India National Thread

[Fly_like_a_don 938]

21 minutes ago, Harit Garg said:

My Prediction from this Olympic in Terms of Medals. Please give your Comments.

 

Sport	Men	Women	Total	Medal Assumption
				Minimum	Maximum
Archery	3	1	4	1	2
Athletics	17	9	26	1	2
Badminton	3	1	67	1	1
Boxing	5	4	9	1	2
Equestrian	1	0	1
Fencing	0	1	1
Field hockey	16	16	32	1	1
Golf	2	1	3
Gymnastics	0	1	1
Judo	0	1	1
Rowing	2	0	2
Sailing	3	1	4
Shooting	8	7	15	2	5
Swimming	2	1	3
Table tennis	2	2	4
Tennis	0	2	2
Weightlifting	0	1	1	0	1
Wrestling	3	4	7	1	3
Total	67	53	120	8	17

Medal Assumption.pdf 283.97 kB · 0 downloads

I'm not sure about Archery, Hockey and Hockey for minimum. 

 

Weightlifting no doubt minimum and maximum will be 1.  Shooting anything less than 5 is a huuuuuge disaster. I mean the shooters need to be criticized if it's not 5 medals bcoz we have topped tally everytime except for the Osijek WC. So 5-8 it should be. 

[Indian Sports fan 4]

 

[Siddhartha Talukdar 125]

1 hour ago, Harit Garg said:

My Prediction from this Olympic in Terms of Medals. Please give your Comments.

 

Sport	Men	Women	Total	Medal Assumption
				Minimum	Maximum
Archery	3	1	4	1	2
Athletics	17	9	26	1	2
Badminton	3	1	67	1	1
Boxing	5	4	9	1	2
Equestrian	1	0	1
Fencing	0	1	1
Field hockey	16	16	32	1	1
Golf	2	1	3
Gymnastics	0	1	1
Judo	0	1	1
Rowing	2	0	2
Sailing	3	1	4
Shooting	8	7	15	2	5
Swimming	2	1	3
Table tennis	2	2	4
Tennis	0	2	2
Weightlifting	0	1	1	0	1
Wrestling	3	4	7	1	3
Total	67	53	120	8	17

Medal Assumption.pdf 283.97 kB · 6 downloads

Archery minimum is zero, never had hope on Deepika Kumari. Athletics minimum is also zero as even as top javelin throwers like Magnus Kirt and Andreas and Hofmann aren't participating there are many still good throwers. Boxing maximum can be increased to 3. Hockey too is a not sure-shot medal. Although Shooting a sport of fine margins, India can look to win many medals here. The World Cup in Croatia was just a blip hopefully.

[sanjaydas 9]

26 minutes ago, Siddhartha Talukdar said:

Archery minimum is zero, never had hope on Deepika Kumari. Athletics minimum is also zero as even as top javelin throwers like Magnus Kirt and Andreas and Hofmann aren't participating there are many still good throwers. Boxing maximum can be increased to 3. Hockey too is a not sure-shot medal. Although Shooting a sport of fine margins, India can look to win many medals here. The World Cup in Croatia was just a blip hopefully.

Its the Olympics. None can be sure of a medal. It could be between 7 and 17.

[nitinsanker 179]

My prediction based on current world ranking status 

 

Most likely to medal at least 9 medals from this group  ( based on world rankings ) at least 50% probability  so 9 medals from this 

 

	sport	event	name	world ranking
1	shooting	10m pistol pair	india1	1
2	shooting	50m3positions	aishwarya  singh tomar	1
3	shooting	10m pistol	yeshashwani	1
4	shooting	25m pistol	rahi sarnobhat	1
5	Boxing	52 kg	Amit	1
6	wrestling	53kg kg Free	Vinesh	1
7	archery	recurve women	deepika kumari	1
8	shooting	10m pistol	saurabh chaudhary	2
9	shooting	10m pistol	manu	2
10	shooting	25m pistol	manu bhaker	2
11	wrestling	65 kg Free	Bajrang	2
12	shooting	10m rifle pair	india1	3
13	shooting	10m pistol	abhishek verma	3
14	Boxing	51 kg	Mary Kom	3
15	Boxing	69 kg	Lovlina	3
16	wrestling	57 kg free	Ravi	3
17	wrestling	57 kg free	anshu	3
18	weightlifting	womens 49 kg	mirabai chanu	4

