JockCartier

But, but, but, we were assured by everyone Homan was an unbeatable curling machine?!
 
😂

But, but, but, we were assured by everyone Homan was an unbeatable curling machine?!
 
😂

Do we know if the Mixed Team SBX is male first again, or if they're switching it up this year?
 
If Grondin goes second, I think we could have a chance... the timing system really favours having your strongest person last

Eh, I see us being more in the "it's so over" stage right now LOL.

Caught napping in the mixed relay final... now that. 
 
van 'T Wout wisely tried to take him off his game, and Dandjinou took the bait

I don't have a dog in the fight... but do enjoy the colossal irony of C/B being outraged by a team having obvious errors, yet still being given gold anyway. 
 
C/B got that treatment, not once, but TWICE, at Worlds... and I think was even given a world record score at least one of them

Same ladies, same

Seemed like gold was officially out of reach when Dandjinou got caught napping his first leg. William giveth, and William taketh away. 
 
Oh well, a medal is a medal... and at least we weren't flopping around the ice all day like Stoddard

You were there too! Crosby sat beside me on the subway home haha. What a magical day at the short track venue

It's why I love it. And it's why I hate it. 

It’s all politics.
 
But it’s EVERYWHERE in ice dance… TBH, I think L\L have been our best team for a couple years… but G/P are the elder statesmen and get the push.

If the sports was objectively judged, of the three that will end up on the podium the only ones that really deserve it are the French.
 
So, yeah, its a mess, but its not just against Piper and Paul
 
It’s a problem in all of figure skating, but it’s overwhelming in ice dance cause they don’t have the obvious jumps and throws to at least keep it a little honest

Mixed relay pool for Canada:
Kim Boutin Florence Brunelle Courtney Sarault William Dandjinou Steven Dubois Félix Roussel

I think Canadians will watch anything if we win medals. We love a good bandwagon in the country!
 
I’ve long thought we should really invest in the nordic sports. It’s like 1/4-1/3 of the medals involve cross country skiing, and we barely rate.
 
It wouldn’t be easy, but the ROI on 10-20 world class skiers is a lot higher than anywhere else. Each of those often compete in 4-5 events each, and potential for multiple medals in everything but relays. 
 
And they are highly transferrable, maybe someone is never gonna be a top ten in cross country… but they could make a helluva biathlete, or nordic combiner.
 
And if nothing else this country has space and snow, and doesn’t require the infrastructure of most other sports. Get a snowmobile and pull groomer, and you can do it in a farmers field.
 
If we ever want to start cracking 30, I think we need to consistently be getting 5 or so from the nordic sports. As is, we kind of manufacture them the hard way.

I think Canadians will watch anything if we win medals. We love a good bandwagon in the country!
 
I’ve long thought we should really invest in the nordic sports. It’s like 1/4-1/3 of the medals involve cross country skiing, and we barely rate.
 
It wouldn’t be easy, but the ROI on 10-20 world class skiers is a lot higher than anywhere else. Each of those often compete in 4-5 events each, and potential for multiple medals in everything but relays. 
 
And they are highly transferrable, maybe someone is never gonna be a top ten in cross country… but they could make a helluva biathlete, or nordic combiner.
 
And if nothing else this country has space and snow, and doesn’t require the infrastructure of most other sports. Get a snowmobile and pull groomer, and you can do it in a farmers field.
 
If we ever want to start cracking 30, I think we need to consistently be getting 5 or so from the nordic sports. As is, we kind of manufacture them the hard way.

Yeah, 2008 was brutal. I felt bad for the staff and athletes, the media were all over them... but it was really just a quirk of scheduling. Our swimming was in rough shape, and there just wasn't much else we had going for us that first week. Then Huynh won, and the rowing finals went, and we were off to the races

But even 2010. I have a clip of Brian Williams doing this long winded monologue halfway thru about how the results were a disaster, and there needed to be a major overhaul, and federal inquest... and a week later we're covered in gold and everyone is over the moon. 

