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Qualification for LA28 Road to LA 2028


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Posted (edited)

Gonna try and keep track of what we qualify for automatically, where we can pick up other slots, etc.

 

Sport Host Country Quota Additional Quota Opportunities Estimated Total M Estimated Total W
3x3 Basketball 1 team per gender None 4 4
Archery 3 (recurve) + 1 (compound) per gender (assuming we enter 3+1 in WCh) None 4 4
Artistic Gymnastics 1 per gender 4 per gender, most probably coming in WCh in 2026 or 2027 5 5
Artistic Swimming 8 (1 team and 1 duet from it) None 0 8
Badminton 1 per gender Up to 14 more, based on BWF ranking 3 4
Basketball 1 team per gender None 12 12
Baseball / Softball 1 team per gender None 24 15
Beach Volleyball 1 team per gender 1 more team per gender, pending ranking and/or winning tournaments 4 4
Boxing TBD, prob 3 Up to 1 per event 4 4
Canoe - Slalom 1 per gender Up to 2 more per gender (pending rankings and/or tournaments) 1 1
Canoe - Sprint 2 per gender Up to 6 more per gender (pending rankings and/or tournaments) 3 2
Coastal Rowing 1 per gender None 1 1
Cricket 1 team per gender None 15 15
Cycling - BMX Freestyle 1 per gender Up to 1 more per gender (pending tournaments) 2 2
Cycling - BMX Racing 1 per gender Up to 2 more per gender (pending ranking, and/or tournaments) 3 2
Cycling - Mountain Bike 1 per gender Up to 1 more per gender (pending rankings) 2 2
Cycling - Road 2 per gender (Road Race only) Up to 2 more per gender for RR (depending on Nations Ranking, we will probably have 1 more man, 0 more women), up to 2 per gender for time trial (1 is based on Nations Ranking, the other is pending a Top 10 finish in TT in 2027 WCh) 3 2
Cycling - Track None Lots available, just gotta have the rankings 5 2
Diving 4 per gender (synchro events) 4 more available based on tourneys 8 8
Equestrian 1 team of 3 per discipline None 9
Fencing 6 slots total (in addition to what we earn) 12 more possible (6 per gender) 9 9
Field Hockey 1 team per gender None 16 16
Flag Football 1 team per gender None 10 10
Golf 1 per gender Up to three more (rankings) 4 3
Handball 1 team per gender None 14 14
Judo 7 per gender None 7 7
Lacrosse 1 team per gender None 11 11
Modern Pentathlon 1 per gender 1 more per gender possible 1 1
Rhythmic Gymnastics 1 team, 1 individual 1 more individual possible 0 7
Rowing 1 per gender up to 21 more 22 18
Rugby Sevens 1 team per gender None 12 12
Sailing 7 per gender None 7 7
Shooting 6 per gender Up to 6 more per gender 9 9
Skateboarding 2 per gender Up to 4 more per gender 6 6
Soccer 1 team per gender None 18 18
Sport Climbing 1 per gender per discipline (B/L/S) Up to one more per gender per discipline 4 4
Squash 1 per gender Up to one more per gender 1 2
Surfing 1 per gender Up to two more 2 3
Swimming (inc. OWS) TBD (pool), 1 per gender (open water) Up to 26 per gender total for pool, 2 for open water 27 27
Table Tennis 3 per gender None 3 3
Taekwondo 2 per gender Up to 2 more per gender 2 2
Tennis 3 per gender Up to 3 more per gender 6 6
Track & Field TBD TBD 58 58
Trampoline 1 per gender 1 more possible per gender 1 1
Triathlon 2 per gender 1 more per gender 2 3
Volleyball 1 team per gender None 12 12
Water Polo 1 team per gender None 11 11
Weightlifting 3 per gender None (unless bonus Best Lifter) 3 3
Wrestling None Up to 12 M and 6 W 10 6
    Estimated Total: 391 386
      9
    Estimated Grand Total 786

 

 

Calendar

12-16 Aug 2026 - Rhythmic Gymnastics WCh 2026 (Top 3 get a quota)

17-25 October 2026 - World Gymnastics WCh (Top 3 finish = we get a team)

1-15 Nov 2026 - ISSF WCh (lots of quotas available...and then pay attention to every ISSF PanAm+Global event after that, starting 21 Nov PanAm event in Lima)

3-7 Nov 2026 - Urban Cycling WCh (potential BMX freestyle extra quota if we win)

4-9 November 2026 - NORCECA Beach Volleyball Championship (win = we get a team)