 

and then from this group  at least 25% probability . so possibly 4 medals 

 

 

	sport	event	name	ranking
1	archery	recurve mixed	India	4
2	Hockey	Mens team	Mens team	4
3	shooting	10m pistol pair	india2	5
4	shooting	10m rifle	divyansh  panwar	6
5	archery	recurve women	India	6
6	Badminton	women singles	PV Sindhu	7
7	wrestling	86kg Free	Deepak Punia	8
8	shooting	10m rifle pair	india1	9
9	shooting	50m3positions	sanjeev Rajput	9
10	shooting	10m rifle	anjum mudgil	9
11	archery	recurve men	atanu das	9
12	Hockey	womens team	womens team	9
13	Badminton	Mens Doubles	Chirag and satwik	10
14	shooting	10m rifle	deepak kumar	10
15	archery	recurve men	India	10

 

 

TOTAL - Likely medal tally  12-15medals ...........................................MInimum 7 ( with Rio kind of luck )  ........ Maximum 20 ( with london kind of luck ) 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Sanjib 17]

14 hours ago, nitinsanker said:

My prediction based on current world ranking status 

 

Most likely to medal at least 9 medals from this group  ( based on world rankings ) at least 50% probability  so 9 medals from this 

 

	sport	event	name	world ranking
1	shooting	10m pistol pair	india1	1
2	shooting	50m3positions	aishwarya  singh tomar	1
3	shooting	10m pistol	yeshashwani	1
4	shooting	25m pistol	rahi sarnobhat	1
5	Boxing	52 kg	Amit	1
6	wrestling	53kg kg Free	Vinesh	1
7	archery	recurve women	deepika kumari	1
8	shooting	10m pistol	saurabh chaudhary	2
9	shooting	10m pistol	manu	2
10	shooting	25m pistol	manu bhaker	2
11	wrestling	65 kg Free	Bajrang	2
12	shooting	10m rifle pair	india1	3
13	shooting	10m pistol	abhishek verma	3
14	Boxing	51 kg	Mary Kom	3
15	Boxing	69 kg	Lovlina	3
16	wrestling	57 kg free	Ravi	3
17	wrestling	57 kg free	anshu	3
18	weightlifting	womens 49 kg	mirabai chanu	4

 

and then from this group  at least 25% probability . so possibly 4 medals 

 

 

	sport	event	name	ranking
1	archery	recurve mixed	India	4
2	Hockey	Mens team	Mens team	4
3	shooting	10m pistol pair	india2	5
4	shooting	10m rifle	divyansh  panwar	6
5	archery	recurve women	India	6
6	Badminton	women singles	PV Sindhu	7
7	wrestling	86kg Free	Deepak Punia	8
8	shooting	10m rifle pair	india1	9
9	shooting	50m3positions	sanjeev Rajput	9
10	shooting	10m rifle	anjum mudgil	9
11	archery	recurve men	atanu das	9
12	Hockey	womens team	womens team	9
13	Badminton	Mens Doubles	Chirag and satwik	10
14	shooting	10m rifle	deepak kumar	10
15	archery	recurve men	India	10

 

 

TOTAL - Likely medal tally  12-15medals ...........................................MInimum 7 ( with Rio kind of luck )  ........ Maximum 20 ( with london kind of luck ) 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Nice analysis, add 1 from athletics 

 

[Madhusudhan 8]

My prediction of india medals at tokyo Olympics event wise is as under (considering the experience at rio am predicting on realistic approach):

 

Archery

 

0 medals

 

Deepika may be in tremendous form in world cups but there were no korean, chinese taipei and chinese archers at the world cups....also time after time we have seen her faltering at the crucial time in Olympics

 

Shooting

 

2 medals

 

India might have topped many world cups leading into olympics...but world cup at crotia should be eye opener as we have won 3 (olympic events) medals that too agaiin with out shooters from china, korea and japan.

 

2 medals am expecting from the events where saurabh choudhary is partcipating (individaul and mixed) as he is one shooter who was consistent and more composed.

