stratocumulus

It is official: 213 for : https://przegladsportowy.onet.pl/igrzyska-olimpijskie/paryz-2024/polka-zlamala-przepisy-antydopingowe-nie-jedzie-na-io-w-paryzu/jl8lkfg

Well I noticed some interviews and background stories in prime information portals about more niche athletes (fencing, canoe slalom) - something one usually does not get in between the Olympics. So I guess it start mounting and now that EURO 2024 is over I think the focus is going to switch completely to the Olympics. Two weeks to go, c'mon, it is time

Just to be factually correct - it was a Ukrainian and KAZ who got caught.... I believe we all see a difference between RU and UA now...

I am sorry, but whose flag did you put with Natalia Dominiak?

Well, it seems no one noticed, but Krzysztof Chmielewski (try to read as: Kshyshtof Khmielevski) has qualified for 800m freestyle during the European Championships (7:50:51):

Though it has not been officially confirmed (or rejected), I do not think so. Świątek said, she would not manage three events and most probably she is going to decline the women's doubles: https://www.meczyki.pl/newsy/tenis/swiatek-i-linette-zagraja-w-deblu-na-igrzyskach-olimpijskich-liderka-rankingu-wta-wyslala-wazny-sygnal/227614

Don't you think this qualification via the Nations Cup is quite a pervert thing? You have to have two fairly good times and one of them is sure NOT to go to Olympics even if they jointly win the competition. What incentive does it give the "weaker" duo to support the team performance? I could imagine a crate of beer they drink later together on the beach would not necessarily do for a motivation :D And what if there has been some past between the members of the two duos? All in all I find it one of the most curious qualification processes ever;]

It will be difficult Olympics for Poland. In the 21st century we struggle to get a double-digit number of medals. Until now it worked every single time. In Paris it might not be that optimistic. Realistically it will be something between 8 and 11, 2-3 gold. Four should be in for sure (no screenshots please!;). From the section "probable" I hope for 3 out of 7. The section "maybe" should deliver 1 medal out of 8 opportunities. The rest is chance. I wish I would be proved sooo wrong, but the past Games have taught me to keep the expectations low. Still I take my vacation for the Olympics to watch undisturbed;) For those who want to know the detail: Absolutely Must: Rowing - M4X - bronze Sport Climbing - Speed - A. Mirosław - gold Tennis - W ind - I. Świątek - gold Volleyball - Team Men - something Probable K2 W - silver K4 W - bronze Fencing - Team Epee - bronze Judo -63kg W - Angelika Szymanska - silver Sailing - IQFoil M - Paweł Tarnowski - gold Sport Climbing - Speed - N. Kałucka - bronze Athletics - Hammer Throw M - W. Nowicki - silver Maybe Canoe Slalom - Klaudia Zwolinska K1 - bronze Shooting - someone? - bronze Sailing - someone? - bronze Swimming - someone? - bronze Tennis - Mixed Doubles - bronze Volleyball - Team women - bronze Wrestling - Z. Baranowski - bronze Athletics - 400W - N. Kaczmarek - bronze With looooooooooads of luck: Beach Volleyball - Bryl/Łosiak Basketball 3x3 - Men's Team Boxing - someone Wrestling - some woman Athletics - 100m hurdles - Pia Skrzyszowska Athletics - 4x400X Athletics - 4x400W Road Cycling - W Road Race - K. Niewiadoma Track Cycling - Mateusz Rudyk - Ind Sprint - bronze

Should not the Final Round of the VNL be removed from the list? According to the qualification rules the World Ranking after the Group Stage should be used for allocation of the remaining spots in the Olympic tournament.

Wait.... like we could have BOTH teams in the competition? I thought we would have to decide for one boat....

