the democratic field. Meanwhile the super delegates are still pretty quiet. The endorsement's doesn't show the same opposition as 4 years ago (though the diversity in the field does make it harder to foresee) Electability is hard to forecast, but I don't think that's what the Democratic establishment is the most worried about when it comes to Sanders. It's more a question of him moving the party too much, especially considering that he's only really a Democrat when looking for the nomination for president. Questionable as it may seem, it's really not that strange to be frustrated about somebody joining just to become president. But generally: It feels like a brokered convention is coming up (but that's been said at early stages of other primaries as well), but it could change quickly. Bloomberg is getting more and more attention (not just for his paid ads) and with Biden still likely to get a major amount of delegates (Buttigieg and Warren in contention for a bunch as well), it could get very tough. Will be interesting when other super tuesday states will follow Arkansas giving us polls. It's getting closer
  4. 76% of Democrats But well. There's quite a difference among ideas of socialism.
  5. Damn. Missed all of this somehow. Sad but not the biggest of surprises and yes, the right decision to disqualfiy
  6. Finally some racing with 3 races per class. A frustrating BFD for Ida and Marie while the 2 other races were good. No disaster but less room for bad results now. The Danish Olympic spot seems pretty certain for Linn and CP in the Nacra while it's still a tight battle in the other 2 classes.
  7. Can't really talk about how it felt in the 90s (a bit young for most Oscars movies back then), but looking at both supporting categories, I see several names in the last 10 years that I really can't put a face on
  8. Thailand has hereby confirmed that they will take part. http://www.ihf.info/media-center/news/thailand-replace-pr-china-tokyo-2020-womens-qualification-tournament
  9. Day one, no racing due to winds.
  10. Me neither (going through the main performances right now), but at least 2 Europeans did. That counts
  11. But the big question is... What event will keep Totallympians up next sunday?
  12. Thought I was gonna get back on track there with 1917, but no. Haven't seen the winner at the moment of the award since Argo
  13. Not World Tour
  14. Not so hard. If you're not living in one of those 2 states or spend way too much time following this election (like me), you don't really know him
  15. Guess you don't live in Nevada or South Carolina
  16. And then I went through isidewith.com getting 91 % for Sanders and Warren Though it's very close with Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer at 90 and only Bloomberg and Delaney below 80. And Trump at 26. Guess he won't be getting my support
  17. Really? Buttigieg and Steyer are way above Sanders and Warren in my test
  18. My top 5 (6). Not a big fan of that quiz. They don't seem to have done much to fill in the gaps meaning that several candidates end up lower than they should and several questions aren't that great either. Not surprisingly Sanders and Warren are very low (though above Gabbard)
  19. Hong Kong has said no, but it sounds like Thailand will go, but no final confirmation yet from their NOC. If not, the spot should essentially go to the best continent, not the best non-qualified country (according to a mail from IHF to Danish newspaper Politiken), but apparently it's not quite so sure (as it's a completely new situation). So it could be Denmark (as best non-qualified from the Euro) or Germany (best from Worlds) or even a third possibility: A wild card. Personally I don't see who should get such a wild card (unless they decide to go for Australia knowing very well that they wouldn't stand a chance) other than one of those 2. It's afterall 2 major handball nations and markets and clearly the 2 best non-qualified teams. But then again. If Thailand confirm their participation, it doesn't really matter.
  20. Guess we'll just stop this here.
  21. on what basis?
  22. Excuse me... Are you calling Sweden racist?
  23. Another bad story for Sweden as European Cross country champion Robel Fsiha has had a positive test https://www.aftonbladet.se/sportbladet/a/1n31QW/svensk-em-guldmedaljor-avstangd-for-dopning
  24. In fact Buttigieg got as much from liberals as Warren in Iowa (entrance polling, so give or take) and 15 % of the votes from non-whites (though this was most likely a small sample and therefore in no way certain to be representative of a momentum). Biden's chances does indeed rely on electability, but even among those focused on beating Trump, Buttigieg ended up with more votes. If that ends up representative during the next states, he is lost It's all one state and one that doesn't represent the country very well demographically, but it has given some interesting pointers for especially Buttigieg. It is still very likely that the lacking support from minorities will be in the way of his chances (and I still don't give him much of a chance), but Iowa has without the slightest bit of doubt been a major boost. He'll need to keep it up in NH and pick up new voters, also outside his demographical base. But Sanders vs. Bloomberg? I believe that a brokered convention is MUCH more likely than Bloomberg unless some of the moderates withdraw early (after Super Tuesday at the very latest). Even at this rate Biden will be getting way too much delegates for Bloomberg to get the majority.
  25. Not really stacking up. He is spending big money on ads in Super Tuesday states. But I strongly doubt that it will be the money stopping the top candidates here. But I do think that candidates are looking at Bloomberg. He is moving up in national polling having surpassed Buttigieg in most polls and Warren in a few as well. If Biden collapses, it's not impossible that he will be dangerous. Most bookies even has him at second only after Bernie..
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