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Ogreman
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Everything posted by Ogreman
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Seeded Boxers Unseeded Boxers Seeded percentage Australia 12 0 100.0 Brazil 9 1 90.0 China 7 1 87.5 France 5 3 62.5 Thailand 4 4 50.0 USA 4 4 50.0 Algeria 4 1 80.0 Uzbekistan 3 8 27.3 Ireland 3 7 30.0 Turkey 3 5 37.5 Chinese Taipei 3 3 50.0 Cuba 3 2 60.0 Colombia 3 2 60.0 Bulgaria 3 2 60.0 Nigeria 3 0 100.0 Kazakhstan 2 8 20.0 Mexico 2 2 50.0 Serbia 2 1 66.7 Egypt 2 1 66.7 Morocco 2 1 66.7 North Korea 2 0 100.0 Canada 2 0 100.0 Italy 1 7 12.5 India 1 5 16.7 Great Britain and NI 1 5 16.7 Spain 1 5 16.7 Azerbaijan 1 4 20.0 Philippines 1 4 20.0 Tajikistan 1 2 33.3 Ukraine 1 2 33.3 Belgium 1 2 33.3 Ecuador 1 2 33.3 Dominican Republic 1 2 33.3 Refugee team 1 1 50.0 Georgia 1 1 50.0 Croatia 1 0 100.0 Zambia 1 1 50.0 Romania 1 0 100.0 Denmark 1 0 100.0 Panama 1 0 100.0 Samoa 1 0 100.0 Tunisia 1 0 100.0 Poland 0 5 0.0 Hungary 0 3 0.0 Jordan 0 3 0.0 Mozambique 0 3 0.0 Venezuela 0 2 0.0 Puerto Rico 0 2 0.0 Mongolia 0 2 0.0 Japan 0 2 0.0 Sweden 0 2 0.0 Germany 0 2 0.0 Norway 0 2 0.0 South Korea 0 2 0.0 Vietnam 0 2 0.0 DR Congo 0 2 0.0 Cape Verde 0 2 0.0 Armenia 0 1 0.0 Netherlands 0 1 0.0 Finland 0 1 0.0 Kyrgyzstan 0 1 0.0 Kosovo 0 1 0.0 Slovakia 0 1 0.0 Haiti 0 1 0.0 Mali 0 1 0.0 North Macedonia 0 1 0.0 Tonga 0 1 0.0 Palestine 0 1 0.0 So look first of all any seeding is better than no seeding. It just minimizes some of the potential volatility of the draw In this case seeding doesn't doesn't matter that much and in many cases the only major difference between being seeded or not is being gauranteed a bye but this particular approach of seeding being based on the continental qualifers hurts European boxers the most as well as countries like Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and India that struggled at continental championships. Despite qualifying 4 at European games Italy are the "worst" effected by this seeding system as only Mouhiidine made the European final. Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan with 8 unseeded boxers along with Ireland and Italy on 7 in theory would have the most to gain if these draws weren't seeded and they could simply allow their depth to ensure they got some good draws. In theory Australia are the big winners from this system but in practice for most of their boxers getting a bye only increases the chance they lose their first fight and their biggest male medal hopes got tough brackets with Tokyo medallist Harry Garside and Teremoana Jnr having potential quarter finals against former Olympic champions Sofiane Oumiha and Bakhodir Jalolov . These brackets definitely help W75kg Caitlin Parker's chances though and opens the door ajar for the likes of Monique Suraci . W50kg W54kg W57kg W60kg W66kg W75kg M51kg M57kg M63.5kg M71kg M80kg M92kg M92+kg Total percentage Estimated number of seeded boxers who actually rank in top 8 of their weightclass. 5 4 5 6 5 6 4 4 5 3 5 4 6 59.62% So in terms of the actual impact of this seeding, they make a difference but not that much. M71kg basically only matters for bye purposes. Divisions like W60kg, W75kg and M92+kg matters more as an unseeded now has a pretty good chance of having to beat 2 of the top 8 boxers in the division to make the medals. The important thing and the purpose of these seeds is they make the chance an unseeded doesn't have to beat any of the top 8 boxers to win a medal very slim. (Not sure I explained what I wanted to explain particularly well but sure look.)
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Artistic Gymnastics at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
Ogreman replied to Totallympics's topic in Gymnastics - Artistic
US men's gymnastics team: Fred Richard, Brody Malone, Asher Hong, Paul Juda and Stephen Nedoroscik . Alernates: Khoi Young, Shane Wiskus. Taking Nedoroscik seems like a massive overreaction to a poor team pommel performances at trials. It's not like Nedoroscik's pommel scores were that good (14.45 and 14.85) and leaving out current world pommel silver medaliist Khoi Young because of a couple of falls seems incredibly harsh. -
https://boxing.athlete365.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Seeding_Final_short_V2.pdf Olympic seeding is out. Draw was random for the continental champions with either Africa or Oceania gauranteed to be seeded 5th so whether a boxer is seeded 1st 3rd or 4th doesn't matter, what does matter is the boxer that is opposite them in a hypothethical quarter final and semi final although given the quality of unseeded boxers in most of these divisions we won't see that many of these potential matchups. Silver medallists from Europe, Africa and Asia randomly seeded 6th, 7th or 8th. In some of these weightclasses like M71kg all being seeded really does is gaurantee you a bye into the last 16.
