mpjmcevoy

Just gone back to the documents. Unfortunately an unused host place goes to the 2023 UCI World Champs. So if JeanJean vacated his Qualifier quota, it would go to Jones. but he won't because it's a named space; the French can't take it from him. If he kept the host space,they could give it to someone else.

Yep, that's my understanding too

Story sof far: Curate's egg. At the end of BMX freestyle Qualification, GBR are in excellent shape for 2 Men's Park spots in BMX freestyle. The big loser this AM was Logan Martin, Australia who came in 2nd and is gong to leave empty handed , Reilly and Jones effectively now 2nd and 3rd going into the final, and both with a handy buffer over the 7th placed rider overall, would take a VERY random set of results to deny them both now, especially with a third Brit as a back up. In women's freestyle, Worthington is not mathematically safe, but she is more or less in on World Champs placement at worst, again, would take a bizarrely random set of results to eliminate her, and it's not realistic. Pardoe, sadly, is gone. In Skateboard Park, Sky Brown and Lola Tambling are comfortably in come what may. Lily Strachan is agonisingly going to be first reserve, although a Brazillian, Ameriican or Japanese withdrawing is no good for her. In Men's Street, Hinson is out. In Men's Park the wrong Brit scraped through to the next round; Calvert was rather closer to a spot, and McDonald, who scraped through in 16th, is going to need a significant result to squeeze into the top 20 overall. Boulder and Lead : McNeice is almost there already already guaranteed solid points here to go with her fabulous Shanghai effort, and Thompson Smith and McArthur look pretty well placed to build on their strong shanghai outing. Breaking has not yet begun, and I will not be giving a tinker's about it when it does! It offends my dignity to refer to any professional olympic athlete as a B-boy, (I'm not even happy referring to triathlon athletes who are clearly domestiques as 'pilots', frankly) so I'm afraid someone else will have to keep us up to date on B-Boy shakeyabooty and B-Girl Farmersmarket.

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It's slightly complicated, but the bottom line is that GBR are all but guaranteed a quota from the World Champs, subject to enough continents getting in. But the calculation can't happen until the OQS results are in, it's all a bit weird. As it stands, Hannah Roberts will give up her World Champs slot, which will bring Charlotte to the 2nd of three spots in WC, which allows room for an African qualifier. I think one of the chinese might too, and given the Australia is there, africa is probably the only 'continental' spot needed. basically so far we have : French host, 2022 USA, SUI (both of whom are here in top 12), 2023 (same USA H Roberts) CHN GBR - but these aren't confirmed until after the OQS French is therefore irrelevant, as if they get a OQS spot, they cough up the Host spot and 6 becomes 7 anyway The only continental slots that would be required would be Africa/Oceania, but there's an aussie in the OQS shake up, There are also two chinese and 2 us in the shakeup - if they finish with 2 in top 6, they cough up their world champs clots which pushes CW further up in that class. bottom line is I think she can be eliminated, but it would take a VERY specific, very peculiar set of results.

You're right - my excel glitched me!

I crushed the numbers, and Tambling is, by my count, defo in - when excess NOC places from Japan, Brazil and USA are excluded, she cannot finish lower than functional 20th - she is currently functional 15th with the vast bulk of those still able to get big marks already above here. Sky brown is absolutely safe, obviously. Those in green can earn more points, those in blue are maxed out and those in pink don't matter for other Q purposes because they can only qualify by displacing another of their NOC As can be seen, Q is essentially over for anyone not Aussie, Brazilian American or Japanese - if you aren't fucntionally top 20 now, you aren't going to be, and if you are, you aren't going to fall out. Lilly Strachan is the unlucky loser at 21 (ignore 28), which will make her first reserve - but given france have 2 in the top 20 (functional), they will give up their 'host' space, and Strachan scrapes in as the last Q. happy to be corrected though .

Before Archibald's injury announcement I'd have thought this was almost a foregone conclusion of GBR - NED - ITA in that order. I still think that will be the order, but it's far from a sure thing now. I think it's quite likely Harrie sweeps men's sprint and Emma Finucance sweeps women's. I think Italy and GBR are duking it out in Endurance but there won't be any sweeps. I think GBR 4, NED 3 ITA 3 BEL 2 is quite likely on the gold front, though France and Australia will probably ghave something to say - before Archibald went down I'd have gone GBR as many as 6-7 golds, thanks to Archibold and Finucane

Will you shut up about bloody 'funding disasters'? Enough already. It is repetetive trolling, and you clearly know nothing about the funding model. It's obvious. So stop pretending you've anything useful to say on it. Stop derailing interesting threads with your ridiculous obsession with doom-mongering. You've been warned often enough, it's obviously not accidental.

No exaggeration to say probably the single worst bit of news Team GBR could have gotten in terms of hopes - at a stroke, three possible golds have possibly gone up in smoke. That said, and to be clear there is no replacing Archibald, Team GB on the women's side go quite deep. no longer gold favourites for any of the three medals, but Barker and Evans are absolutely plausible in the two non team pursuit events, and I'd still fancy a medal, though not gold, in team pursuit. Heartbreaking for Archibald who has had a run of 'luck' that you wouldn't wish on your worst enemy. Only hope she finds the motivation to give it one more go in LA.

Hey, i love the greeks, and there's an interesting cultural undertow here, eastern and balkan Europe has clearly taken the champs a bit more seriously than Western Europe - but, I mean, Pop is here doing 46s. It's not so much D' level as it is uneven in the extreme - some bits damn close to A standard, some struggling to hit C, sometimes within the same race.

As I understand it, yes.

Very, very hard not to take French who came straight back to form last week. I think Green's goose is cooked. The interesting choice is Bryson v Varley. Bryson had dome form, Varley had the class.

Diving did. Ross Haslam, Daniel Goodfellow and Eden Cheng all won quotas they didn't get. In modern Pentathlon it looks increasingly likely Olivia Green will no ge the quota she won.

I thought it was a nominative quota?

Guess I was spot on. Can't imagine Coldwell got initial call and Waugh overturned it, the two were so close either was justifiable - which makes me think my original call was bang on. Tough on Codwel, but I think Waugh is probably a better future bet....

If Murray and Wawrinka get in on ranking (as now seems likely), who gets the legacy spots?

Agree, huge shame. I'm not as opposed to multiple champs in one year as some, but we saw similar problems - if not quite on the same scale - in the Euro athletics and World indoors. In sports were build and taper are big things (as opposed to the season long slog of cyclng or triathlon, for example) there needs to be a rethink on the timing of Olympic year Euros - hold them toward end of season well after the Olympics and you'll get a better product - sure some Olympicos might miss it, but others will treat it as a lap of honour, and a chance to meet heroes, and others will see it as a redemption opoortunity to rescue the season after Olympic disappointment, or missing them altogether, while also perhaps showcasing some new names for the new Olympic cycle.

Is this an indian mocking other countries doping?

The question is can IRL get to the mixed final without her? If they can, she'll absolutely run the final. but if they calculate they cannot, decisions will have to be made

I don't think it's impossible they've picked Waugh as having more long term potential, and Sophie is appealling.

S0 far we have 5 handbacks by GBR, 3 by CAN and now 2 by AUS

That's an easy position to take when tou have a country of 1.4 billion people obsessed with that one sport. My view is 'loathe away', but don't expect the rest of us to care, or capitulate.

Scotland and Ireland both lost against higher ranked opposition, so I suspect that's a wash. I don't think either team has any more T20s before 30 June. So as long as Bangla overturn Nepal, i think we're OK.

I think Greg Rutherford, Shara Proctor, Lorraine Ugen and Jasmin Sawyer did all right to be fair.