rafalgorka

I would start with women's triathlon if I don't oversleep. Then rowing finals - it looks like we are all going to watch quadruple finals - Poland has its chances for medals here, too. Both in men's and women's races. And I wonder how the views at rowing and canoeing venue will look like - it will be hard to find something more spectaculiar than Rio, with Christ the Redimeer and all the mountains around, but who knows ;-) Then swimming finals obviously - men's 200 free above all - Sun Yang launched an appeal but I do hope that it won't be successful and we will not see him in Tokyo next year. Anyway, it should be another open race, like 400 Then women's K1 slalom and MTB finals, but they are on the same time - some bad schedulling here Then some fencing - Polish women's epee team has some chances for medal - there will be only 8 teams, so with some luck... who knows... And finally women's artistic gymnastics team - it's a pity Romania is not as good as before, I was usually supporting them. In a spare time - rugby and maybe some tennis or beach volleyball I hope after day 4 Poland will have its first medal at least - if not in judo, then in rowing. But still no gold I'm afraid. PS. I do like this discussion, but writing this makes me sad somehow ;-) what if...

Swimming predictions ctd. https://swimswam.com/the-olympics-that-would-have-been-smith-murphy-king-lead-u-s-gold-rush/

11.30 pm - men's triathlon - an entertaining race, but what an awful hour here 3.30 am - swimming finals - as always 7 am - canoe slalom C1 men 7.20 am - Poland vs Italy in men's volleyball - I don't think we will win that - we are world champions twice in a row in 2014 and 2018, but we play much worse in the olympics - 4 times eliminated in quarters 2004, 8, 12, 16 8 am - cycling mtb - Schurter vs van der Poel clash noon - gymnastics - men's team - I wonder whether Russia will compete under its own flag in a spare time - men's rugby prelims and basketball of course and cheering Julia Kowalczyk in -57 kg judo contest - possible first medal for PL in Tokyo? we will see. You need a TV and a computer on to watch this simultaneously, but it is always like that with the games ;-)

Could it go that way? Here are some interesting swimming predictions. https://swimswam.com/the-olympics-that-would-have-been-seto-leads-strong-start-for-japan-on-day-1/ https://swimswam.com/the-olympics-that-would-have-been-mega-stars-shine-on-day-2/

Yes, swimming finals generally will be the highlights. 3.30 am european time but i must watch it day by day. At least they didn't agree for gymnastics finals on the same time like in Beijing. I think men's 400 free without Sun Yang will be a very open and interesting race. And women's 4x100 free relay is always great to watch. Then women's road race (with Katarzyna Niewiadoma) and first Basketball games. I hope that Greece will qualify and Giannis will show sth special!

Me, too!!! I wonder Who would play in the US team?

Day one is finished. What would you watch on day two?

I know what you mean, I will have the same when the olympics will come to LA in 2028. If we fight the virus until then :-( and watching Rio olympics in Europe wasn't easy, either. Swimming finals were so late in the night. But it wasn't staying out until 9 am, I must say.

Men's cycling road race definitely - i love this route, it is very interesting, it should be a great race, at least as good as in Rio, but more safe for the riders, I hope. I remember Alaphilippe and Evenepoel had their supporters here, but I'd rather still bet on Roglic. Van Avermaet won virtual Tour of Flanders the other day - I'm not sure if it means much, but he should be in a great form in Tokyo. Great enough for second gold? Not sure. But who knows, cycling road race is always unpredictable. From Polish perspective - I was waiting for men's volleyball. Poland vs Iran - there is a long history of tense matches between these two teams. So it should be another good match, five sets I guess. And after that - USA vs France - so a good piece of volleyball in the afternoon european time. Swimming and artistic gymnastics qualifications - I always watch these two disciplines carefully. No medals yet, but already looking for some surprises. In tennis - maybe Hubert Hurkacz could have an interesting match. I'm not really into archery - but basketball 3x3 could be something new to watch. Poland had bronze in 2019 world cup, but it is very tough challenge for them to qualify for the olympics. I'm not sure they are to able to do that. Anyway, I would have to wake up at 2 am maybe, but what the hell - it's olympics time! ;-) it would be fun.

