How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026？ Road to Milano Cortina 2026

[phelps 8,375]

1 hour ago, BMOlympics said:

Well, it has been tested at the Dutch Olympic trials, and nearly all surprising qualifiers wore this new suit, although it's not public knowledge what skaters did or didn't wear the new suit.

still, I'm more interested in what Jutta's going to wear under the suit 

[Andre Han 13]

China's medal prospects
 
Short Track Speed Skating: This is the event with the deepest emotional ties to China's winter sports, as China's first Olympic gold medal in winter sports came from this discipline. Unsurprisingly, people have high expectations for it in this Winter Olympics. Medal prospects are mainly focused on men's individual events and the two relay events. However, considering the strong strength of William Dandjinou, I think the probability of winning gold in men's individual events is very low. Instead, the main gold medal hopes lie in the men's relay and mixed relay.
Medals: 1-3.

My guess: 1 gold;

Optimistic: 2 golds
 
Freestyle Skiing: The performance of this event is crucial to China's success in this Winter Olympics. Eileen Gu remains our super star and is highly competitive in slopestyle and halfpipe. As for the big air, if I remember correctly, she hasn't competed in this event since the Beijing Winter Olympics, so it's hard for me to make a clear judgment on her performance in this individual event.
China has the potential to compete for medals or even gold in all three medal events of freestyle skiing aerials. However, given the unpredictability of aerials, the results could be either disastrous or brilliant. Xu Mengtao will compete in her fifth Winter Olympics.
Medals: 3-6.

My guess: 3 golds;

Optimistic: 4 golds
 
Speed Skating: Similar to the situation in Beijing, the medal hopes still lie with Gao Tingyu and Ning Zhongyan. However, Stolz has shown extremely strong dominance during the Milan Olympic cycle, so I don't think there will be any gold medals in this event. Gao Tingyu has performed excellently in the previous two Winter Olympics, and I still believe he can win a medal in the 500m. Ning Zhongyan also has the potential to win medals in the 1000m and 1500m.
Medals: 1-3.

My guess: 0 gold;

Optimistic: 0 gold
 
Snowboard: Like in Beijing, Su Yiming remains the star of China's snowboarding. He has maintained a very good competitive form this season, with great chances especially in the big air event, where he will aim to defend his title. He also has the potential to win a medal in slopestyle.
Medals: 1-2.

My guess: 1 gold;

Optimistic: 1 gold
 
Skeleton: Men's events and mixed team events are opportunities to compete for medals, with Yin Zheng being the key athlete for medal contention.
Medals: 1-2.

My guess: 0 gold;

Optimistic: 1 gold
 
Curling: China will send both men's and women's teams to this event. Both teams have the ability to compete with high-level strong teams. I predict that either the men's or women's team will reach the top four.
Medals: 0-1.

My guess: 0 golds;

Optimistic: 0 golds
 
Ski Jumping: This is still a less developed event for China, but Zeng Ping has made significant progress this season, entering the top 8 in many high-level competitions. There is a chance to compete for a medal, but it will be very difficult to achieve. If it really happens, I think it will be quite incredible.
Medals: 0-1
 
I think other events have no chance of winning medals.
 
summary,

Optimistic: 8 golds and 17 medals; 
My guess: 5 golds and 14 medals; 
Worst-case scenario: 3 golds and 11 medals.

Edited 2 hours ago by Andre Han

[Josh 11,751]

1 hour ago, phelps said:

still, I'm more interested in what Jutta's going to wear under the suit 

You and me both 

[Josh 11,751]

1 hour ago, clemsonbeav said:

I was just doing my prediction on the other thread, and then I calculated... I had 21 Gold, 8 Silver, 15 Bronze.  Probably a little too hopeful.   Oops!  (And I didn't even think I was being too optimistic as I was filling it out...guess so...)

I’ll go bungee jumping naked if that happens

[copravolley 552]

2 hours ago, phelps said:

still, I'm more interested in what Jutta's going to wear under the suit 

You'd have to ask her simpatic boyfriend from the USA about that, who is often seen at competitions with her participation

Edited 45 minutes ago by copravolley