Useful Links
 
Schedule/Results
 
Live Streaming
 
Day 3 (February 9th) Schedule
Time
EST/PST
Sport Event Stage Athlete(s) 4:05/1:05 Curling Mixed Doubles Round Robin - Session 13:  vs. Jocelyn Peterman/Brett Gallant 6:30/3:30 Freestyle Skiing Women's Slopestyle Final - Run 1 5. Naomi Urness, 6. Megan Oldham 6:59/3:59 Freestyle Skiing Women's Slopestyle Final - Run 2 Naomi Urness, Megan Oldham 7:28/4:28 Freestyle Skiing Women's Slopestyle Final - Run 3 Naomi Urness, Megan Oldham 11:00/8:00 Luge Women's Singles Run 1 14. Trinity Ellis, 15. Embyr-Lee Susko 11:30/8:30 Speed Skating Women's 1000m Final Pair 2: Caroline Hiller-Donnelly
Pair 3: Rose Laliberte-Roy
Pair 14: Beatrice Lamarche
12:35/9:35 Luge Women's Singles Run 2 Trinity Ellis, Embyr-Lee Susko 13:00/10:00 Ski Jumping Men's Normal Hill 1st Round 11. Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes 13:20/10:20 Figure Skating Ice Dance Rhythm Dance 14:27/11:27: Lauriault/le Gac, 15:48/12:48: Lajoie/Lagha
16:20/13:20: Gilles/Poirier
15:10/12:10 Ice Hockey Women's Preliminary Round - Group A:  vs.   Today's Medal Events (5):
Alpine Skiing - Men's Team Combined
Freestyle Skiing - Women's Slopestyle
Ski Jumping - Men's Normal Hill Individual
Snowboarding - Women's Big Air
Speed Skating - Women's 1000m
 
Medals
RANK:
13th
GOLD
0 SILVER
0 BRONZE
1 TOTAL
1 Medal Athlete Sport Event Date Bronze Valerie MALTAIS Speed Skating Women's 3000m Feb. 7th  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prediction Contest
 
Rules: The game is simple. Every day, I'll post a few questions in the opening post of each thread and if you're playing, you post your answers to the questions below. Whoever gets the most questions right at the end of the Olympics wins. You can change your answers as many times as you like as long as the first event hasn't begun and you can join anytime.
 
1. Freestyle Skiing: Will a Canadian win a medal in women's slopestyle?
2. Luge: Will there be a Canadian in the top 12 after the first two runs? 
3. Speed Skating: Give a time prediction for Beatrice Lamarche in the 1000m to the nearest second. (E.g. 1:10, 1:11) (You can view her latest results here. For this question, we will round her final time to the nearest second and anyone who's correct will receive points).
 
Standings:
1. BenAffleckIsAnOkactor, orangeman, Topicmaster1010 - 5
2. intoronto, Josh, Safe Dragonfly, SGAxJamal, - 4
3. james89, Surlympics - 3
4. CanadaWolvesFC - 2
 
Yesterday's Answers:
 

Yeah, 2008 was brutal. I felt bad for the staff and athletes, the media were all over them... but it was really just a quirk of scheduling. Our swimming was in rough shape, and there just wasn't much else we had going for us that first week. Then Huynh won, and the rowing finals went, and we were off to the races

But even 2010. I have a clip of Brian Williams doing this long winded monologue halfway thru about how the results were a disaster, and there needed to be a major overhaul, and federal inquest... and a week later we're covered in gold and everyone is over the moon. 

2008 is probably the best example of this. If we exclude medals awarded later due to doping, Canada won ZERO medals through the first week and then 18 medals the next 9 days.

I feel bad for Japan... they got absolutely hosed
 
The Canadians had a pretty good effort. Gogolev did great, he might even be a medal contender one day

That's about it. 

But folks on here tend to over-react a lot... many of the ones overreacting now were also convinced Paris was a lost cause half-way thru too. Touch grass people, or failing that, throw a snowball

Looking at my projections I had us winning 26... and we're still on pace for 25. 
 
Like you mentioned, it's just been a lot of dark horses, not so much favourites. They'll be good days, they'll be bad days. Nothing unusual about our conversion rate at this point. 
 
Looking across the board, Italy is killing it, they're at 9, I had them at 6... and on the other hand US is at 2, and I had them at 4. Aside from those two, everyone else is +/- 1 medal
 
 

It’s been a tumultuous start for Team Canada, and I totally get the disappointment people have expressed in other threads. The COC wants to beat our Beijing count (26), but between injuries to some top medal contenders, a lack of depth in some sports, and chronic underfunding by the federal government, that's going to be a VERY tall order. It's still possible, though! I’ve mapped out a daily medal forecast based on probability. Like others have said, the first two days were always going to be lean based on the event schedule. Things should pick up by the end of this week, and the second week looks even stronger. Full disclosure: I’m a casual fan, so I’m basing this on recent results, seasonal trends, and, well, vibes I guess. What do y'all think? I'll keep this updated as the results roll in.   Day 1: 7 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Alpine skiing
Men's downhill
Cameron Alexander
LOW
14
Ski jumping
Women's normal hill individual
Abigail Strate
MED
11
Snowboarding
Men's big air
Francis Jobin
LOW
7
Speed skating
Women's 3000m
Isabelle Weidemann
MED
5
 
