JockCartier

I think Canadians will watch anything if we win medals. We love a good bandwagon in the country! I’ve long thought we should really invest in the nordic sports. It’s like 1/4-1/3 of the medals involve cross country skiing, and we barely rate. It wouldn’t be easy, but the ROI on 10-20 world class skiers is a lot higher than anywhere else. Each of those often compete in 4-5 events each, and potential for multiple medals in everything but relays. And they are highly transferrable, maybe someone is never gonna be a top ten in cross country… but they could make a helluva biathlete, or nordic combiner. And if nothing else this country has space and snow, and doesn’t require the infrastructure of most other sports. Get a snowmobile and pull groomer, and you can do it in a farmers field. If we ever want to start cracking 30, I think we need to consistently be getting 5 or so from the nordic sports. As is, we kind of manufacture them the hard way.

Yeah, 2008 was brutal. I felt bad for the staff and athletes, the media were all over them... but it was really just a quirk of scheduling. Our swimming was in rough shape, and there just wasn't much else we had going for us that first week. Then Huynh won, and the rowing finals went, and we were off to the races But even 2010. I have a clip of Brian Williams doing this long winded monologue halfway thru about how the results were a disaster, and there needed to be a major overhaul, and federal inquest... and a week later we're covered in gold and everyone is over the moon.

Yeah, I have 10 expected medals in the first 8 days, and 16 in the back half. For whatever reason we seem like we're often a week two team in the Olympics

Looking at my projections I had us winning 26... and we're still on pace for 25. Like you mentioned, it's just been a lot of dark horses, not so much favourites. They'll be good days, they'll be bad days. Nothing unusual about our conversion rate at this point. Looking across the board, Italy is killing it, they're at 9, I had them at 6... and on the other hand US is at 2, and I had them at 4. Aside from those two, everyone else is +/- 1 medal

That's about it. But folks on here tend to over-react a lot... many of the ones overreacting now were also convinced Paris was a lost cause half-way thru too. Touch grass people, or failing that, throw a snowball

I feel bad for Japan... they got absolutely hosed The Canadians had a pretty good effort. Gogolev did great, he might even be a medal contender one day

I think it was a lack of imagination. They didn’t think Gogolev could finish 3rd like that and upset the apple cart When he did, it was too late for G/P to prepare. As soon as I saw G/P were in the team box and L/L weren’t, it was obvious they were already tapped if we snuck thru. They should have been warming up both just incase… yet another genius move by Michael Slipchuk

Ted-Jan has looked the best he has in years. Not that that's a high bar, but he's had a couple flashes of brilliance. I'd say he's a solid darkhorse. He'll either contend of blow up trying

That there is a chance of a team event medal at all, is better than I thought we'd do. But we're down two points, and likely gonna drop another 1-3 in the pairs... so we'd be down 3-5, and Italy would have the tiebreaker... and with Malinin skating for the US, that basically sews up 1st and 2nd in both mens and womens for US and Japan... so our only hope is to be within 3, and to finish 3rd in both mens and womens (which might get us even in the tiebreaker, so maybe within 4) and hope Italy finished 5th in both, which seems particularly unlikely on the women's side So yeah, thinking that thru, we're kinda hooped. We really needed Gilles and Poirier to have done the Free Dance and beat the Italians. That two point swing would have really opened up possibilities. As is, I think we'd need Italy to bomb in the pairs... and, well, the other two too

That sucks for viewers... Screaming Chad is the worst

It took about half an hour longer than 2018. Which is fine and I think they factored that in. Problem was the rest of the show was also half an hour long in it's own right.

Enjoyed it... but good grief they dragged that out. Longest winter opening ceremony ever at 3:30 (Vancouver next closest at just over 3 hours)... over an hour longer than Beijing and PyeongChang

At least the Kiwi knocked him down to 14th… makes it a little easier to stomach

How is that for cosmic cruelty... the Aussie who got in because of the McMorris injury just knocked Bouchard out of the final

Simon stealing from JBB AGAIN?!

Been a rough week for the elder statesmen. Stellato, Vonn, now McMorris… someone best wrap Crosby in bubble wrap

Sounds more impressive than 1/3 I suppose

Same. Noticed it during the curling... now it just grates on me

I could do without the constant whir of drones and/or cable cams

Really wonder about competing when it can cause long term damage and you hopefully have another 40-50 years to live... but I guess in Vonn's case, her knees have been butchered so much already, that's already baked in, so that the heck

I prefer to do mine like this guy (https://app.podiumsport.it/) does his "Projected Medals" as probability based rather than straight medal picking... all things being equal, conversion rates should be about the same and the outliers come out in the wash. Unfortunately most people just like medal picking, and think any other approach is weird

I'd done my final revisions on my prediction spreadsheets.. and I'm sticking with 26 for Canada. Take it to the bank! (But don't sign anything)

Perhaps CAS proper? Not sure, it's not my world. Would have hoped her lawyers and the USOPC would have though. Though, even if it didn't stop there, apparently she was still asking for an "extra" spot, which isn't in CAS AH's jurisdiction either... as it wasn't in the IBSF's tribunals before that... Ultimately it was an internal USABS selection issue, and I'm sure they have some domestic mediation established to decide on such things, and failing that, then take them to CAS... but her team went barking up every tree but that. To be honest, I really wonder whether she was even trying to win and wasn't just using it as a big PR stunt

Assuming we post news here too... unfortunately, it's not good Critchlow is out with injury, and Deanna Stellato apparently suffered a bad injury as well, so Stellato/Deschamps are out of the Figure Skating team event (Perreria/Michaud in), and may be withdrawing from the Pairs event entirely.

https://www.tas-cas.org/generated/assets/lists/dceab111-07bc-435f-b5f9-de88eff9db72/CAS Media Release_Milano_Cortina_2026_AHD_03_final.pdf And CAS Ad Hoc says it has no jurisdiction over the Uhlaender appeal, as it happened outside the window in which the Ad Hoc division operates. Presumably, finally putting an end to this farce.