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[PREDICTION CONTEST] Men's Football UEFA EURO 2024
Ogreman replied to Wumo's topic in Totallympics Prediction Contests
[hide] *"Double-the-points" distributed as follow: Each user will have 3 during the Knockout stage. Each user will have to mark their matches with "Double-the-points" with an "*". Knockout Stage June 29th - July 14th, 2024 16 Nations, the Winners of each Round of 16-matches will qualify for the Quarterfinals. Round of 16 Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 29th 2024, h. 18:00 Switzerland 1 1 Italy June 29th 2024, h. 21:00 Germany 2 0 Denmark June 30th 2024, h. 18:00 England 2 1 Slovakia June 30th 2024, h. 21:00 Spain 3* 1 Georgia July 1st 2024, h. 18:00 France 2 1 Belgium July 1st 2024, h. 21:00 Portugal 2* 0 Slovenia July 2nd 2024, h. 18:00 Romania 1 2 Netherlands July 2nd 2024, h. 21:00 Austria 1 0 Turkey [/hide] -
[hide] *"Double-the-points" distributed as follow: Each user will have 5 during the Group stage. Each user will have to mark their matches with "Double-the-points" with an "*". Group Stage June 20th - July 2nd, 2024 16 Nations, 4 Groups, the 1st-and 2-placed Nations from each Group will qualify for the Quarterfinals. Group A Date & Time (GMT -4-5) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 20th 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -4 Argentina 2 1 Canada June 20th 2024, h. 19:00 - GMT -5 Peru 1 1 Chile June 25th 2024, h. 17:00 - GMT -5 Peru 0 2 Canada June 29th 2024, h. 21:00 - GMT -4 Chile 0 2* Argentina June 29th 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -4 Argentina 1 1 Peru June 29th 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -4 Canada 1 1 Chile Group B Date & Time (GMT -5-7) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 22nd 2024, h. 15:00 - GMT -7 Ecuador 1 1 Venezuela June 22nd 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -5 Mexico 2* 0 Jamaica June 26th 2024, h. 15:00 - GMT -7 Ecuador 2* 0 Jamaica June 26th 2024, h. 18:00 - GMT -7 Venezuela 1 0 Mexico June 30th 2024, h. 17:00 - GMT -7 Mexico 1 1 Ecuador June 30th 2024, h. 19:00 - GMT -5 Jamaica 0 2 Venezuela Group C Date & Time (GMT -4-5) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 23rd 2024, h. 17:00 - GMT -5 United States 2 1 Bolivia June 23rd 2024, h. 21:00 - GMT -4 Uruguay 2* 0 Panama June 27th 2024, h. 18:00 - GMT -4 Panama 1 2 United States June 27th 2024, h. 21:00 - GMT -4 Uruguay 3* 0 Bolivia July 1st 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -5 United States 1 1 Uruguay July 1st 2024, h. 21:00 - GMT -4 Bolivia 0 1 Panama Group D Date & Time (GMT -5-7) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 24th 2024, h. 17:00 - GMT -5 Colombia 0 0 Paraguay June 24th 2024, h. 18:00 - GMT -7 Brazil 2 0 Costa Rica June 28th 2024, h. 15:00 - GMT -7 Colombia 1 0 Costa Rica June 28th 2024, h. 18:00 - GMT -7 Paraguay 0 1 Brazil July 2nd 2024, h. 18:00 - GMT -7 Brazil 2 1 Colombia July 2nd 2024, h. 20:00 - GMT -5 Costa Rica 1 1 Paraguay Top 3 Place 1st 2nd 3rd Nation Argentina Brazil Uruguay [/hide]
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Boxing Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
Ogreman replied to Totallympics's topic in Boxing
https://afbc-boxing.com/en/2024/06/19/the-22-african-boxers-qualified-for-the-paris-2024-olympic-games/ Source for African universality spots W50kg- Margret Tembo W57kg- Marine Camara W66kg- Ivanusa Moreira W75kg!!!- Rady Gramane M71kg- Tiago Muxanga . Additionally according to the Tongan boxing federation's facebook W60kg-Feofaaki Epenisa . Most notable thing is Rady Gramane because there wasn't orignally a universality quota available at W75kg but clearly one has been created as a consequence of Cindy Ngamba qualifying directly. Zambia, Cape Verde and Mozambique all take universality quotas but at least on the womens side W50kg was the only one with other realistic options with the likes of Haiti and Nepal but perhaps they are covered in the 3 currently unknown quotas. (Having now looked through them I'm dissapointed why this wasn't Susma Tamang as I don't think Nepal are realistically getting one of these quotas and I thought they had aquitted themseleves well in qualifying.) Tiago Muxanga is a good boxer but there were plenty of other options at M71kg. I was hoping for Nidal Foqahaa or despite DR Congo already having two quotas I would have loved Steve Kulengeluka to get this spot after being robbed of the African quota. Makes me think they decided on Muxanga and then at a later point had to allocate a quota at W75kg and had no other realistically competitive options other than to give it to Gramane. Then again, while from an Olympic competition standpoint Moreira and