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Everything posted by MHSN
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yeah I'm watching, just one time singlet grabbing (2pts caution + 1 pts for a lost challenge) and that was enough. one mistake is enough in close matches even though I have to say he is not that good anymore.
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biggest upset of the day so far, Murtazaliev just lost to a guy from Germany of course it was a lucky 1-1 win but still Murtazaliev was great in Euro Champ but today he gassed early and couldn't score. Savolainen is also out. that opens the door for Kakhelashvili to maybe win a quota.
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he wasn't impressive in his first match, just stole a lucky 1-1 win (I hate it whenever a match ends with the scoreline) but none of the guys in his half is better than him, probably not the favorite but he has a chance
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no huge surprise so far but Nemes and Tibillov are already out. Nemes tried every dirty trick to find a way but simply none of them worked and Tibilov surprisingly lost like an amateur by 4 back to back gut-wrenches. some guys I would considered as favorites didn't look good in their first matches, I think we will have some surprising quota winners.
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Finally home now let's take a look at Greco brackets but keep in mind European competitions in Greco-Roman is very competitive , there are only few clear favorites. most of the quotas are hard to predict 60kg: Asian totally dominated this weight at worlds, which means we were supposed to see the whole Europe here, but Nazaryan (BUL) is absent and Armenia is not here too. still a very unbalanced draw makes the situation more interesting in top half Ciobanu couldn't dream of a better draw. his first round is a bit tricky but I think he has a clean path to the semifinal with the guy from BLR as his only half serious rival. he does stupid mistakes sometimes but barring that I can't see him losing the quota. bottom half is a completely different story with Allahiarov, Mammadli, Abuladze, Tibilov, Basar and couple more solid wrestlers like Arnaut. we have 3 World medalists from 63kg with two of them facing each other in the first round, Turkey is using a different guy after Kerem Kamal losing in Euro. I'm not sure if that was a good idea but Basar will face Tibilov and the winner gets Kinsinger (2020 Olympian) Mammadli is the current European Champion and he is wrestling at home which will give him a better chance. World Champion L. Abuladze will face Arnaut in the 2nd round and possibly Allahiarov in QF. lots of 50/50 matches in this half but my picks are 67kg: balanced draw we have few "good" wrestlers in top half, Vancza, Nehoda, Amaev, Nasibov and even Thoresen. it's hard to pick one, Nasibov is an Olympic silver medalist but he never "shined" after Tokyo, Amaev won a bronze in Euro in his first serious 67kg competition and Nehoda had some decent results in VehbiEmre tourney few weeks ago. I think one of these 3 guys will get it. I think Bichurin (RUS) and Can (TUR) are top favorites in bottom half. we also have Mihut and Chkhikvadze facing each other in first round. the winner most probably goes to the SF and needs one more win. Can is my pick here but he has to beat world medalist Sleiva first (terrible at 67kg) and Bichurin and Sylla (FRA) who is also good. it will be really hard for Can to win 3 tough matches. but still my picks 77kg: top half is harder, 72kg World Champ Ghanem will wrestle the Russian Tulubaev and the winner gets Nemes and the winner gets my favorite guy Gutu, we also have former World 82kg Champion Akbudak in this half with Kamenjasevic. I'm going to cross Ghaem off, he was terrible in this new weight in Euro Champ. I think it will be between SRB, RUS or TUR, also I see a small chance for CRO but I hope Gutu wins it Nemes is really hard to score on, he is a tough guy, sometimes very boring I see two clear fovorites in bottom half, Levai and Lomadze . maybe only 1 or 2 wrestlers like Kuvatov or Liakh can challenge them. my picks 87kg: I see 3 big names in top half, Abbasov, Bisultanov and Komraov. Bradu and Huklek are OK but I don't think they have a realistic chance to qualify. Bisultanov was great until his injury, I'm not sure about his current shape but if he is ready he can beat anybody. Abbasov is getting too many chances by Azerbaijan but he always chokes in important matches, therefore I think European Champion Komarov is the main favorite here. it will be between him and Bisultanov IMO we have some solid wrestlers in bottom half but I think it will down to AIN/AIN semifinal match, Alirzaev won a tournament in Turkey recently. but Maskevich is very technical and can score big number if he gets his chance in par-terre. also we have the tricky Kessidis (the conman) there might be a slim chance for Khetsuriani or Mukubu. my picks are 97kg: Murtazaliev is a last minute change for Russia and oh boy this kid made me wow in European Champ. the top half is really hard but if he wrestlers as good as that tournament, that's his quota to lose. he also has a not-so-hard path to the SF (only has to beat a mediocre AZE wrestler) but the first quarter is insane with Savolainen, Kakhelasvili, Szoke and Kobliashvili, whoever survives this brutal quarter will be a bit tired too, makes things easier for Murtazaliev no favorite here, everybody in bottom half can consider himself lucky. I'm very surprised with Turkey's entry, this guy was terrible so far, not sure why they are sending him! Venckaitis and Kajaia are favorite "on paper" but they are simply not good enough. Venckaitis had a dream run at Worlds but lost 3 matches and finished 6th and Kajaia is too old. even the Netherlands has a chance for quota here, or maybe Austria. it's really hard for me to pick one but I try something new this time , I say 130kg: I see 7 tough guys are in bottom half, any of them can steal a 1-1 win, Kuosmanen (FIN) beat our very talented young wrestler few weeks ago, so I know he is in good shape. Georgia is trying a new guy, you never can underestimate GEO in heavyweight. we also have Chernetsky and that Romanian guy with a long name. any of them can win the quota. but Fredrikas (LTU) has a bye and an easier road to the SF. as I said a 1-1 win is always possible in Super heavyweight, everybody has a chance here, and I mean really everybody Semenov is the clear favorite in bottom half. he will face the most boring man on the planet Heiki F. Nabi in the QF (Nabi will try for a 1-1 win. that's for sure) he has to beat the winner of Kandelaki/Marvik too. Kandelaki can be dangerous sometimes. still I say
