thiago_simoes

Now that we have the final number of qualifiers for each nation, I'll update my predictions. "Safe" medals Artistic gymnastics: 1 medal Athletics: 1 medal Boxing: 1 medal Judo: 1 medal Sailing: 1 medal Skateboarding: 3 medals Sprint canoeing: 2 medals Surfing: 2 medals Volleyball and Beach volleyball: 2 medals Likely, but definitely not easy: Football: 1 medal Taekwondo: 1 medal Swimming and Open water swimming: 2 medals Unlikely, but feasible medals Cycling: 1 medal Fencing: 1 medal Slalom canoeing: 1 medal Tennis: 1 medal Nearly impossible medals Archery: 1 medal Table tennis: 1 medal Wrestling: 1 medal I'd say 15 medals is a realistic expectation. Some sports in the "safe medal" tier can earn more medals, like artistic gymnastics and judo, and even football can give us 2 medals, so 15 is a somewhat conservative but realistic number. Our unofficial goal is reaching 20 medals, but for this to happen we'll need excellent performances in judo, artistic gymnastics and volleyball, and we'll need at least 2 medals in athletics and swimming. It's within reach, but I honestly don't expect this to happen anymore.

I'm going with the obvious here: USA, BRA and JPN.

Overall, very conservative predictions in gymnastics. When they tried to be bold, they completely missed the mark, such as a medal for Malone on the horizontal bar (not gonna happen) and a silver medal for Dauser on the parallel bars (very unlikely). I also don't believe Tommasone will win a medal and I would never predict anything for Hashimoto, but at least he's capable of getting a medal if he hits. Steingruber is the safest prediction for the bronze medal on vault, but if my predictions are right, this will not happen.

I believe that Nicole Pircio, rhythmic gymnast, also celebrates her birthday on that day.

It looks like the whole plan of has always been: why skip the Games altogether, like did, if you can move to the country hosting the Games and repeatedly slap their faces over what they did in the past?

In Brazil, gymnastics is the second most popular sport in Tokyo. It's only behind football, of course. Also, this might surprise some people, but rhythmic gymnastics often draws more attention than artistic gymnastics around here, especially at the Pan American Games. Source: https://www.lance.com.br/olimpiada/futebol-ginastica-sao-mais-esperados-pelo-publico-brasileiro-para-jogos-olimpicos-toquio.html

Fernando Reis is out. Doping violation. I wanted him to win a medal, of course, but now I definitely won't be sad for a doper, though. The article doesn't mention the substance, but on Twitter someone mentioned it was hGH in an out of competition test in June. Source in Portuguese: https://ge.globo.com/olimpiadas/noticia/fernando-reis-do-levantamento-de-peso-e-pego-no-doping.ghtml

It's a complex matter and everyone will have a different opinion about it. On one hand, I would like all nations and territories to have the same kind of treatment from the IOC, but on the other hand it's important to be sensible and avoid unnecessary conflicts given the recent history in the region, so it's best to just let it slide and think about other things.

Definitely not a safe medal, in my opinion. She's been showing signs of inconsistency and there's also big pressure from Fan Yilin and Sunisa Lee, so all it takes is a Russian having a good day and poof, no medal for Belgium.

Women's artistic gymnastics team - USA Women's artistic gymnastics all-around - Simone Biles Women's artistic gymnastics vault - Simone Biles Women's artistic gymnastics floor - Simone Biles Rhythmic gymnastics all-around - One of the Averinas

1) Men's surfing 2) Women's skateboarding 3) And I'll be very bold here and mention women's artistic gymnastics, a discipline in which Brazil has never won a medal before. Yes, it might not make sense now, but I hope it will make sense on August 2.

Not as lifeless as the one from the 2011 World Championships, but still, by far, my least favorite venue in the last 5 editions of the Olympic Games.

Gymnastics: Artistic: Takeru Kitazono Diogo Soares Tang Xijing Amelie Morgan Alba Petisco Zeina Ibrahim Milka Gehani Nazli Savranbasi Rhythmic: Khrystyna Pohranychna Yelyzaveta Luzan Lidiia Iakovleva Tia Sobhy Maria Eduarda Arakaki Trampoline: Ivan Litvinovich Jessica Pickering

Em 2020 o calendário tinha caído exatamente em todos os meus dias de férias. Daria pra continuar trabalhando e assistir a tudo numa boa. Mas aí teve o adiamento, claro. Mas não estou reclamando. Seria impossível os Jogos acontecerem sem vacina.