A z innej beczki.... Oglądam właśnie mecz siatki SLO-BRA. Aż się boję, co będzie, jak w 1/4 w Paryżu przytrafi nam się mecz POL-SLO.... wpisywałby się we wszystkie najgorsze koszmary naszej siatkówki - łącznie z tym, że w XXIw. polscy siatkarze za każdym razem odpadali z innym rywalem, a Słowenii na tej liście jeszcze nie ma....;)

Wyliczenie "optymistyczne" faktycznie pomija te szanse, w które kompletnie nie wierzę (np. drużynę rugby kobiet czy halowej koszykówki) Ale p. Dzieński startuje przecież w Olympic Qualifying Series, więc szanse zachowuje. Tyle tylko, że w Szanghaju wypadł tak słabo, że teraz już chyba tylko zwycięstwo w drugich zawodach z serii może uratować kwalifikację.... por. np. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Olympic_Qualifier_Series Amen Trzymam kciuki, dodam do wersji optymistycznej Ta kwalifikacja jest już bodaj uwzględniona: https://totallympics.com/qualification-tracker/paris-2024/qualification-by-sport/swimming/mens-4-x-100m-freestyle-relay-r1480/

Actually the problem with cyclocross, snow volley, ice sailing (but this one would be tough considering the climate changes) is that the IOC had a rule not to allow the sport federations to compete in BOTH Summer and Winter Olympics.... I would love to change that rule, at least for the sake of snow volley. If we speak about minor wishes, I would like to balance quotas between some sports. Consider we have i.e. 16 quotas for taekwondo tournaments and 15 to 20 TEAM quotas in equestrian disciplines plus several individual ones. Would not that deserve a better balancing? Also I would like to have more diverse disciplines in Winter Olympics. We have all kinds of erverything in summer sports - martial arts, precision sports, ball games, pure athletics.... I miss something like snow-wrestling or....idk, like a snowball fight :D Might be a team event But as a simple wish as I sad before: snow volley would be a perfect addition to the winter programme.

I was wondering as this post came from a Brazilian, how was it meant I heard guys you had hard times with each other down there.... ;p

Hej, post przygotowany po ang, ale mam nadzieję, że będzie ok:) Any predictions for the final number of qualified athletes? As of today (30.05.2024) I stay optimistic and bet 207 with the remaining entries would be like: Archery: remains null Athletics +25 (as per WA ranking - I think the number is more or less correct, maybe could go slightly up): Badminton: remains null Basketball 5x5: remains null Beach Volleyball: +2 Boxing: +2 (being positive;) EDIT: 05.06. => 2 quotas confirmed Breaking: remains null Golf: +1 Judo: +3 EDIT: 05.06. => 3 quotas nearly confirmed from the ranking Modern Pentathlon: +2 Shooting: +1 Skateboarding: remains null Sport Climbing: +1 Swimming: remains as it is now Tennis: +4 Weightlifting +1 EDIT: 05.06. => reallocation confirmed Any challenging comments are very welcome:) Expected qualifiers: Athletics: 100m W - Stefanowicz & Tsimanouska 200m W - Tsimanouska & Kotwiła 800m W - Sarna & Wielgosz 1500m W - Płocińska 3000m W - Konieczek sisters & Królik LJ W - Horowska SP W - Kardasz DT W - Zabawska HT W - Kopron JT W - Andrejczyk 100m M - Wdowik 200m M - Komański & Żok 1500m M - Wyderka 110m M - Szymański & Kiljan PV M - Sobera SP M - Bukowiecki & Haratyk JT M - Mrzygłód & Krukowski Beach Volleyball: M: Bryl/Łosiak (FIVB ranking) Boxing: M: Durkacz, Bereznicki Golf: M: Adrian Meronk from the ranking Judo: M: Kuczera W: Szymańska, Bacut-Kłoczko Modern Pentathlon: W: Maliszewska M: Kasperczak Shooting: W: Stankiewicz through ranking Sport Climbing: W: N. Kałucka Tennis: W: Swiatek, Frech, Linette M: Hurkacz Possible positive surprises: Archery: +1 (someone in the final tournament) Athletics: +4 (Witek in JT W, Wojciechowski in PV M, some runners - Rak, Kopec?) Beach Volleyball: +2 (Gruszczyńska/Ola in the CEV European Continental Cup) Sport Climbing +1 (Dzienski?) Swimming +1 (someone?) Tennis +1 (Zielinski?)

