dullard

That's how Australia used to do it and they've been much more successful since they changed. It's hard to say if the change helped or if Australia's just going through a bit of a purple patch. Canada is moving their trials to June starting next year probably because Australia (who copied the US) has done so well.

June 10-15 and US trials follow immediately after.

I know some people here get shitty when you talk about China having strong prospects to medal but they could feasibly have a 46 lead off, a 46 anchor plus a couple of 47 mid splits. That's some serious firepower.

Think people were overrating the strength of Hackett's world record because of how long it lasted but he wasn't tapered when he set it and the 800 wasn't included in Worlds until recently.

Their prediction has wrong country next to his name. Just did the table using countifs in Sheets.

Oh I'm not criticising your predictions but such an outcome would be a colossal failure from their perspective. Medal table based on your predictions:

Maybe Winnington could get it at Aussie trials but Short will probably not peak until Paris.

Popovici has been looking more like his 2022 self so far this season.

There'd be a lot of American tears if this happened.

@Esterr24 Why do you keep making new accounts?

There were protests but they weren't "mass protests".

Looks like Paris will be the last time we have to put up with that ridiculous world record line that gobbles everyone up in the last 100.

That 1:55.35 is faster than Wang Shun went at trials last year and then he went 1:54 at Asian Games later in the year. If Marchand wants that gold he's gonna have to swim a best time in the Olympic final after a very heavy program consisting of 2 x 400 IM, 3 x 200 FL, 3 x 200 BR and 2 x 200 IM plus some relays while Wang Shun will probably only have swum 2 x 200 IM plus maybe the 4x200 relay final. It'll be a massive feat if Marchand can pull it off.

We'll see Australia's real potential at trials.

Australia could easily lose 1.5 seconds to China in the breaststroke leg and then Zhang will likely outsplit McKeon in the fly.

Doesn't change the reality that unless there's a CAS appeal that blocks them from competing many of these Chinese athletes will be in Paris standing on podiums.

Pan Zhanle not going away. 46.97 in the 100 free final at Chinese trials.

Yang Junxuan just went 52.68 in the 100 free at Chinese trials so the mixed and women's medleys are looking even stronger. The mixed medley in particular now has no weak legs.

If she could cash in from sponsors without running I'm sure she wouldn't.

Anyone know if Sydney is still planning to double 400 flat and hurdles?

WADA Points to Contamination Case in U.S. as Precedent for Clearing Chinese Swimmers in 2021

This would probably vary greatly depending on the generation but I'll give it a try. The list is unsurprisingly dominated by Sydney 2000 and swimming and I ignored 2020 because it's too recent. In no particular order: Cathy Freeman lighting the cauldron at Sydney 2000 Cathy Freeman winning the 400m at Sydney 2000 Ian Thorpe wins gold in the 400m freestyle in world record at Sydney 2000 Steven Bradbury's last man standing gold at Salt Lake 2002 (entered colloquial vernacular as "doing a Bradbury") https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAADWfJO2qM Kieren Perkins defends 1500m gold after only scraping into the final by 0.2s at Atlanta 1996

True, but Tang could feasibly split 1:03 which compensates for their backstroke disadvantage. We'll see how weak their 100 back is tonight. The thing about the Chinese women's medley relay in recent times is they tend to underperform so maybe they will again. If China does push its way onto the podium it likely means Australia or Canada has been pushed off.

Tang's 1:04.39 now makes China a strong gold medal contender in the women's medley relay.