[PREDICTION CONTESTS] Paris 2024 Olympic Bet Contest Discussion Thread

[Wumo 2,915]

 

 

This contest consists of a series of questions suggested by and asked to the users about Paris 2024. They have to answer yes or no to each question asked while also placing a "bet" of a certain number of points for each question.

 

These are some examples:

2 - The best-placed European NOC in the overall 2020 Summer Olympics medal table will be United Kingdom. [YES/NO - X]

21 - There will be at least one nation who will win 8 medals or more, but won't win a gold medal. [YES/NO - X]

 

or for specific sports and disciplines:

 

Athletics (12)

50 - A non-European athlete will win gold in either Men's or Women's Javelin Throw. [YES/NO - X]

 

I will need the help from you, the Totallympians, to make suggestions for possible questions that can be asked in this contest. This discussion thread will be used for users to make your suggestions for possible questions that can be featured in the contest. You can here see the questions (and the overall format) that were used for the 2020 contest, so you can get an idea of what questions could be suggested.

 

 Explained VERY briefly here, there will be 100 questions. Overall questions and at least one question for each sport. Each user will have a fixed amount of points for his or her disposal. Each user will have 10x10, 10x9, 10x8, 10x7...10x2, 10x1. Let's use an example. This means that User A have, and to clarify, only have the option to bet 10 points on 10 different questions. Likewise User A only have the option to bet 7 points on 10 other questions and etc. Users must use all of their fixed amount of points in this contest.

 

This was a very short explanation of the point system. I hope most of you understand the system. In case you have further questions, you are welcome to ask them in this thread, the Totallympics Prediction Contests Discussion thread or send a PM to me with your question/s.

 

Users can make suggestions for possible question until the deadline which will be July 10th, 23:59 (GMT). After the deadline has been reached, 100 suggested questions will be selected and used for the contest. Lastly, I would also like to ask each user not to make more than 30 suggestions each.

 

That's all from me

 

Wumo.

Edited Sunday at 08:29 PM by Wumo

[Book 40]

Overall

 

Pacific Island nations in Oceania (including New Zealand, not Australia) will win more medals than Caribbean nations.
 

Ceremonies 

 

The opening ceremony will be more than 4 hours in total length.

 

The US team will require more than one boat for the opening ceremony.

 

For the Los Angeles segment of the closing ceremony, there will be a shot featuring Griffith Observatory.

 

Marathon Swimming

 

Both of the marathon swims will be held at the planned Siene venue.

 

Sport Climbing

 

Alberto Gines-Lopez (Tokyo gold medalist) will get to the top 8 final in boulder and lead combined.

 

A speed climbing world record will be broken.

 

The women’s lead semi final will have more tops than the final.

 

 

Skateboarding

Teenagers will win every gold medal in skateboarding.

 

There will be no repeat medalists in skateboarding street events.

 

Breaking

 

The gold medalist b-boy and b-girl will feature as entertainment at the closing ceremony.

 

A competitor will win all 3 rounds of a duel at the quarterfinals or beyond of the knockout bracket.

Edited July 3 by Book

[LDOG 2,272]

Volleyball

 

Poland men's team will win a medal.

 

A team from the Asian Volleyball Confederation will win a medal (men's or women's). (Note: phrased like this so people don't ask about Turkey)

 

 

Handball

 

France will defend both titles.

 

 

Hockey

 

The top scorer of the women's competition will be a dutch player.

 

Great Britain will win a medal (men's or women's).

 

Football

 

Spain will win the women's or men's gold medal (or both).

 

At least one overaged player (born 2000 or before) will receive a red card in the men's tournament.

 

 

Water Polo

 

The USA women's team will lose a match.

 

 

Rugby Sevens

 

The women's final will feature Australia and New Zealand.

 

At least one medal match will be decided in extra-time.

 

 

Tennis

 

At least one player (man or woman) that has never advanced further than the round of 16 at the French Open singles tournament will win a singles medal in Paris 2024.

 

General

 

At least six south american nations will medal.

 

At least two NOCs will win their first olympic medal.

 

Mexico will finish higher than Colombia in the medal table.

 

At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia. 

Edited July 3 by LDOG

[canadafan2024 127]

BREAKING

 

B-Girls event- Will D. Bancevic (LTU) (B-Girl Nicka) or A. Fukushima (JPN) (B-Girl Ayumi) win the gold medal? 

 

B-Boys event- Will the final matchup be P. Kim (CAN) (B-Boy Phil Wizard) vs. V. Montalvo (USA) (B-Boy Victor) ?

 

SURFING

 

Women’s event- Will Brisa Hennessy (CRC) win a medal?

 

Men’s event- Will Kauli Vaast (FRA) finish higher than Griffin Colapinto (USA)?

 

BEACH VOLLEYBALL 

 

Women’s event- Will a North American duo (USA/CAN) win the gold medal?

 

Men’s event- WIll Bryl/Losiak (POL) advance further in the tournament  than Diaz/Alayo (CUB)? (If both are eliminated at same stage e.g. Round of 16 then “No” bettors win)

 

FOOTBALL

 

Men’s event- will Alexandre Lacazette (FRA) score a goal and/or record an assist v. USA on July 24?

 

Women’s event- Will Spain, USA and France all win their respective groups in the group stage?

 

ATHLETICS

 

Men’s 100m- Will all three USA sprinters (N.Lyles/K.Bednarek/F.Kerley) reach the final?

 

Women’s 400m hurdles: Will Sydney McLaughlin- Levrone (USA) break her own world record? 