Gramane are undisputedely the right options giving Gramane who qualified directly for Tokyo and Ivanusa Moreira who reached winnable quota fights at both of the world qualifying tournaments isn't ideal and I dont love either of them getting the safety net of a universality quota as that shouldn't really be what they exist for even if they do come from underrepresented nations they both had their chances of qualifying and failed plus both countries had qualified boxers for this Olympics. Anyway speculating on the last couple of spots I would be surprised if Asian bronze medallist Ali Qasim Al Sarray didn't get the M63.5kg spot, only other real non African option I can see in that division is Samuel Contreras (At a stretch possibly Alston Ryan ) but I supect the Americas are getting one universality spot and its probably either Cedrick Belony Duliepre or Desmond Amsterdam at M80kg. That would just leave M57kg which could be Allan Oaike but there are plenty of options. -
Yes its on my list of things to do. Had a quick look at it after the second world qualifier and I suspect it might take me a while as I have a lot of tinkering to do. Probably will be a couple of weeks till I get round to it so I suspect I'll end up posting them sometime in mid July. Don't hold me to that though, definitely before the Olympic draw happens anyway.
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[PREDICTION CONTEST] Men's Football UEFA EURO 2024
Ogreman replied to Wumo's topic in Totallympics Prediction Contests
[hide] *"Double-the-points" distributed as follow: Each user will have 5 during the Group stage. Each user will have to mark their matches with "Double-the-points" with an "*". Group Stage June 14th - June 26th, 2024 24 Nations, 6 Groups, the 1st-and 2-placed Nations from each Group + the four best 3rd-placed Nations from all the Groups will qualify for the Round of 16. Group A Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 14th 2024, h. 21:00 Germany 2* 1 Scotland June 15th 2024, h. 15:00 Hungary 1 1 Switzerland June 19th 2024, h. 18:00 Germany 1 1 Hungary June 19th 2024, h. 21:00 Scotland 0 1 Switzerland June 23rd 2024, h. 21:00 Switzerland 0 2 Germany June 23rd 2024, h. 21:00 Scotland 2 2 Hungary Group B Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 15th 2024, h. 18:00 Spain 3 1 Croatia June 15th 2024, h. 21:00 Italy 1* 0 Albania June 19th 2024, h. 15:00 Croatia 2 1 Albania June 20th 2024, h. 21:00 Spain 2 1 Italy June 24th 2024, h. 21:00 Albania 1 1 Spain June 24th 2024, h. 21:00 Croatia 1 1 Italy Group C Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 16th 2024, h. 18:00 Slovenia 1 2* Denmark June 16th 2024, h. 21:00 Serbia 1 3 England June 20th 2024, h. 15:00 Slovenia 1 2 Serbia June 20th 2024, h. 18:00 Denmark 1 1 England June 25th 2024, h. 21:00 England 3* 1 Slovenia June 25th 2024, h. 21:00 Denmark 2 1 Serbia Group D Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 16th 2024, h. 15:00 Poland 0 2 Netherlands June 17th 2024, h. 21:00 Austria 1 3 France June 21st 2024, h. 18:00 Poland 2 2 Austria June 21st 2024, h. 21:00 Netherlands 1 2 France June 25th 2024, h. 18:00 Netherlands 2 0 Austria June 25th 2024, h. 18:00 France 2 2 Poland Group E Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 17th 2024, h. 15:00 Romania 0 1 Ukraine June 17th 2024, h. 18:00 Belgium 2* 0 Slovakia June 21st 2024, h. 15:00 Slovakia 1 1 Ukraine June 21st 2024, h. 21:00 Belgium 3 1 Romania June 26th 2024, h. 18:00 Slovakia 1 1 Romania June 26th 2024, h. 18:00 Ukraine 2 2 Belgium Group F Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 June 18th 2024, h. 18:00 Turkey 2 1 Georgia June 18th 2024, h. 21:00 Portugal 1 1 Czechia June 22nd 2024, h. 15:00 Georgia 1 1 Czechia June 22nd 2024, h. 18:00 Turkey 0 3 Portugal June 26th 2024, h. 21:00 Georgia 0 3 Portugal June 26th 2024, h. 21:00 Czechia 1 0 Turkey Finalists Place 1st 2nd Nation France Spain [/hide] -
Final Qualification summary Country Projected qualifiers Actual Qualifiers Total qualifiers 1 Australia 0 0 12 2 Uzbekistan 0 1 11 3 Ireland 5 4 10 3 Kazakhstan 2 3 10 3 Brazil 1 0 10 6 Thailand 1 2 8 6 USA 3 2 8 6 China 2 1 8 6 Turkey 2 1 8 6 France 0 0 8 6 Italy 0 0 8 12 India 3 3 6 12 Spain 0 3 6 12 Great Britain and NI 3 1 6 12 Chinese Taipei 1 1 6 16 Azerbaijan 1 2 5 16 Poland 3 2 5 16 Philippines 2 2 5 16 Cuba 2 1 5 16 Bulgaria 0 1 5 16 Colombia 0 0 5 16 Algeria 0 0 5 23 Mexico 1 2 4 24 Ukraine 1 2 3 24 Jordan 1 2 3 24 Belgium 0 1 3 24 Ecuador 0 1 3 24 Nigeria 0 0 3 24 Serbia 1 0 3 24 Hungary 0 0 3 24 Tajikistan 2 0 3 24 Egypt 0 0 3 24 Morocco 0 0 3 34 South Korea 1 2 2 34 Mongolia 2 1 2 34 Sweden 1 1 2 34 Georgia 1 1 2 34 Vietnam 0 1 2 34 DR Congo 0 1 2 34 Dominican Republic 0 1 3 34 North Korea 0 0 2 34 Venezuela 