OlympicsFan

1) Any source for that? 2) Why would it matter? 3) I think the same is true for Trump‘s grandchildren, so at least you would have some continuity there.

This week there is a World Cup event in Laax taking place. From tomorrow on there will be live streams on their website for the half-pipe/slopestyle finals. From a German perspective it has already been a very good week. Both Vockensperger (in men’s slopestyle) and Ettle (in women’s halfpipe) already made the final and hopefully Höflich will follow in men’s halfpipe. Only Morgan in women’s slopestyle was disappointing. The new Slovenian coach Luka Gartner really has done a tremendous job so far.

We‘ll see about that ... Also: Once again great job connecting unrelated things to support your narrative.

I knew that Dagur Sigurdsson was a magician (after what he did with Germany in 2016), but this might be his new masterpiece. Going from Sigurdsson to Prokop was a huge downgrade for Germany, but luckily „we“ have a new coach from Iceland now.

Cool ... why should we care about random rumors? Why not just wait until there is an official decision? Also I doubt that the 2026 olympics will take Place in Los Angeles and i don’t think anyone can say today whether the 2024 and 2028 olympics will take place as planned.

2019 world military games

What? Vikings better than GOT?

FINA Rankings are usually garbage, they miss tons of results. Hayang swam 4:10 during the qualification period. I think Swimswam has better rankings.

I meant your 200 breast prediction obviously. I think in the 100 breast he might have a better chance than in the 200 breast.

I think your rankings are wrong, for example you forgot Hayang (who could be a dark horse alongside Foster). Also I don’t think that Scott (or Dean) will swim the 400 IM, but who knows ...

Nice surprise by Strasser. I guess the conditions were unfair? Overall some very weird results already this season. Would be nice for Strasser to become a top 10 guy in the slalom. I expected more from Kristoffersen/Noel/Vinatzer this season.

The same as for swimming: Men: 10000 m: No medal for Kiplimo/Kipruto? High jump: Would be very surprised to see Starc winning a medal. I think Russia will win at least one medal. Long jump: I don’t see Hashioka winning a medal. What about Henderson/Manyonga/Tentoglou? Did they retire/get caught? 200 m: Would be very surprised to see Odudoru winning a medal. Maybe De Grasse for bronze. Sani Brown winning a medal would be nice. Triple jump: No medal for Claye? Shot put: No medal for Kovacs? 400 m: I think Norman will medal. 5000 m: No medal for Kiplimo? 4 x 100 m: I don’t think that Jamaica will medal, I would go with Japan. Women: Discus: I would pick Caballero over Allman. 5000 m: No medal for the world record holder? 200 m: I think Miller-Uibo wins a medal if she competes. 3000 m SC: I don’t see Kiyeng winning a medal. Even Krause seems like a more likely option. 400 m: No medal for Naser? 1500 m: Ennaoui ...? I think that there are at least 10 girls who are more likely to medal than her. 10000 m: A medal for Japan would be one of the biggest surprises in Olympic history. Even if Kenya and Ethiopia would be banned, she wouldn’t be a favorite for a medal.

I will maybe post my full „analysis“ later, but here are my biggest „problems“ with your predictions: Men: 400 IM: I don’t see Papastamos winning a medal. If you want to pick a young guy, you should rather go for Borodin. 400 free: Both Horton and Yang not winning a medal seems pretty unlikely. 4 x 100 free: I don’t see Australia winning a medal. I would pick Russia for silver and Brazil for bronze. 4 x 200 free: I think that GB will medal (instead of Russia) 100 breast: A medal for Prigoda seems extremely unlikely. I think Chupkov will win gold and then the other medals will be between the two Japanese guys, the two Australian guys and maybe Kamminga. 100 free: Gold for Scott seems very unlikely. I think it will be Dressel - Chalmers - Minakov/Morozov/Grinev/Scott/2nd American guy. 200 IM: Silver for Seliskar seems very unlikely, I doubt that he will even qualify. I think Scott/Larkin/Andrew/Hagino/Desplanches and maybe a couple other guys are all more likely to medal than Seliskar. Women: 400 IM: I think Margalis will medal. 200 IM: I don’t see McKeown winning a medal or even competing, but who knows ... My prediction would be Hosszu + Ye + Margalis/Japanese girl. 50 free: Wasick winning a medal would be a big surprise for me. I think Blume, Campbell and the Chinese girl are all more likely to medal (apart from Sjöstrom and Manuel).

Interesting that no one predicts Germany to qualify. I hope that the German team will prove them wrong.

Men’s basketball: I would pick France/Australia/Serbia instead of Greece. Men‘s football: I would pick Brazil instead of Egypt. Men‘s handball: I think at least one out of Norway/Denmark will medal.

I think at Full strength they could have had a chance to make the semifinal. Canada, Russia and Sweden seem to be too good, but maybe Germany at full strength could have surprised Finland/USA. It’s quite ironic that this is the first time that Germany made the quarterfinal, when they were playing the first 3 games with only 14 players available and without 2 of their 3 best players (including Seider, who probably would have been the best dman at this tournament). Looking at Peterka‘s stats in this tournament, I feel good about my take on draft night that he should have been a first round pick. In a couple of years Germany could Land some upsets at senior level with this generation + Draisaitl.

I think at least Dressel, Rooney, Milak and Minakov have a better shot at winning a medal. Miladinov is a really interesting case though. If I remember correctly he lived in Germany until 2 years ago. I am not sure whether he was born there or only went there as a child though ... Switzerland has really made a stunning progress in swimming recently. Now they have 4 athletes (Ponti, Desplanches, Mamie and Ugolkova) who could make the final in Tokyo.

I don’t agree ... She got lucky that she was let off the hook so easily. She should be remembered as a cheater and not as a champion.

LOL ... I guess it was worth a try ...? Those times seems really slow now. Those athletes probably would have needed 4 or 5 minutes more if the course would have been 1600 m longer and if they wore the new Nike shoes, they probably got another 2 or 3 minutes thanks to that.

I don’t think that Japan will dominate. In my opinion it will absolutely be dominated by Norway. They are the only nation that is good in women‘s ski jumping and cross-country. I think Germany, Slovenia and Russia could also be good. I am not a fan of this Sport becoming Olympic. Women’s ski jumping is already a fringe sport, so it will be even worse for Nordic combined. Not sure if any of those athletes will be able to finance themselves, so the question is whether a country like Germany will see this as an opportunity to get some more easy medals by pouring some money in this sport.

Ruta was 15 years and 4 months when she won gold, Pilato will be roughly 16 years and 7 months come Tokyo. Those two are on two completely different talent levels.

Interesting to see that Germany, Denmark and the Netherlands are all taking tough measures at the same time. I wonder if it is just a coincidence? Also I want to thank all British people on this board for testing the vaccine for the rest of us!

Whenever I watch Oeberg skiing I get nightmares, thinking that Tora Berger made a comeback.

I would be interested in predicting the medalists, but not in predicting the team size. I am always unhappy with the German nomination policy, always way too many athletes get nominated. Personally I would only nominate athletes who can realistically finish top 8. I think predicting medalists in sports like Biathlon, Cross-Country or Speed Skating at this point wouldn’t make much sense, maybe the start of the next season would be a better date for early predictions.

Quite funny. Two German coaches (Wolfgang Pichler and Johannes Lukas) turn Sweden into a powerhouse while Germany struggles ... Also interesting to know that Johannes Lukas is only 27 years old!