Another question I wonder about in these first days when we should watch olympic games - whether playing softball in Fukushima is really safe? I don't have any knowledge about it, but believe it must be. Because it is very important sign that they decided to play these games in Fukushima on 2 days before the opening. I hope it is a good idea.

I can see in Nagano it was in English, too. Well, I am not sure if Japanese organizers should agree on that. I think general rule is that parade of nations is according to the organizers' alphabet. But that;s their decision. I don't agree with morning swimming finals, either. But what can you do?

There should be opening ceremony going on right now. I am So disappointed :-( I wonder what is the order of teams entering the parade in japanese language. I will check how it was in Nagano.

Next Wednesday we should watch first softball and football matches. Days off at the office were planned. Eh... Maybe at least there will be some day-to-day discussion on the forum here - what if...

Of course you can!!!

This is abbrevation - who gave points for some predictions e.g. SLO Primoz Roglic 10 3rg 3he 1gi 1be 2wu

Another interesting thing was that in my own predictions Korea Rep. had 5 golds in day one, but in the end of day 16 they had only 9 golds. So more golds in day 1 than through rest of the games. Strange, but who knows? ;-)

Day 1 Saturday I tried to count all your predictions for day 1 again I will stick to this system: 3pts - for 1st place 2pts - for 2nd place 1pt - for 3rd place If there is a tie – more 1st places, more 2nd places, more 3rd places If there is still a tie – I would try to look for the placing in qualifying competitions (e.g. weightlifting) or rankings (e.g. judo), every event will be discussed individually – the qualifying system in every sports is what matters mostly when I try to choose if more important are wch results or olympic rankings rg - @rafalgorka fl - @Fly_like_a_don gi - @Gianlu33 be - @Benolympique gg - @Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo he - @heywoodu of - @OlympicsFan ra - @Rafoo wu - @Wumo ARCHERY – Mixed Team KOR 15 3rg 3fl 3gi 3be 3wu NED 2 2rg ITA 4 1rg 1gg 2gi TPE 4 2fl 2 wu JPN 2 1fl 1be CHN 4 1gi 2be 1wu THE MEDALISTS: 1. KOREA REPUBLIC 15 2. CHINESE TAIPEI 4 (2x2) 3. ITALY 4 (1x2, 3rd in wch 2019 - CHN was 9th) CYCLING ROAD – Men Road Race SLO Primoz Roglic 10 3rg 3he 1gi 1be 2wu DEN Mads Pedersen 2 2rg ITA Matteo Trentin 2 1rg 1gg* FRA Julian Alaphilippe 10 2he 2gi 3be 3wu ITA Vincenzo Nibali 3 1he 1gg* 1wu BEL Remco Evenepoel 3 3of ESP Alejandro Valverde 5 3gi 2be FRA Julian Alaphilippe 10 (2x2) SLO Primoz Roglic 