 

Boxing

 

2 medals

 

Am expecting one from amit panghal and another from women boxers mary/lovlina/simranjeet

 

Weightlifting

 

1 medal

 

From Mirabhai....she hjust has to complete one valid lift in both snatch and clean & jerk....in olympics we never had this luxury...most likely she will win silver

 

Wrestling

 

2 medals

 

One from vinesha and another from either bajrang/ravi dahiya...... bajrang has to be at his best as his weight category is most competitive one

 

Badminton

 

1 medal

 

One from Sindhu...am giving it to her considering her big match play and no fans at olympics which would help her against yamaguchi.... most likely bronze as i don't see her overcoming Tai Tzu ying in semis

 

Hockey

 

0 medals

 

True to world ranking India mens team might finish at 4...it all depends on who they face in quarters

 

Athletics

 

0 medals

 

I would love to have neeraj winning medal but considering long lay off from injury and minimum competitive experience he will find it difficult and might finish at 4th position again narrowly missing medal in athletics at olympics

 

Rowing, Equestrian, Fencing, Sailing, Swimming, Table Tennis, Judo, Golf

 

0 medals.

 

Only we can expect good performance in TT mixed doubles...other wise its good experience of participating in olympics

 

 

All in all on realistic approach am going with 8 medals for India !! (combined total of rio and london)

 

 

On optimistic approach India can win following additional medals:

 

Shooting - 2more medals (one in mixed air rifle event and another from any shooter who can perform best on their day)

Wrestling - 1 more medal in womens category

Archery (mixed team event)/ Hockey / Athletics - 1 medal

 

All in all on optimistic approach am going with 12 medals for India !! (combined total of Rio, London, Bejing and Athens)

 

 

 

 

[sanjaydas 9]

5 hours ago, Madhusudhan said:

My prediction of india medals at tokyo Olympics event wise is as under (considering the experience at rio am predicting on realistic approach):

 

Archery

 

0 medals

 

Deepika may be in tremendous form in world cups but there were no korean, chinese taipei and chinese archers at the world cups....also time after time we have seen her faltering at the crucial time in Olympics

 

Shooting

 

2 medals

 

India might have topped many world cups leading into olympics...but world cup at crotia should be eye opener as we have won 3 (olympic events) medals that too agaiin with out shooters from china, korea and japan.

 

2 medals am expecting from the events where saurabh choudhary is partcipating (individaul and mixed) as he is one shooter who was consistent and more composed.

 

Boxing

 

2 medals

 

Am expecting one from amit panghal and another from women boxers mary/lovlina/simranjeet

 

Weightlifting

 

1 medal

 

From Mirabhai....she hjust has to complete one valid lift in both snatch and clean & jerk....in olympics we never had this luxury...most likely she will win silver

 

Wrestling

 

2 medals

 

One from vinesha and another from either bajrang/ravi dahiya...... bajrang has to be at his best as his weight category is most competitive one

 

Badminton

 

1 medal

 

One from Sindhu...am giving it to her considering her big match play and no fans at olympics which would help her against yamaguchi.... most likely bronze as i don't see her overcoming Tai Tzu ying in semis

 

Hockey

 

0 medals

 

True to world ranking India mens team might finish at 4...it all depends on who they face in quarters

 

Athletics

 

0 medals

 

I would love to have neeraj winning medal but considering long lay off from injury and minimum competitive experience he will find it difficult and might finish at 4th position again narrowly missing medal in athletics at olympics

 

Rowing, Equestrian, Fencing, Sailing, Swimming, Table Tennis, Judo, Golf

 

0 medals.

 

Only we can expect good performance in TT mixed doubles...other wise its good experience of participating in olympics

 

 

All in all on realistic approach am going with 8 medals for India !! (combined total of rio and london)

 

 

On optimistic approach India can win following additional medals:

 

Shooting - 2more medals (one in mixed air rifle event and another from any shooter who can perform best on their day)

Wrestling - 1 more medal in womens category

Archery (mixed team event)/ Hockey / Athletics - 1 medal

 

All in all on optimistic approach am going with 12 medals for India !! (combined total of Rio, London, Bejing and Athens)

 

 

 

 

Anything between 7 and 17 for me.

[Prakash 27]

Olympic Hockey 

 

The losing semifinalists in hockey might get a shot at Olympic gold in the Tokyo Games if one of the finalist teams is forced out because of COVID-19 as the afflicted side's last-four stage opponent would be elevated to the summit clash.

The other losing semi-finalist will be awarded the bronze medal.

 

 

 

[Siddhartha Talukdar 125]

PM Modi will interact with Tokyo bound athletes at 5pm, 13 July. The event will be aired on DD News. The event can also be watched in below link

https://pmevents.ncog.gov.in/