13-19 Nov 2026 - World Surf Games 2026 - Top 1 gets a quota

26 Jun-18 Jul 2027 - World Aquatics 2027 WCh Budapest (top 8 = we get a quota for Water Polo, Top 3 for open water)

2027 - UIPM World Cup Final (win = we get a quota)

July 2027 - PanAm Games (Sport Climbing - If we win, we get a quota for that discipline, Diving - If we win, we get an individual quota, Modern Pentathlon - win and/or be top 2 NORCECA, opportunity for MTB, Squash - win = quota, Surf - win = quota)

August 2027 - Beach Volleyball WCh (win = we get a team, if we haven't already)

16-22 August 2027 - World Archery WCh (make sure we enter 3+1 to receive our quota)

August 2027 - World Climbing Championships (if we win, we get a quota for that discipline)

23-29 Aug 2027 - Rowing WCh (lots of quotas up for grabs)

24 August-5 September 2027 - UCI World Championship (Extra Time Trial Quota if we place in top 10, potential BMX Racing/Freestyle extra quota, opportunity to qualify MTB)

2027 - BMX Racing PanAmCh

11-19 Sep 2027 - Wrestling WCh (medallists qualify)

15-19 Sep 2027 - Rhythmic Gymnastics WCh 2027 (Top 12 get a quota)

World Surf Games 2027 - Top 1 gets a quota

2027 - UIPM WCh 2027 - Quota if we're top non-qualified

28 September-6 October 2027 - World Gymnastics WCh (Top 9 finish = we get a team, if we haven't already)

October 2027 - Swimming WC - Qualify for new 50m events

November 2027 - Trampoline WCh (Top 8 get a slot)

December 2027 - Taekwondo Grand Prix Championship Series (win = quota)

2028 - Diving World Cup Stops 1 and 2 - Last chance to score big and get a quota

2028 - Rowing Continental Regatta (probably won't need)

2028 - Rhythmic Gymnastics PanAm Comp (Top 1 gets a quota)

2028 - PanAm Taekwondo Comp (but probably won't be eligible to participate)

2028 - PanAm Wrestling Tourney (top 2 get a slot)

2028 - World Wrestling Last Chance Qualifier (top 1 gets a slot)

2028 - Trampoline PanAm Comp (Potential slot)

2028 - OQE for Open Water Swimming (TBD)

2028 - World Surf Games 2028 - Top 10 = quota

April 2028 - Fencing Zonal Qualifiers

2028 - Canoe Slalom PanAms and Global Qualifier, Canoe Sprint PanAms

2028 - Last Chance Rowing Regattas

21-27 May 2028 - 2028 BMX Racing WCh (potential extra quota)

2028 - UIPM WCh 2028 (quota to top 3 non-qualified)

2028 - Sport Climbing OQS (last chance to qualify)

 

Rankings to Check

Rhythmic Gymnastics World Cup Ranking - 30 Jun 2027

Canoe Slalom Olympic Ranking - 3 Oct 2027

UCI Road Nations Ranking - 19 Oct 2027

Canoe Sprint Olympic Rankings - 31 Dec 2027

AQUA (pool) Points - 1 Jan 2028

Wrestling Rankings - 2028

Taekwondo Olympic Rankings - 6 January 2028

AQUA Open Water Rankings - 1 Feb 2028

FIVB Beach Volleyball Ranking - March 2028

Skateboarding initial Ranking - 31 March 2028

FEI Fencing Ranking - 1 April 2028

UCI Track Olympic Rankings - 11 Apr 2028

Trampoline WC Ranking - 30 Apr 2028

ISSF Rankings - 1 May 2028

BWF LA28 Ranking - 2 May 2028

Triathlon Ranking - 18 May 2028

Squash Rankings - 22 May 2028

Weightlifting Best Lifter - 23 May 2028

BMX Racing Ranking - 30 May 2028

Mountain Bike Ranking - 30 May 2028

IGF Rankings - June 2028

UIPM Rankings - June 2028

Surfing Rankings - June 2028

Tennis Rankings - June 2028

Final Skateboarding rankings - 11 June 2028

 

Edited by clemsonbeav
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Posted (edited)

And just like that...holy dang...an estimated 786 athletes.  Like, just our men and just our women will be larger than most nations.

 

(Only :USA , :FRA , :AUS , :GER , :JPN , :ITA , :CHN , and :ESP were just as large or larger than just our men or just our women in Paris 2024.)

 

Screenshot 2026-03-14 at 10.22.33 AM.png

 

That's ridiculous.  How in the world are we supposed to keep track of all of this.  :p 

Edited by clemsonbeav
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