10 (1x2) ESP Alejandro Valverde 5 I personally don't agree with that. I think Roglic will go solo in last 15km or sth and noone will catch him. I can understand that there will be bunch of riders some 20secs behind and Alaphilippe and Valverde have better chances in sprint from a small group than Pedersen - but still I think gold for Roglic. This is certainly the event of a day. The race course is awesome, I hope the weather will be good, and it can be one of the best bike races in olympic history. FENCING – Women Epee Individual BRA Nathalie Moellhausen 3 3rg ROU Ana Maria Popescu 9 2rg 3gi 2be 2wu CHN Lin Sheng 1 1rg CHN Yiwen Sun 9 3of 3be 3wu FRA Coraline Vitalis 3 3of* ITA Mara Navarria 3 2gg* 1gi ITA Rossella Fiamingo 2 2gg* HKG Vivian Kong 2 2gi RUS Violetta Kolobova 1 1be KOR Injeong Choi 1 1wu CHN Yiwen Sun 9 (3x3) ROU Ana Maria Popescu 9 (1x3) BRA Nathalie Moellhausen 3 (1x3) FRA Coraline Vitalis has also 3 (1x3) but in fact @OlympicsFanwrote here that he will just cheer her on, but he predicts Yiwen Sun wins FENCING – Men Sabre Individual KOR Oh Sang-Uk 10 3rg 6gi 1be 3wu HUN Andreas Szatmari 2 2rg USA Eli Dershwitz 3 1rg 2wu ITA Luca Curatoli 5 1gg* 1gi 3be ITA Luigi Samele 3 1gg* 2be HUN Aron Szilagyi 3 2gi 1wu KOR Oh Sang-Uk 10 ITA Luca Curatoli 5 USA Eli Dershwitz 3 (2x1, 2 in Olympics rankings according to https://www.facebook.com/FencingTokyo/ and 3rd in wch 2019) JUDO – Women -48kg UKR Daria Bilodid 13 3rg 3of 3gi 1be 3wu JPN Funa Tonaki 9 2rg 2gi 3be 2wu KOS Distria Krasniqi 5 1rg 1gi 2be 1wu MGL Monkhbatyn Urantsetseg 1 1rg ESP Julia Figueroa 2 1gi 1wu KAZ Otgontsetseg Galbadrakh 1 1be UKR Daria Bilodid 13 JPN Funa Tonaki 9 KOS Distria Krasniqi 5 ESP Julia Figueroa 2 JUDO – Men -60kg GEO Lukhumi Chkhvimiani 9 3rg 1gi 1be 2wu JPN Naohisa Takato 11 2rg 3gi 3be 3wu UZB Sharafuddin Lutfillaev 5 1rg 2gi 1be 1wu KAZ Yeldos Smetov 2 1rg 1gi RUS Robert Mshvidobadze 3 2be 1wu JPN Naohisa Takato 11 GEO Lukhumi Chkhvimiani 9 UZB Shurafuddin Lutfillaev 5 RUS Robert Mshvidobadze 3 SHOOTING – Women 10m Air Rifle KOR Im Ha-Na 5 3rg 2gi IND Elavenil Valarivan 2 2rg IND Anjum Moudgil 2 1rg 1be ??? IND-CHN-TPE fl IND Apurvi Chandela 4 2gi 2be – DNSfl TPE Ying-Shin Lin 1 1gi CHN Ruozhu Zhao 3 3be KOR Im Ha-Na 5 IND Apurvi Chandela 4 CHN Ruozhu Zhao 3 @Fly_like_a_donwas not sure whether Apurvi Chandela will participate, but I decided to count her, if not there would be silver for China and bronze for India, India could go even better but @Fly_like_a_dondidn’t say which one of India shooters will claim gold in his predictions SHOOTING – Men 10m Air Pistol KOR Jin Jong-Oh 10 3rg 2fl 3gi 2be RUS Artem Chernousov 10 