0 0 2 34 Canada 0 0 2 34 Puerto Rico 0 0 2 34 Japan 1 0 2 34 Germany 0 0 2 34 Norway 0 0 2 34 Refugee team 0 0 2 49 Armenia 2 1 1 49 Finland 1 1 1 49 Cape Verde 0 1 1 49 Kyrgyzstan 0 1 1 49 Slovakia 1 1 1 49 Netherlands 1 0 1 49 Romania 0 0 1 49 Croatia 1 0 1 49 Denmark 0 0 1 49 Mozambique 0 0 1 49 Panama 0 0 1 49 Samoa 0 0 1 49 Tunisia 0 0 1 49 Zambia 0 0 1 49 Kosovo 0 0 1 So Uzbekistan secure there status behind Australia's nonsense total with the second largest squad for Paris after Navbakhor Khamidova's win combined with Martin McDonagh razor thin loss. Ireland took their time getting there with plenty of ups and downs but ultimately beat their official target of 8 and hit my and probably the squad's unofficial target of 10 although Kelyn Cassidy's and Martin McDonagh's losses do still sting. Kazakhstan complete their remarkable recovery from their Asian games debacle to join Ireland and Brazil on 10. Thailand take advantage of a home qualifying tournament and the fortunate reallacation of Chinzorig Baatarsukh's Asian games quota to Bunjong Sinsiri to set an impressive total of 8. The US had a couple of very big names (Robby Gonzalez , Jamar Talley ) miss out but utimately should be fairly satisfied with their 8 qualifiers. China, Italy, Turkey and France all conclude succesful qualifying campaigns also on 8 qualifiers although France might be a little dissapointed after securing 7 at European Games and having strong squads at both of the world tournaments to not add further to their tally for their home Olympics. Succesful final qualifying tournaments for Spain, Azerbaijan, Chinese Taipei, Poland, Philippines, Mexico, Jordan all wrap up relatively to very succesful qualifying campaigns while India, Ukraine and South Korea somewhat redeem what had been dissapointing ones up to this point. While Cuba have been hurt by the shift towards gender parity missing out in two of the men's weightclasses to end up with just 5 quotas is still a major surprise. While certainly not Cuba it was a major surprise it took Armenia to one of the very last fights to take a quota and that fight could so easily have gone the other way. Japan join them in the major dissapointment category with just 2 quotas failing to kick on after a very succesful Tokyo. Notable countries who miss out entirely include Iran, Argentina, Greece, Czechia, Belarus (although they only competed at one tournament), Moldova, New Zealand, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ghana, South Africa and Kenya. Continental Breakdown Projected Actual 1st world qualifier Total Europe 24 22 24 46 Asia 19 20 17 37 Americas 8 7 8 15 Africa 0 2 0 2 I do think it is interesting to have a quick look at a continental breakdown given the uneven number of quotas available at the continental qualifiers. Ultimately Europe prevailed at both world qualifiers and justified their additional continental quotas even in Russia's absence. It was good to see 2 African boxers get over the line here as they had suffered the most from less continental quotas being allocated although its hard to argue they deserve more quotas than they were allocated. Unsurprisingly Oceania didn't produce a single qualifier at either of the world qualifying events. My predictions Correct predictions Percentage European Games 25/44 56.8% African Qualifying tournament 9/18 50% Asian Games 18/34 52.9% Pan-American Games 20/30 66.7% Pacific Games 12/13 92.3% First world qualifier 18/49 36.7% Second world qualifers 23/51 45.1% Total 125/239 52.3% Well at least I got close to 50% this time around with a couple of mistakes and a few surprise results costing me but I did break 50% for qualification as a whole which while a little dissapointing is fine. The final thing I would say about this tournament is I thought the standard of judging was much improved. After some concerning judging decisions at earlier qualifiers outside of some very close fights which no matter what the decision would have genereated controvversy one way or the other and Thailand getting the typical home advantage the judging was fine and that at least is encouraging for the Olympics. My perception at least was there was much more consensus among judges at this tournament and if they weed out the last few bad judges I really wouldn't be that concerned right now about judging playing a major factor at the Olympics. Refereeing wise there did seem to be an increase accross the board in the number of points deductions dished out but as I explained in great detail at some point in the first world qualifying thread one point deduction basically doesn't matter and there were only 1 or 2 fights in the entire tournament that the final outcome of a fight was actually effected by warnings.