Any predictions for the final number of qualified athletes? As of today (30.05.2024) I stay optimistic and bet 207 with the remaining entries would be like: Archery: remains null Athletics +25 (as per WA ranking - I think the number is more or less correct, maybe could go slightly up): Badminton: remains null Basketball 5x5: remains null Beach Volleyball: +2 Boxing: +2 (being positive;) Breaking: remains null Golf: +1 Judo: +3 Modern Pentathlon: +2 Shooting: +1 Skateboarding: remains null Sport Climbing: +1 Swimming: remains as it is now Tennis: +4 Any challenging comments are very welcome:) Expected qualifiers: Athletics: 100m W - Stefanowicz & Tsimanouska 200m W - Tsimanouska & Kotwiła 800m W - Sarna & Wielgosz 1500m W - Płocińska 3000m W - Konieczek sisters & Królik LJ W - Horowska SP W - Kardasz DT W - Zabawska HT W - Kopron JT W - Andrejczyk 100m M - Wdowik 200m M - Komański & Żok 1500m M - Wyderka 110m M - Szymański & Kiljan PV M - Sobera SP M - Bukowiecki & Haratyk JT M - Mrzygłód & Krukowski Beach Volleyball: M: Bryl/Łosiak (FIVB ranking) Boxing: M: Durkacz W: Budacz Golf: M: Adrian Meronk from the ranking Judo: M: Kuczera W: Szymańska, Bacut-Kłoczko Modern Pentathlon: W: Maliszewska M: Kasperczak Shooting: W: Stankiewicz through ranking Sport Climbing: W: N. Kałucka Tennis: W: Swiatek, Frech, Linette M: Hurkacz Possible positive surprises: Archery: +1 (someone in the final tournament) Athletics: +3 (Witek in JT W, Wojciechowski in PV M, some runner) Beach Volleyball: +2 (Gruszczyńska/Ola in the CEV European Continental Cup) Boxing +2 Sport Climbing +1 (Dzienski?) Swimming +1 (someone?) Tennis +1 (Zielinski?) Weightlifting +1 (universality place?)

The changes are subject to acceptance by the benefiting federations though, are they not?

The rankings after the WC have been published: https://www.ijf.org/wrl_olympic

For Poland according to Polish Boxing Association: Durkacz in, Brach out. https://pzb.com.pl/10-region/4347-kwalifikacje-olimpijskie-zwyciestwo-damiana-durkacza

They take their time there...

Well, I do not know about the others, but in Poland it is the matter of the ROI in rowing, which is a fairly measurable and comparable quote. So if you compare the cost of quotas for Poland: (only 2024, there are statistics for other years, but I do not have time now to dig deeper) 2,45M PLN for a quota in rowing 0,68M PLN for a quota in fencing (which was not a focus in Poland in the past years) 1,2M in sailing (which is MUCH more expensive when it comes to the equipment, training areas and so on) 0,95M kayak sports (both sprint and slalom - and we skip the fact that you could use the same athletes in multiple events) one sees it has become much more expensive to send a rowing athlete to the Olympics. I cannot find the respective data for i.e. 2019, but it was around 12-13M PLN for 20 athletes in Tokyo, which is around 0,6-0,7M PLN for a quota. The cost has then roughly quadrupled between Tokyo olympics and Paris. This is also a POV on a "disastrous" results - surely not the only angle, but one that widens tne perspective.

An absolute disaster for Poland With only six athletes and two boats we have reached a historical low in our rowing history. Last time we had this small team in... 1968 with only three athletes (but with only 26 athletes in total possible, so the quotient is very similar in 2024). In the 21st century we always had 20 or nearly 20 athletes qualified, so 6 this olympic cycle is a total disaster. According to the Polish Ministry of Sport, 2024 the Rowing Federation was awarded 14,7M PLN for the targeted preparations to the olympic start (https://www.gov.pl/attachment/af98eca0-deee-41a5-9764-26038d879f58, "Polski Związek Towarzystw Wioślarskich"), which was the 3rd most financed Polish sport federation (after the athletics and canoeing federations - which are both expected to deliver medals in Paris). Even though historically the Polish Rowing Federation was a good performer, something cracked since the last Olympics. The last two years were very sad time for Polish rowing fans. Let us hope it is just a temporary backlash.

Wow, that was close! But at least one men's kayak boat for Poland is in. Canoe sprint is among three most financed Polish sport federations for Olympics, so we basically should qualify in each class. No MK4 is already a huge loss... :/ Good luck to MC2! And btw - the transmission on the website of the Canoe Federation is now behind a paywall or am I just too dumb to play it?