2rg 3fl 2gi 1be 2wu IND Abhishek Verma 2 1rg 1wu IND Chaudhary Saurabh 1 1fl CHN Wei Pang 7 1gi 3be 3wu KOR Jin Jong-Oh 10 (2x3) RUS Artem Chernousov 10 (1x3) CHN Wei Pang 7 TAEKWONDO – Women -49kg THA Panipak Wongpattanakit 10 3rg 2gi 2be 3wu KOR Sim Jae-Young 5 2rg 1gi 1be 1wu CHN Wu Jingyu 6 1rg 3be 2wu SRB Tijana Bogdanovic 3 1rg 1gi 1be CRO Kristina Tomic 1* 1ra TUR Rukiye Yildirim 4 3gi 1wu THA Panipak Wongpattanakit 10 CHN Wu Jingyu 6 KOR Sim Jae-Young 5 TUR Rukiye Yildirim 4 TAEKWONDO – Men -58kg KOR Jang Jun 12 3rg 3gi 3be 3wu ITA Vito Dell’Aquilla 7 2rg 2gg 1gi 1be 1wu ESP Jesus Tortosa 4 1rg 1gi 1be 1wu IRI Armin Hadipour 7 1rg 2gi 2be 2wu KOR Jang Jun 12 IRI Armin Hadipour 7 (3x2) ITA Vito Dell’Aquilla 7 (2x2) ESP Jesus Tortosa 4 WEIGHTLIFTING – Women 49kg CHN Huihua Jiang 6 3rg 3gi- DNSfl PRK Ri Song-Gum 11 2rg 3fl 2gi 2be 2wu IND Saikhom Mirabai Chanu 5 1rg 2fl 1gi 1wu DOM Beatriz Piron 1 1fl CHN Hou Zhihoui 6 3be 3wu – DNSfl JPN Hiromi Miyake 1 1be PRK Ri Song-Gum 11 IND Saikhom Mirabai Chanu 5 DOM Beatriz Piron 1 (7th in wch2019, 6th in 2019 rankings https://www.iwf.net/new_bw/ranking-list/?ranking_year=2019&ranking_agegroup=Senior&ranking_gender=W&ranking_category=49&ranking_lifter=all&x=1&y=8) I decided not to count China weightlifters in this category, because I think @Fly_like_a_donis right when he says China will not participate in this event, only 4 female weightlifters can participate and they have better chances for easy gold medals in other events day 1 medal table 1. KOREA REPUBLIC 5-0-1 6 2. CHINA 1-1-2 4 3. JAPAN 1-1-0 2 4. KOREA DPR 1-0-0 1 5. FRANCE 1-0-0 1 6. THAILAND 1-0-0 1 7. UKRAINE 1-0-0 1 8. INDIA 0-2-0 2 9. ITALY 0-1-2 3 10. RUSSIA 0-1-1 2 11. CHINESE TAIPEI 0-1-0 1 12. GEORGIA 0-1-0 1 13. IRAN 0-1-0 1 14. ROMANIA 0-1-0 1 15. SLOVENIA 0-1-0 1 16. SPAIN 0-0-3 3 17. BRAZIL 0-0-1 1 18. DOMINICAN REP. 0-0-1 1 19. KOSOVO 0-0-1 1 20. TURKEY 0-0-1 1 21. UNITED STATES 0-0-1 1 22. UZBEKISTAN 0-0-1 1 This is just first draft, you can still add your predictions, or change the previous ones or make them more specified (some of you just wrote – I think there will be medal for e.g. Croatia). Anyway, it looks like day 1 will be extremely good for Korea – 5 gold medals for KOR and additional 1 gold for PRK. A lot of medals for Asian countries. Japan with 1st gold medal - obviously in judo. And only 1 bronze for USA - this is bad calendar for them in day 1 and then in first few days, but I thought the same in Rio and they started with gold in 10m women's air rifle. But so far China-USA 1-0 golds / 4-1 total. Italy – no gold medal, what can I say? Germany, Netherlands and Poland – no medals at all

