Road Cycling Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Road to Paris 2024

[Benolympique 1,862]

what are the points today

[Rafa Maciel 1,471]

1 hour ago, Benolympique said:

what are the points today

 add 640

 pick up 180 

 pick up 255

 

So, by my quick calculation, Spain - who had a really good Il Lombardia in 2022 - will drop below both GBR and France in the next release of the UCI rankings. France should have a cushion of around 60-70 points and that margin should increase again tomorrow with the Paris-Tours event tomorrow. 

[rybak 2,778]

6 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

 add 640

 pick up 180 

 pick up 255

 

So, by my quick calculation, Spain - who had a really good Il Lombardia in 2022 - will drop below both GBR and France in the next release of the UCI rankings. France should have a cushion of around 60-70 points and that margin should increase again tomorrow with the Paris-Tours event tomorrow. 

Majka's 25th place will not change anything for Poland's place in ranking, right?

[Benolympique 1,862]

7 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

 add 640

 pick up 180 

 pick up 255

 

So, by my quick calculation, Spain - who had a really good Il Lombardia in 2022 - will drop below both GBR and France in the next release of the UCI rankings. France should have a cushion of around 60-70 points and that margin should increase again tomorrow with the Paris-Tours event tomorrow. 

and tomorrow will it be finished for the ranking?

[Illya 438]

10 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

and tomorrow will it be finished for the ranking?

As for IOC document, deadline is 17th of October

[Rafa Maciel 1,471]

12 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

and tomorrow will it be finished for the ranking?

There is one more week of events to go - but there aren't huge amount of races left in the calendar and a lot of the ranking riders wont be taking part. 

[dodge 808]

The Tour of Guangxi is the last WT event. The line up isn’t confirmed but Pello Bilbao is there for one. 

[Rafa Maciel 1,471]

1 hour ago, dodge said:

The Tour of Guangxi is the last WT event. The line up isn’t confirmed but Pello Bilbao is there for one. 

I don't think the Tour of Guangxi will actually count for the Olympic rankings because it isn't due to complete until 17-Oct.

 

According to the UCI Regulations document, the rankings are updated every Tuesday at 2am CET. That would be 9am in China and would suggest that the last stage of the tour would not be complete by the time that the rankings for 17-Oct were due to be published and would not therefore be included until the 24-Oct rankings release.

 

Looking back to previous releases, I don't think that the UCI include the stage results in the ranking until the whole race is completed which leads me to believe that the last stage race to be included in the Olympic ranking will be the Presidential Tour of Turkey. 

[Rafa Maciel 1,471]

State of the Race - Women's Tour

 

UCI Ranking - 3-Oct:

 - 14399.23

 - 7758.43

 - 6526

 - 5775.05

 - 5412.43

 

This week the following races took place:

Binche-Chimay-Binche / Memorial Frank Vandenbroucke

Tre Valli Varesine

Asian Games - Road Race and Individual Time Trial

Grand Prix Urubici de Ciclismo Feminina

Grand Prix Internacional de Ciclismo de Santa Catarina

 

There will be no change in the top 5 ranking this week. Australia who are in 6th and around 500 points shy of GB haven't been able to close the gap. 

 

Outstanding Events Before Close of Qualification Window:

12-14 Oct: Tour of Chongming

15 Oct: Chrono des Nations

 

The start lists for these events are not confirmed as of today but realistically, there are unlikely to be enough points available to make significant changes to the overall rankings at the top of the rankings but we may see some changes further down the list. 

 

Projected Paris Quotas:

4 women qualified:     

3 women qualified:     

2 women qualified:          

1 woman qualified:                          

 

If that was to be the case, 5 of the 8 continental/world championship quotas would be reallocated:

2023 World Championship quotas:  Anastasia Carbonari &  Eri Yonamine

2023 African Championship quotas: No Reallocation Required

2023 Asian Championship quotas:  Thi That Nguyen (No change) &  Phi Kun Pan

2023 Pan-American Championship quotas:  Andrea Ramirez Fregoso &  Mariana Garcia Britos

 

Reallocated Host Quotas:  & 

 

For those who have used the PCS site's rankings tracker, you will notice that there are differences between the site's data and the analysis outlined above. I believe that this is primarily because PCS counts the top 8 riders - as per the men's ranking - whereas the UCI ranking for women is based on the top 5 riders. 