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Ranking (ceiling) Country Boxers still in contention Current Qualifiers Ceiling 1 Australia 0 12 12 2 Uzbekistan 1 10 11 2 Ireland 5 6 11 4 Brazil 0 10 10 4 France 2 8 10 4 Kazakhstan 3 7 10 7 Italy 1 8 9 7 China 2 7 9 7 Thailand 2 7 9 7 USA 3 6 9 11 Turkey 1 7 8 12 India 3 4 7 13 Great Britain and NI 0 6 6 13 Cuba 1 5 6 13 Chinese Taipei 1 5 6 13 Colombia 1 5 6 13 Bulgaria 1 5 6 13 Azerbaijan 2 4 6 13 Spain 2 4 6 20 Algeria 0 5 5 20 Poland 1 4 5 20 Philippines 1 4 5 20 Nigeria 2 3 5 24 Serbia 1 3 4 24 Hungary 1 3 4 24 Mexico 2 2 4 24 North Korea 2 2 4 24 Venezuela 2 2 4 29 Tajikistan 0 3 3 29 Egypt 0 3 3 29 Morocco 0 3 3 29 Dominican Republic 0 3 3 29 Ukraine 1 2 3 29 Jordan 1 2 3 29 Belgium 1 2 3 29 Canada 1 2 3 29 Ecuador 1 2 3 29 Puerto Rico 1 2 3 29 Mongolia 2 1 3 29 Armenia 3 0 3 41 Japan 0 2 2 41 Sweden 0 2 2 41 Germany 0 2 2 41 Norway 0 2 2 41 Refugee team 0 2 2 41 Georgia 1 1 2 41 Netherlands 1 1 2 41 South Korea 1 1 2 41 Vietnam 1 1 2 41 DR Congo 1 1 2 41 Romania 1 1 2 41 Finland 2 0 2 41 Cape Verde 2 0 2 41 Kyrgyzstan 2 0 2 55 Croatia 0 1 1 55 Denmark 0 1 1 55 Mozambique 0 1 1 55 Panama 0 1 1 55 Samoa 0 1 1 55 Tunisia 0 1 1 55 Zambia 0 1 1 55 Kosovo 0 1 1 55 Slovakia 1 0 1 55 Austria 1 0 1 55 Congo 1 0 1 55 Dominica 1 0 1 55 Greece 1 0 1 55 Moldova 1 0 1 55 Montenegro 1 0 1 This table would probably have been more interesting as a tracking tool over the last couple of days but sure look. The table shows the best case qualification scenario by country. Australia and their Oceanian quotas are now gauranteed to have the most boxers in Paris with Uzbekistan and Brazil the other two countries who will definitely be in double digits with Uzbekistan gauranteed second if Navbakhor Khamidova can win tommorrow. Ireland could still join them on eleven and are significant favourites in 4 of the 5 fights tomorrow so have a very real shot of at least reaching double digits (and smashing their qualification record of 8). Kazakhstan also have a real shot at hitting double digits which would be a remarkable recovery after getting only 2 at Asian games. France are the last country with a chance to get to 10 which even if they don't quite hit is still a decent return for their home Olympic cycle. The country with their total set at this point that stands out is GB after the most shocking loss of the tournament with Elise Glynn losing to Marine Camara today. (They did win a quota with Lewis Richardson ) They have had some dissapointing losses but to be honest 6 quotas isn't that far from a fair reflection of this squad. Other than Ireland and Kazakhstan, India and the USA have the most to gain tomorrow and both still can redeem mediocre qualifying campaigns with 3 wins from 3 tomorrow. I think India can get there, the US will do very well to win 2 tomorrow but like GB if the US ends up with 7 its probably a relatively fair reflection of their squad.