 

GENERAL

 

Will Italy and the Netherlands win more total gold medals than France?

 

Will Ethiopia finish in the top 20 of the medal count? (Tie for 20th =Yes) 

 

[Faramir 229]

General

At least one individual podium from Tokyo 2020 will be repeated (same people in the same positions).

At least one individual medallist from Beijing 2008 will win an individual medal.

 

Athletics

Italy will win at least 5 medals.


Fencing

(Team events) At least one African team out of 6 will win its quarterfinal match (and so advance to the top 4).

(Individual events) At least 2 out of the 6 individual 2023 World Champions will win gold.

[hckošice 13,790]

Some Canoe Slalom suggestions:

 

Will at least 1 paddler In at least one of the main Men´s events (M C1 & M K1) Final receive a 50 seconds penalty for missing a gate ?

 

Will at least 1 Country win a medal in all 4 main events (M C1, K1 & W C1, K1) ?

 

Will at least 2 non-European countries medal in Canoe Slalom ?

 

Will all M K1 finalists end the Final with clean run ?

 

Will in W main events (W K1 & W C1) at least 1 Qualifiers winner fail to advance to the Final from Semifinal ?

 

Will at least 1 finalist in M or W Kayak-Cross finish the Big Final with a Fault (FLT) ?

 

Will at least 1 country win 2 medals in one Kayak-Cross event ?

[Topicmaster1010 3,215]

Some suggestions for swimming:

• Australia will win more gold medals than the USA
• Summer McIntosh will win four or more medals
• Sarah Sjoestroem will lead off the women's 4x100m freestyle relay in a time that would've made the podium in the individual 100m freestyle
• 10 or more world records will be broken
• Katie Ledecky loses in the 800m freestyle
• The winner of the women's 100m Backstroke will go under 57 seconds
• Leon Marchand wins 2 or more gold medals
• One of Caeleb Dressel, Kristof Milak, or Adam Peaty win an individual gold medal
• There will be 3 or more podiums without either Americans or Australians
• David Popovici wins gold in both the 100m and 200m freestyle events
• There will be a podium that features all junior swimmers
• An athlete will false start during one of the finals sessions
• The heats of the women's 200m butterfly get cancelled due to their being too few swimmers
• One of Tatjana Smith, Kate Douglass, or Tes Schouten does not make the podium in the women's 200m breaststroke
• Australia will medal in all 7 relays
• Ahmed Jaouadi will make a final
• There will be a podium consisting of all junior swimmers (all born in 2006 or younger)
• A swimmer will accidentally walk to the wrong lane after being introduced
• Germany will win a gold medal
• A Supersuited world record gets broken

Edited July 5 by Topicmaster1010

[MagyarBabu 87]

Some Random Suggestions:

 

 

General

 

• Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) will win a combined total of 10 or more medals.
• Denmark will end with 5 (all-time best) or more Gold medals.
• Bosnia&Herzegovina or Albania will win their first Olympic medal.
• Hong Kong will finish above Chinese Taipei on the Medal Table.

 

Athletics

 

• Canada will win both Hammer's Throw events.
• Norway will reach the top-5 of Medal Table.

 

Boxing

 

• Mozambique will get a medal from Women.

 

Canoeing (sprint)

 

• Both K1 events will show up a double victory (Gold-Silver from the same NOC)

 

Fencing

 

• Italy and France will never face each other in any Team event.
• Áron Szilágyi (HUN) returns home with 0 medals
• There will be no podium will not see the presence of at least one of France, Hungary or Italy.

 

 

Golf

 

• In both men's and women's events there will be no European athlete on the podium.

 

 

Judo

 

• At least one athlete will win Gold by winning all fights by Ippon.
• France will win more Gold medals than Japan.

 

 

Shooting

 

• China will win Gold in 50% or more (7+ Gold) of total events.

 

 

Swimming

 

• Léon Marchand (FRA) will win at least 3 Gold medals.
• One of the winning relay teams will be disqualified (unfortunately).
• No more than 20 nations will win a medal.

 

 

Water Polo

 

• Women's Tournament - United States will lose at least one match during Group Stage.
• Top scorer of both tournaments will be a spanish player.
• Only one nation will reach the semi-finals in both competitions.

 

Edited July 5 by MagyarBabu

[Albrain 88]

Some random suggestions

 

General

  •Only Indonesia and Thailand, two countries from Southeast Asia that will win gold medal

  •At least 3 countries will win their 1st gold medal at the games

  •Top three Asian nations at the overall medal table placement: China, Japan, South Korea

 

Archery

 •There will be unexpected medalist at the women's event, teams or individuals

 •South Korea will win the gold medals, less than 2

 

Athletics

 •Only one athletes that can defend their Tokyo gold medal titles

 •Eritrea will win a medal, at least one

 

Badminton

 •Three seeded players will be eliminated in the group stage

 •Gregoria Tunjung will win a medal

 

Football

 •All Asian countries cannot advanced to the knock-out stages

 •The players who scored the most goals came from the Pan American region

 

Sport climbing

 •Men's speed climbing will be all Asian

 

Taekwondo

 •One African will fight for the bronze medal in the women's under 49 kg category

[Sindo 1,328]

 

General

  •There will be more than 2000 posts in the "Athletics at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024" thread (Tokyo 2020: 2276; Rio 2016: 1570)

  •There will be more than 800 posts in the "Swimming at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024" thread (Tokyo 2020: 750; Rio 2016: 758)