with results from the Pan-American Championships , I calculated the possible new ranking for 61kg. I tried to be accurate but if you see a mistake, let me know.
I removed athletes with just 4 events, because they can't reach max 6 with just 1 event left in Colombia
no = didn't participate in the continental champs
1. Li - 4448
?. Irawan - 4162 (no)
-. Qin - 3999 (no) (2nd CHN)
-. Thach - 3765 (VIE with 3 doping cases)
2. Mosquera - 3762 (COL with 3 doping cases)
3. Itokazu - 3534
4. Mishvelidze - 3376
-. Laptseu - 3356 (NOC limited to 1)
5. Grozdev - 3323 (NOC limited to 2)
6. Brandhuber - 3284 (also eligible for 67)
-. Serna - 3046 (no) (2nd COL)
7. Hardel - 3028 (NOC limited to 2)
8. Son - 3014 (NOC limited to 1)
9. Kao - 3001
10. Garcia - 2992
11. Baru - 2976 (Oceania)
-. Mau - 2976 (2nd GER)
12. Al Saleem - 2919
13. Mirzayev - 2848
14. Calderon - 2817
-. Zurita - 2816 (no)
15. Ruiu - 2797
-. Scarantino - 2796 (no) (2nd ITA)
-. Onate - 2725 (no) (2nd CUB)
-. Vazquez - 2702 (no)
16. Brachi - 2678
* Colombia can be banned from the Olympics, since they have 3 doping cases inside the qualification zone but none of them are sanctioned yet so it seems they have a chance to survive. otherwise they wouldn't host a qualification event.
* I'm sure BLR is not going to pick Laptseu, but I'm not sure about BUL, KAZ and TUR, don't know how good they are in other weights. for Kazakhstan it will be between this guy or Bersanov (109kg) I believe Son will go to Tokyo
* Baru from PNG can still make it to top 8 and to help Oceania qualify another weightlifter but interestingly there is nobody else from Oceania in the ranking in this weight !!
* the best athlete from Africa right now is from Madagascar and he can't make it to top 8.
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so considering everything, these guys have a better chance to qualify
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there are so many variables. Germany can drop Brandhuber for Mau who had a better result in the Euro, Colombia can be banned, Indonesia can still qualify by participating in the last event, Bulgaria and Turkey may try different weights, and some weightlifters still can improve their ranking points in the Colombia event. for example TPE is too close to KAZ for the Asian spot. and the Saudi guy was on fire in Asia, he can do that too.