 
Valerie Maltais
LOW
🥉
 Day 2: 8 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Figure Skating
Team event
Team Canada
LOW
5
Snowboarding
Men's parallel giant slalom
Arnaud Gaudet
LOW
6
Speed skating
Men’s 5000m
Ted Jan Bloemen
LOW
13
 
 Day 3: 9 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Women's slopestyle
Megan Oldham
HIGH
🥉
 
 
Naomi Urness
HIGH
7
Snowboarding
Women's big air
Laurie Blouin
LOW
14
 Day 4: 10 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Curling
Mixed doubles
Team Canada
HIGH
5
Freestyle skiing
Men's slopestyle
Evan McEachran
LOW
16
Short-track speed skating
Mixed relay
Team Canada
HIGH
🥈
 Day 5: 11 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Figure skating
Ice dance
Piper Gilles & Paul Poirier
LOW
🥉
Freestyle skiing
Women's moguls
Maia Schwinghammer
LOW
5
 Day 6: 12 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Men's moguls
Mikael Kingsbury
HIGH
🥈
Short-track speed skating
Men's 1000m
William Dandjinou
HIGH
4
 
Women's 500m
Courtney Sarault
HIGH
🥉
Snowboarding
Men's snowboard cross
Eliot Grondin
HIGH
🥈
 
Women's halfpipe
Elizabeth Hosking
LOW
8
Speed skating
Women's 5000m
Isabelle Weidemann
HIGH
5
 Day 7: 13 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Speed skating
Men’s 10000m
Ted Jan Bloemen
LOW
9
 Day 8: 14 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Short-track speed skating
Men's 1500m
William Dandjinou
HIGH
5
Speed Skating - Men’s 500m - Laurent Dubreuil - 🥉

 Day 9: 15 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Men's dual moguls
Mikael Kingsbury
HIGH
🥇
 
 
Julien Viel
LOW
14
Ski jumping
Women's large hill individual
Abigail Strate
MED
11
 Day 10: 16 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Bobsleigh
Women's monobob
Cynthia Appiah
LOW
13
Freestyle skiing
Women's big air
Megan Oldham
HIGH
🥇
 
 
Naomi Urness
HIGH
6
Short-track speed skating
Women's 1000m
Courtney Sarault
HIGH
🥈
 Day 11: 17 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Men's big air
Dylan Deschamps
LOW
7
Snowboarding
Women's slopestyle
Laurie Blouin
LOW
5
Speed skating
Women's team pursuit
Team Canada
HIGH
🥇
 Day 12: 18 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Women's aerials
Marion Thenault
HIGH
7
Short-track speed skating
Men's 500m
Steven Dubois
HIGH
🥇
 
 
William Dandjinou
HIGH
DQ
 
Women's relay
Team Canada
HIGH
🥉
Snowboarding
Men's slopestyle
Mark McMorris
LOW
8
Day 13: 19 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Men's aerials
Miha Fontaine
LOW
 
Ice hockey
Women's
Team Canada
HIGH
🥈
 Day 14: 20 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Freestyle skiing
Men's halfpipe
Brendan Mackay
LOW
 
 
Women's ski cross
Marielle Thompson
MED
***
Short-track speed skating
Men's relay
Team Canada
HIGH
 
 
Women's 1500m
Courtney Sarault
HIGH
 
Speed skating
Women's 1500m
Ivanie Blondin
LOW
 
Day 15: 21 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Curling
Men's
Team
HIGH
 
Freestyle skiing
Men's ski cross
Reece Howden
HIGH
 
 
Mixed team aerials
Team
HIGH
 
 
Women's halfpipe
Cassie Sharp
MED
DNF*
Speed skating
Women's mass start
Ivanie Blondin
HIGH
 
 
 
Valerie Maltais
MED
 
Day 16: 22 February
Sport
Event
Potential medalist(s)
 
 
 
 
Competitor(s)
Probability
Result
Curling
Women's
Team Canada
HIGH
 
Ice hockey
Men's
Team Canada
HIGH
 
 
 
 

Looking at my projections I had us winning 26... and we're still on pace for 25. 
 
Like you mentioned, it's just been a lot of dark horses, not so much favourites. They'll be good days, they'll be bad days. Nothing unusual about our conversion rate at this point. 
 
Looking across the board, Italy is killing it, they're at 9, I had them at 6... and on the other hand US is at 2, and I had them at 4. Aside from those two, everyone else is +/- 1 medal
 
 

That's about it. 

But folks on here tend to over-react a lot... many of the ones overreacting now were also convinced Paris was a lost cause half-way thru too. Touch grass people, or failing that, throw a snowball

Ted-Jan has looked the best he has in years. Not that that's a high bar, but he's had a couple flashes of brilliance. I'd say he's a solid darkhorse. He'll either contend of blow up trying