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M51kg Rafa Lozano (13) vs So Chonryong (9) Gan-Erdene Gankhuyag (26) vs Roscoe Hill (2) Mahdi Parvizi (7) vs David de Pina (31) Chunag Liu (28) vs Amit Panghal (1) M57kg Qualified- Aider Abduraimov (20) , Carlo Paalam (1) Box off- Munarbek Seitbek Uulu (11) vs Sachin Siwach (5) M63.5kg Qualified- Radoslav Rosenov (3) , Oier Ibarreche (20) , Erislandy Alvarez (2) , Malik Hasanov (13) . Box 0ff- Alexandru Paraschiv (12) vs Mukhammedsabyr Bazarbay Uulu (4) . M71kg Qualified- Zeyad Eashash (2) , Damian Durkacz (10) , Nishant Dev (1) , Lewis Richardson (8) . Box off- Aidan Walsh (4) vs Angel Llanos (17) . M80kg Qualified- Christian Pinales (2) , Weerapon Jongjoho (17) . Box off- Rafayel Hovhannisyan (5) vs Hussein Iashaish (4) . M92kg Victor Schelstraete (14) vs Soheb Bouafia (10) Mateusz Bereznicki (9) vs Daniel Guzman (20) Erkin Adylbek Uulu (19) vs Loren Alfonso Dominguez (5) Georgi Kushitashvili (1) vs Jamar Talley (2) M92+kg Gerlon Congo (13) vs Fernando Arzola (2) Martin McDonagh (11) vs Davit Chaloyan (7) Ayoub Ghadfa Drissi El Aissaoui (3) vs Ahmed Hagag (6) Stylianos Roulias (18) vs Dmytro Lovchynskyi (9) My predictions Settled Qualifiers 4/14 Still possibly correct 23/37 Best case scenario 27/51 Well these haven't gone well but somehow I still have a very outside chance at hitting the 50% mark and remarkably I still have a shot at getting the 5th place box off winners in M63.5kg and M71kg both correct which is bizarre and despite getting both "finalists" wrong I correctly predicted the box off at 80kg as well.
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Summary going into the last day W50kg Nazym Kyzaibay (3) vs Kang Su Hyang (15) Daina Moorehouse (1) vs Zlatislava Chukanova (9) Zainab Adeshina (21) vs Pihla Kaivo Oja (6) Mckenzie Wright (19) vs Fatima Herrera (18) W54kg Johana Gomez (5) vs Enkhjargal Mungunsetseg (6) (Sorry Josh I was right the second time around.) Im Aeji (3) vs Zeynab Rahimova (20) Bojana Gojkovic (11) vs Hsiao Wen Huang (1) Jennifer Lehane (4) vs Hanna Lakotar (22) W57kg Alyssa Mendoza (7) vs Maud Van der Toorn (1) Xu Zichun (6) vs Claudia Nechita (12) Marine Camara (28) vs Jaismine (9) Esra Yildiz (2) vs Nilawan Techasuep (4) W60kg Qualified- Agnes Alexiusson (5) , Oh Yeon ji (6) Box off- Thi Linh Ha (27) vs Vilma Viitanen (7) . W66kg Navbakhor Khamidova (4) vs Kristina Kuluhova (3) Brigitte Mbabi (27) vs Ivanusa Moreira (15) Emilie Sonvico (5) vs Jessica Triebelova (11) Ani Hovsepyan (10) vs Grainne Walsh (1) W75kg Melissa Gemini (16) vs Baison Manikon (8) Maryelis Yriza (20) vs Hergie Bacyadan (17) Valentina Khalzova (2) vs Shirleidis Orozco (12) Citlalli Ortiz (5) vs Patricia Mbata (11) .
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No worries, You should see some of my predictions. Literally the exact opposite of whatever I said has happened in a few brackets. Also, meant to post this earlier this week but with the way swimming qualifications work we should get reallocated the W4*100 free relay before we have to select our squad and as such have 6 relay quotas to work with so if we are smart about it we should be able to select our entire Men's 4*100 medley squad and then just Grace Davison and Victoria Catterson for the womens relays. Mcsharry should be able to swim that 4*100 free and is much faster than Erin Riordan anyway so there shouldn't be any issues there and then we won't have to use Fannon in the mens medley relay or play some very risky game like not selecting Conor Ferguson and just assuming he gets an invitation based off his OCT.
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Jeez I get it wrong once and your making me go and get it wrong again. So at 54kg the short answer is I don't know. I would have probably leaned world medallist Enkhjargal Mungunsetseg after Drabik but Mongolia have largely struggled so I guess Johana Gomez is the slight favourite but I mean it could be any of the four still in contention with Scarlett Delgado still very much in the mix and Shera Mae Patricio as well. 3 50-50 fights to be honest. You have a chance put it that way. At 66kg it should now just come down to the Kali Moreira fight in the last 16. I think Moreira is better but only marginally. But ye I didn't see Mbabi beating Chernokolenko coming at all and I have seen her fight before, this wasn't some obscure African boxer with no recorded results. She has impressed here though so you can't rule her out either and look Mai Kito isn't good but Japanese boxers have proven to be able to cause a shock or two. Or in other words I don't know. I would lean towards Gomez and Moreira but I'm sure those predictions will be as bad as the rest of mine are looking. I've already lost 8 or 9 of my picks, I'm not sure I am even going to do better than the disaster that was the first world qualifier.