This week I start working almost as normal again, so I will have less time to continue this thread. Thank you all for nice conversation. Bmo have done good job to organize these polls. But I think LDOG suggestion is good, too. We will see how it goes. I will try to come back here in weekend. Stay healthy!

I like your new ideas, But I don't know how to do the polls on this website (which is kind of oldschool, but it's good, I am oldschool, too :-)) So I think the easiest solution is to continue with this 3-2-1 pts system I don't know if so many (50-60) people would like to join this prediction system, but whoever wants to do it, please join us, I will wait for your Day 1 predictions (11 events mentioned above) until Wednesday May 6th (e.g 8 p.m. Polish time), and add those points. Still no live sport going on, so it could be fun for all these boring days. In the meantime, I am trying to write my predictions for Beijing 2022, I wonder if these games will go as scheduled ;-(

I tried to count all your predictions for day 1 3pts - for 1st place 2pts - for 2nd place 1pt - for 3rd place rg - rafalgorka fl - Fly_like_a_don gi - Gianlu33 be - Benolympique gg - Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo he - heywoodu of - OlympicsFan ra - Rafoo Day 1 Saturday ARCHERY – Mixed Team KOR 12 3rg 3fl 3gi 3be NED 2 2rg ITA 4 1rg 1gg 2gi TPE 2 2fl JPN 2 1fl 1be CHN 3 1gi 2be CYCLING ROAD – Men Road Race SLO Primoz Roglic 8 3rg 3he 1gi 1be DEN Mads Pedersen 2 2rg ITA Matteo Trentin 2 1rg 1gg* FRA Julian Alaphilippe 7 2he 2gi 3be ITA Vincenzo Nibali 2 1he 1gg* BEL Remco Evenepoel 3 3of ESP Alejandro Valverde 5 3gi 2be FENCING – Women Epee Individual BRA Nathalie Moellhausen 3 3rg ROU Ana Maria Popescu 7 2rg 3gi 2be CHN Lin Sheng 1 1rg CHN Yiwen Sun 6 3of 3be FRA Coraline Vitalis 3 3of* ITA Mara Navarria 3 2gg* 1gi ITA Rossella Fiamingo 2 2gg* HKG Vivian Kong 2 2gi RUS Violetta Kolobova 1 1be FENCING – Men Sabre Individual KOR Oh Sang-Uk 7 3rg 6gi 1be HUN Andreas Szatmari 2 2rg USA Eli Dershwitz 1 1rg ITA Luca Curatoli 5 1gg* 1gi 3be ITA Luigi Samele 3 1gg* 2be HUN Aron Szilagyi 2 2gi JUDO – Women -48kg UKR Daria Bilodid 10 3rg 3of 3gi 1be JPN Fura Tonaki 7 2rg 2gi 3be KOS Distria Krasniqi 4 1rg 1gi 2be MGL Monkhbatyn Urantsetseg 1 1rg ESP Julia Figueroa 1 1gi KAZ Otgontsetseg Galbadrakh 1 1be JUDO – Men -60kg GEO Lukhumi Chkhvimiani 7 3rg 1gi 1be JPN Naohisa Takato 8 2rg 3gi 3be UZB Sharafuddin Lutfillaev 4 1rg 2gi 1be KAZ Yeldos Smetov 2 1rg 1gi RUS Robert Mshvidobadze 2 2be SHOOTING – Women 10m Air Rifle KOR Im Ha-Na 6 3rg 2gi IND Elavenil Valarivan 2 2rg IND Anjum Moudgil 2 1rg 1be - DNSfl ? IND-CHN-TPE fl IND Apurvi Chandela 4 2gi 2be - DNSfl? TPE Ying-Shin Lin 1 1gi CHN Ruozhu Zhao 3 3be SHOOTING – Men 10m Air Pistol KOR Jin Jong-Oh 10 3rg 2fl 3gi 2be RUS Artem Chernousov 8 2rg 3fl 2gi 1be IND Abhishek Verma 1 1rg IND Chaudhary Saurabh 1 1fl CHN Wei Pang 4 1gi 3be TAEKWONDO – Women -49kg THA Panipak Wongpattanakit 7 3rg 2gi 2be KOR Sim Jae-Young 4 2rg 1gi 1be CHN Wu Jingyu 4 1rg 3be SRB Tijana Bogdanovic 3 1rg 1gi 1be CRO Kristina Tomic 1* 1ra TUR Rukiye Yildirim 3 3gi TAEKWONDO – Men -58kg KOR Jang Jun 9 3rg 3gi 3be ITA Vito Dell’Aquilla 6 2rg 2gg 1gi 1be ESP Jesus Tortosa 3 1rg 1gi 1be IRI Armin Hadipour 5 1rg 2gi 2be WEIGHTLIFTING – Women 49kg CHN Huihua Jiang 6 3rg 3gi- DNSfl PRK Ri Song-Gum 9 2rg 3fl 2gi 2be IND Saikhom Mirabai Chanu 4 1rg 2fl 1gi DOM Beatriz Piron 1 1fl CHN Hou Zhihoui 3 3be – DNSfl JPN Hiromi Miyake 1 1be

Swimming and athletics - me, too. I don't know much about track cycling. Never tried to watch it carefully yet. But I will try. I watch road racing much more. It was nice discussion with you through all these days - you are obviously an expert here. Have a good weekend.

Why sadly?

I made a kind of prediction of draw at the beginning of this thread ;-) French football teams tend to implode in the tournaments, even if they look good on paper. RSA 2010, e.g. Anyway, we will see.

Thank you, very much, Joshi. I like NZ sportsmen very much. And Mahe Drysdale the most. Single sculls race was one of the best things in Rio. And he even found time to write to me all across the games on messenger, when I asked him a few times. Such a great sportsman.

Olympics are never boring ;-)))))) Thank you all for your comments, they were very interesting, I liked them all. Thank you! I think we shall not finish this thread right now. Let me rest a bit and we can come back to day one and probably change some of the predictions listening to your advices and comments. Or we can add the predictions from all of you together - I have tried to do it with men's cycling road race before. Or we can even write sth together for every event - David Wallechinsky style ;-)))). And if you want to, we can also try a new thread - UEFA EURO 2020 day after day as it could have happened ;-) Have a good day, my friends. And stay healthy!!!