copravolley 106 Posted May 22 #41 Share Posted May 22 (edited) Bellandi can`t fight vs Wagner and there will be no gold in Paris. What's more, she will face the Japanese in 1/4, because she will be 2nd in the ranking behind the German. There is a 90% chance that she will be eliminated in 1/4 and at most she try fight for bronze but if she is eliminated in 1/4 it will be difficult. In any case, the stronger Japanese woman and Wagner from Germany are beyond her reach, and the probability of beating them 2 in 1 day is: 0.0001%. Edited May 22 by copravolley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCB 517 Posted May 22 #42 Share Posted May 22 (edited) 25 minutes ago, copravolley said: Bellandi can`t fight vs Wagner and there will be no gold in Paris. What's more, she will face the Japanese in 1/4, because she will be 2nd in the ranking behind the German. There is a 90% chance that she will be eliminated in 1/4 and at most she try fight for bronze but if she is eliminated in 1/4 it will be difficult. In any case, the stronger Japanese woman and Wagner from Germany are beyond her reach, and the probability of beating them 2 in 1 day is: 0.0001%. I think Bellandi is number 1 on the Olympic ranking (she earns 1400 points today, Wagner 2000-500). She will be in the pool with number 8 Litvynenko (Ukraïne). Semis against Ma (China,4) and Malongo (Fra,5). Pretty good chances she will be in the final. My calculations - quarter finals when all seeded judoka's reach the quarterfinal: Bellandi Litvynenko Ma Malonga Lanir Steenhuis Takayama Wagner Edited May 22 by CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
copravolley 106 Posted May 22 #43 Share Posted May 22 2 minutes ago, CCB said: I think Bellandi is number 1 on the Olympic ranking (she earns 1400 points today, Wagner 2000-500). She will be in the pool with number 8 Litvynenko (Ukraïne). Semis against Ma (China,4) and Malongo (Fra,5). Pretty good chances she will be in the final. My calculations - quarter finals when all seeded judoka's reach the quarterfinal: Bellandi Litvynenko Ma Malonga Lanir Steenhuis Takayama Wagner And why Wagner 2000-500? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCB 517 Posted May 22 #44 Share Posted May 22 Just now, copravolley said: And why Wagner 2000-500? Only the 6 best results count. Wagner already had 6 results in the last 12 months. Her weakest result (500 points) will removed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
copravolley 106 Posted May 22 #45 Share Posted May 22 2 minutes ago, CCB said: Only the 6 best results count. Wagner already had 6 results in the last 12 months. Her weakest result (500 points) will removed. Ok, so Bellandi has a chance for silver if she beats the French in 1/2. However, she is not a favorite for gold. It's hard for a person who has never won gold at a major event to be the favorite and has a terrible record against his two main rivals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
copravolley 106 Posted May 22 #46 Share Posted May 22 7 minutes ago, CCB said: Only the 6 best results count. Wagner already had 6 results in the last 12 months. Her weakest result (500 points) will removed. Can you also make a similar bracket for category 90 men? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andry84 91 Posted May 22 #47 Share Posted May 22 5 minutes ago, copravolley said: Ok, so Bellandi has a chance for silver if she beats the French in 1/2. However, she is not a favorite for gold. It's hard for a person who has never won gold at a major event to be the favorite and has a terrible record against his two main rivals. Being the favourite doesnt count anything ( if you arent Tsunoda or Abe) , Fabio Basile , Giulia Quintavalle , Maria Centracchio werent neither among the top 10 favourites and how did It finish??? CCB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
copravolley 106 Posted May 22 #48 Share Posted May 22 4 minutes ago, Andry84 said: Being the favourite doesnt count anything ( if you arent Tsunoda or Abe) , Fabio Basile , Giulia Quintavalle , Maria Centracchio werent neither among the top 10 favourites and how did It finish??? She is a favorite for the medal but not for the gold. Someone here wrote earlier from Italy that Bellandi and Lombardo are favorites for gold in Paris. I don`t agree with that. The favorite could have been Riner at his peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCB 517 Posted May 22 #49 Share Posted May 22 11 minutes ago, copravolley said: Can you also make a similar bracket for category 90 men? I think the bracket will be like this (but especially in the -90 kg there are a lot of contenders outside the top 8 who can make the quarter finals): Bekauri Silva Morales Sherov Bobonov Murao Zgank Parlati Majdov copravolley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phelps 7,394 Posted May 22 #50 Share Posted May 22 women's -70kg Gold: Margaux Pinot Silver: Marie-Eve Gahie Bronze: Shiho Tanaka & (RUS) Madina Taimazova Full Draw https://www.ijf.org/competition/2787/draw?id_weight=12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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