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I had been thinking over the last couple of days that this thread had been remarkably civil and quiet for a boxing thread and then one controversial fight and boom, chaos. So this Aidan Walsh- Yurii Zakharieiev fight. I don't think this was a robbery. It was an ugly ugly fight that could have gone either way but it wasn't a robbery. I have watched this fight a couple of times now and I don't think any of the three rounds had a clear winner. I think I have settled on Zakharieiev edged the first round and Walsh edged the 2nd and 3rd but it was much of a muchness in all 3 rounds. The only point I thought either boxer definitively got on top was the last minute or so where Zakharieiev tired a bit and Walsh's straight shots started to land. Look I don't think Walsh could have had much to complain about had the decision gone the other way but there were about 6/7 clean quality punches landed in the entire fight so I don't Zakharieiev can complain much either. I think if you showed that fight to 100 judges 55 or so probably go in favour of Walsh with 45 or so going the other way. However, I do think two point deductions for punching the back of the head was harsh on Zakharieiev (he did infringe like, just 2 warnings is harsh) but the ref gave that straight back the other way for holding which again can't really complain about. I think the ref in the third round kind of decided he wasn't going to decide the fight by disqualifying either boxer with a third deduction and just left it up to the judges because neither of them stopped infringing. The other thing I would mention is that while I don't like that it is a criteria judges do sometimes judge fights on who was "in control" of a fight. Its a really ambigous criteria but judges do sometimes use it and I don't think you could argue that that fight was fought in the style or at the pace that Zakharieiev wanted it. Look if a boxer I was supporting lost a fight like that to Walsh I would be frustrated and like even I get frustrated with Walsh's style sometimes because he is a really clean punch picker when he wants to be but in big fights like this one he just retreats into this ultra defensive style. I get it, it has served him well getting him to the previous Olympics against Ievgenii Barabanov and winning him commonwealth games against the then European finalists in Harris Akbar and Garan Croft but it is tough to watch. But ye this fight could have gone either way and Ireland have had 3/4 of these type of decisions go against them at previous qualifying tournaments. Like Dmytro Lovchynskii was a little fortunate to get the decision this morning against Ifeanyi Onyekwere . I'm not saying they even out because they don't really (sample size is too small) but you do win some and lose some. I'm not aware of any official appeals process. The IBA used to overturn 3-2 decisions and they have their bout review thing now which is essentially a sped up version of the same thing. However, not a single fight at any of these qualifying tournaments has been overturned after an appeal. Anyway the best part is at W54kg Jennifer Lehane meets Anastasiia Kovalchuk in what should also be a close fight so we will get to do this all over again on Saturday.
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W54kg - Sarsenbek lost to Patricio in this afternoon's session. still can. They don't have a shot at W60kg but they haven't lost here yet.
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Guys guys guys, Ok today wasn't great but I feel like we had this exact same conversation at the equivalent point last year. The LM2x will be fine. It lost, not ideal but its fine. It lost last year too. Still the overwhelming favourite for gold in the boatclass. The M2x is also fine, dissapointing it wasn't here but it should be favoured for a medal along with the Netherlands and probably Romania's new combination. There are a lot of contenders but it is still a favourite right now. The M2- is injured and finished 6th at world cup iii last year. I don't know if it ultimately medals but it is in the exact same spot it was last year. Also in the same spot as last year is the W2- which is unfortunate because it looks likely we will finish fourth but it is rare that the Olympics goes exactly to form and we are right there if something goes wrong for one of Netherlands, Australia or Romania. The W2x is right in the mix although it has underperformed in both finals this year which is concerning but this boatclass is wide open behind the Romanians (assuming they regain their form after a dissapointing Europeans). The US won today, Australia's new double looks impressive, Norway have looked good but I would kind of expect them to regress a bit as the year goes on. Lithuania have struggled this season but could return to form and then there is us. We are on track to make the A final and it is anybody's race from there. The LW2x, not a particularly encouraging regatta all right but we really aren't that far away and we know how close this boatclass will end up being. For me nothings changed, we have in very similar circumstances won 3 world championships medals in both of the last 2 years. That is still my expectation. LM2x to win gold, M2x to finish second or third and one of the other boats to push their way onto the podium, Maybe it goes wrong but I don't understand why we are expecting it to go wrong given this season has looked exactly the same as last year and fairly similar to 2022 as well.
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https://www.ffboxe.com/des-jeux-pour-marquer-lhistoire/ This article on the French federation's site mentions that there will be no seeding at the Olympics. I would much prefer if your source is right as any seeding at all makes the draw much fairer but I assume that the French federation knows what it is talking about.