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Nope. USA has 3 other much better athletes in other weights Beside that in this case IWF will decide wich weight will receive a wild card or reallocation
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Brackets are out. Im not at home right now. Hopefully i can write something about it at midnight
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In weightlifting there is always chance for reallocation. Anybody ranks 11 to 13 or even 14 and 15 still has a realistic chance Beside the obvious reason (doping) injuries also happen alot in this sport
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it's not started yet https://www.iwf.net/scoreboard/graphics/get_scoreboard_IWF.html
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whoever achieves it first
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73kg looks very interesting with Rahmat Erwin and Shi Zhiyong (hopefully healthy) battling but unfortunately I won't be able to watch it if someone wants to make a list after it, there was only 1 significant result from Group B or C, Briken Calja with 333kg which put him in 13th place Karem Ben Hnia (currently 14th) is guaranteed a place in Paris since there is nobody from Africa and Oceania in Group A to challenge him. (he beats the athlete from Madagascar by just 1 kilo) lots of athletes are remaining in Group A but most of them are already in Top 10, there won't be much changes anyway. the big question is about Shi Zhiyong , I assume he has to win the event to convince the Chinese coaches.
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you will have it in 2 or 3 hours, has not happened yet
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Abdulrashid Sadulaev is out of Euro qualifiers. His name had been replaced with Zhabrailov who is still good enough to win the quota but far from guaranteed Thats pathetic
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Women's 59kg quotas and next in line: this is a bit messed up because Ukraine should be banned from the Olympics (still not a sure thing). China might not pick up this weight as well. (Luo Shifang broke the WR but injured herself in the process, not sure how serious it was) and when it comes to realocation, USA will pick 3 other weights, this Belgian girl is also qualified at 49kg!! she is currently 59kg but still I don't how is the order of things, can she wait for a reallocated quota in this weight (which she prefers) or she has to confirm her 49kg quota first ? MHL has the continental quota for now (she might even get into top 10)
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61kg quotas, no change in top 10 even though some of them improved their results and next in line in case of reallocation:
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Weightlifting Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
MHSN replied to Totallympics's topic in Weightlifting
Rustam Djangabaev (6th in current ranking at +102kg) is tested positive for doping, his name had been removed from the World Cup start list, which means he is not going to Paris 2024 anyway that's his 2nd time, we won't see him for a while, maybe forever. -
You mean you can't see that in the ranking list ? I took a screenshot 20 minutes ago and I still can see the sign, but if you change the month to February (to see the previous month's ranking) that sign disappears, which means it's something new. that can be just a mistake though
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Morea Baru lifted 281kg today in Group C of men's 61kg. there is nobody from Oceania or Africa competing in Group B or A tomorrow. which means he will 100% finish as the best athlete from these 2 continents. Asia and Europe have multiple athletes in top 10, America has just one, Morris from USA is currently #7 and I'm sure he will stay in top 10. so PNG lost a quota today by 1kg but they will qualify their first athlete for Paris tomorrow
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and the continental quota goes to Randafiarison , she beat the girl from PNG by just 1 kilo. Toua (PNG) lifted 171 yesterday in Group C (which was 1kg better than Randafiarison's previous record) but Randafiarison beat her once again by 172kg today in Group B
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not familiar with the names but I think they are Afghans, at least based on how their names are written , we usually transliterate it names differently. yeah I agree this refugee team is getting ugly. but at least they look like real refugees (which means amateur and weak athletes) unlike most of those participated in Euro qualifiers.
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World Cup start book https://iwf.sport/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2024/03/2024-IWF-World-Cup_Start-Book.pdf this is the last chance for everybody
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Fencing Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
MHSN replied to Totallympics's topic in Fencing
I think this is great that Germany can't qualify a single team. that's great for future generations, I mean 2040-2050 if IOC (or the World the way it is now) exists that long we are still paying the price of that 1976 team gold medal -
not interesting in this topic but World Aquatics is using the term AQUA instead of WA (which you are using in the title) just saying
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Wrestling UWW African/Oceanian Olympic Qualifier 2024
MHSN replied to Totallympics's topic in Wrestling
so this is it, a last minute takedown gave the last quota to Egypt by a 3-3 win here is the summary of qualified NOCs 57kg: 65kg: 74kg: 86kg: 97kg: 125kg:
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