[Rafa Maciel 1,471]

State of the Race - Men's Tour

 

UCI Ranking - 3-Oct (Adjusted):

 - 22433.09  (22024.09)

 - 18329.98   (18241.98)

 - 15566.34   (14913.34)

 - 14012.02  (12857.02) 

 - 13689.09  (13519.09)

 - 13521.36  (13308.36)

 

 

This week the following races took place:

Grand Prix Urubici de Ciclismo

Grand Prix Internacional de Ciclismo de Santa Catarina

Paris-Bourges

Gran Piemonte

Grand Prix Chantal Biya

Il Lombardia

Paris-Tours

 

Of these races, ranking riders for   and  featured in Gran Piemonte and Il Lombardia and Paris-Tours.

 

In Gran Piemonte,  gained 125 points whilst  picked up 20 points. At Il Lombardia,  gained 255 points,  gained 640 points and picked up 180 points. In Paris-Tours,  won 70 points.

 

That would mean the new ranking totals would be:

 - 14264.09  (14179.09)

 - 13636.36  (13558.36)

 - 13237.02  (13237.02)

 

Outstanding Events Before Close of Qualification Window:

05-09 Oct: Tour of Hainan

07-09 Oct: Tour de Kyushu

08-15 Oct: Presidential Tour of Turkey

11 Oct: Giro del Veneto

15 Oct: Japan Cup Cycle Road Race

15 Oct: Chrono des Nations

15 Oct: Veneto Classic

?? 12-17 Oct: Gree-Tour of Guangxi (Not 100% sure whether this will be included in the rankings released on 17-Oct as the race will finish after the reported release time for the rankings however looking at the rankings release for 3-Oct, this includes races that took place on 3-Oct so that would indicate that it will be included.)

 

Ranking Riders in action next week (NB not all start lists are confirmed)

 

: Mark Cavendish in Tour of Turkey; Josh Tarling in Chrono des Nations

: Axel Zingle and Guillaume Martin in Japan Cup Cycle Road Race

: Pello Bilbao and Ion Izagirre in Tour of Guangxi 

 

France will have a cushion of around 300 points going into the last week of racing. In order to overtake France, they will need both of their riders to finish in the points in Guangxi - but unless one of them actually wins the race, it will be difficult to close the gap - even having 2 in the top 5 will not necessarily be enough for them. 

 

 

Projected Paris Quotas:

4 men qualified:         

3 men qualified:      

2 men qualified:          

1 man qualified:                         

 

The positions of Kazakhstan and Eritrea could be reversed. There are 3 Eritreans taking part in the Tour of Turkey and Girmay was in the Paris-Tours today. I'm not sure how UCI will apply the results from the Asian Games - they are listed as a Continental Games but if they are included in the ranking then Asia would be the only continent that counted 2 continental competitions which would seem to raise issues of whether there was a level playing field. 

 

If that was to be the case, all of the continental/world championship quotas would be reallocated:

2023 World Championship quotas:  Lucas Eriksson was the only rider to finish from non qualified nation. 

2023 African Championship quotas:  Christopher Rougier-Lagane &  Charles Kagimu

2023 Asian Championship quotas:  Kim Euro &  Mohammad Ganjkhanlou

2023 Pan-American Championship quotas:  Antonio Eric Fagundez Lima &  Daniel Andres Bonilla Quiros

 

Reallocated Host Quotas:  & 

 

Usual caveats apply - this could all be rubbish if I have gone cross-eyed scrolling through results and ranking lists.