I absolutely love the tracksuit and for the first time in my life I want to buy an official uniform from Brazil.

It would be very, very hard to earn a medal in the all-around competition. Two Americans, one Russian is the most likely podium. I can definitely see Rebeca Andrade or Iordache getting into the mix if anyone faulters, but it's still going to be something very unlikely to happen. I'd say 5% chances for Iordache. Beam is a lot more unpredictable and anything can happen. Iordache has not displayed consistency on beam in the last few months, but if she hits two times in a row, who knows? I would say a 5-10% chance here for a medal. My contenders for a medal in the AA final: Biles 98% Lee 80% Listunova 60% Melnikova 50% Yushan 50% MDJDS 20% Andrade 20% Iordache 5% Murakami 5% Gadirovas 5%.

Humm, obrigado. Sou assinante, sim. Então acredito que ao menos as reprises dos eventos serão mostradas integralmente. Por enquanto, os dois eventos que mais aguardo são a final do individual geral feminino, numa quinta às 8 h da manhã, e a final de salto feminino que acontece num domingo às 5 h 45. Essas duas eu faço questão de ver ao vivo. O resto vou ter que me forçar a ver gravado mesmo...

Também não lembro bem como foi a cobertura em Pequim, mas tenho quase certeza que não começaram às 22 h e certamente não seguiram até 11 da manhã. Alguma ideia sobre como o SporTV vai cobrir os Jogos Olímpicos? Eu só pretendo virar as noites nos dias de classificação de ginástica artística e dormir normalmente nos outros dias. Em agosto eu volto a dar aulas presencialmente e precisarei acordar às 5 h, então não posso simplesmente bagunçar meu relógio biológico assistindo aos Jogos Olímpicos, infelizmente. No meu mundo ideal, o SporTV vai transmitir todas as provas completas em que o Brasil medalhar ao longo da manhã e da tarde do dia seguinte, mas talvez eu esteja pedindo demais...

I can't believe how dumb the Italian federation is for allowing the national championships to happen a few days before the Olympics. Why? There's no explanation for that. And why not adding Elisa Iorio to the team? She could contribute more than Ferrari in team finals, in my opinion, even though a team medal for Italy was going to be next to impossible, anyway. I don't understand the logic behind this team, but let's wait and see.

Have you watched any of the Chinese girls? Have you watched Sunisa Lee? Even the gymnast from Chinese Taipei now has a 6.5 D start value. Who would have predicted that? Certainly, not me. In my opinion, Biles is not the favorite for the gold medal. Yes, she's the favorite for a medal, but I strongly believe one of the Chinese girls could win gold and even Lee could sneak ahead of Biles, and she could realistically end up without a medal even if she hits. This is not being a hater; this is being logical. Can Biles win gold? Yes. Will she? I'd say no. Besides, results from 2014 and 2015 mean nothing in this sport. You should have known that. No one in their right minds would put Schaffer, former beam world champion, as a contender for anything, for example.

If the Chinese girls hit, Biles will not win gold. Her beam routine is difficult, but it's not just a matter of her performing it well and the gold is hers. I'd say right now she's the favorite for a bronze medal. Definitely not gold. Also, scores in national US competitions are a joke and should never be taken seriously.

I thought I would be happy with any result, but I got really sad after England lost. Funny thing is that my neighbors were also cheering for England and I could hear lots of screaming when Italy lost their penalty chances, but yesterday literally no one cared about BRA x ARG. Anyway, congratulations, Italy! A deserved win!

I was right. First-ever medal for at the World Cup series. Vedeneeva was absolutely on fire and took home 4 out of 5 possible bronze medals. As expected, Russians took gold and silver in every individual event.

It seems that "macaco", or "monkey" in Portuguese, is trending on Twitter. Monkey emojis and mentions of the band Arctic Monkeys are also more common. If I understand things right, it's because Latin Americans, mostly Argentinians, are being racist to Brazilians after Argentina won the Copa America final. Seriously? What a shame.

I'm 13 days older than you, so that probably makes me the oldest person in this forum, I guess?