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[hide] *"Double-the-points" distributed as follow: Each user will have 3 during the Knockout Stage - From Quarterfinals to Finals. Each user will have to mark their matches with "Double-the-points" with an "*". Knockout Stage May 23rd - May 26th, 2024 Third-Place Match Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 May 26th 2024 h. 15:20 Sweden 1 Canada Final Date & Time (GMT +2) Nation 1 T1 T2 Nation 2 May 26th 2024 h. 20:20 Switzerland 1 Czechia [/hide]
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Second World Olympic Qualifiers M80kg (3,56) M92kg (4,42) M92+kg (4,42) 1 Kelyn Cassidy (IRL) Georgii Kushitashvili (GEO) Danabieke Bayikewuzi (CHN) 2 Christian Pinales (DOM) Jamar Talley (USA) Fernando Arzola (CUB) 3 Robby Gonzales (USA) Narek Manasyan (ARM) Ayoub Ghadfa Drissi El Aissaoui (ESP) 4 Hussein Iashaish (JOR) Julio Castillo (ECU) Dusan Veletic (SRB) 5 Rafayel Hovhannisyan (ARM) Loren Alfonso Dominguez (AZE) Luka Pratljacic (CRO) 6 Yojerlin Cesar (FRA) Rogelio Romero (MEX) Ahmed Hagag (AUT) 7 Ramtin Musah (GBR) Vagkan Nanitzanian (GRE) Davit Chaloyan (ARM) 8 Vladimir Mironchikov (SRB) Sadam Magomedov (SRB) Petar Belberov (BUL) 9 Mindaugas Gediminas (NOR) Mateusz Bereznicki (POL) Dmytro Lovchynskyi (UKR) 10 Juan Ortiz (COL) Soheb Bouafia (FRA) Danis Latypov (BHR) 11 Omurbek Bekzhigit Uulu (KGZ) Marlon Hurtado (COL) Martin McDonagh (IRL) 12 Gradus Kraus (NED) Mucahit Ilyas (TUR) Narendar Berwal (IND) 13 Gazimagomed Jalidov (ESP) Sanjeet Kumar (IND) Gerlon Congo (ECU) 14 Kim Jin-jea (KOR) Victor Schelstraete (BEL) Ifeanyi Onyekwere (NGR) 15 Meysam Gheslaghi (IRN) Marko Calic (CRO) Nigel Paul (TTO) 16 Andrey Csemez (SVK) Adrian Paoletti (AUS) Willys Mendoza (COL) ? 17 Weerapon Jongjoho (THA) Alexander Okafor (GER) Rouzbeh Safari (IRN) 18 Go Wakaya (JAP) Odai Al-Hindawi (JOR) Stylianos Roulias (GRE) 19 Andrei Arodoaie (ROU) Erkin Adylbek Uulu (KGZ) Jonas Jazevicius (LTU) 20 Delil Dadaev (GER) Daniel Guzman (DOM) Mukhammad Abroridinov (TJK) 21 Keven Beausejour (CAN) Yan Zak (ISR) Keddy Agnes (SEY) 22 Abhimanyu Loura (IND) Noori Silab (AFG) Javier Cruz (MEX) 23 Peter Pita Kabeji (COD) Serhii Horskov (UKR) Gilbert Kabamba (COD) 24 Sebastien Terteryan (DEN) Regarn Simbwa (UGA) Doni Foreman (CAN) 25 Nekruz Shalimov (TJK) Jung Ha-Neul (KOR) Oskar Safaryan (POL) 26 Kristyan Nikolov (BUL) Ali Fathigovashini (IRN) Ugur Aydemir (TUR) 27 Taj Kagho (NZL) Johnathan Tetteh (GHA) Kennedy St. Pierre (MRI) 28 Hector Aguiire (MEX) David Michalek (SVK) Younes Bouhdid (MAR) 29 Ganzorig Dalai (MGL) Nyamdorj Otgonbold (MGL) Kim Doh-yeon (KOR) 30 Osaro Aimufua (AUT) Koppany Feher (HUN) Byeknur Khali (MGL)
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Second World Olympic Qualifiers M51kg (4,51) M57kg (3,63) M63.5kg (5, 65) M71kg (5,70) 1 Amit Panghal (IND) Carlo Paalam (PHI) Erdenebat Tsendbaatar (MGL) Nishant Dev (IND) 2 Roscoe Hill (USA) Rujakron Juntrong (THA) Erislandy Alvarez (CUB) Zeyad Eashash (JOR) 3 Yuberjen Martinez (COL) Asror Vokhidov (TJK) Radoslav Rosenov (BUL) Wanderson de Oliveira (BRA) 4 Kiaran McDonald (GBR) Owain Harris-Allan (GBR) Mukhamedsabyr Bazarbayuly (KAZ) Aidan Walsh (IRL) 5 Rogen Ladon (PHI) Sachin Siwach (IND) Alexy de la Cruz (DOM) Yurii Zakharieiev (UKR) 6 Federico Serra (ITA) Yosef Iashaish (JOR) Emilio Garcia (USA) Shamser Shaidov (TJK 7 Mehdi Parviz (IRN) Shamil Askerov (AZE) Jose Viafara (COL) Jorge Cuellar (CUB) 8 Attila Bernath (HUN) Artur Bazeyan (ARM) Shion Nishiyama (JAP) Lewis Richardson (GBR) 9 So Chonryong (PRK) Samuel Kistohurry (FRA) Ali Habibanezhed (IRN) Eskerkhan Madiev (GEO) 10 Kim In-kyu (KOR) Daniyal Shahbaksh (IRN) Viliam Tanko (SVK) Damian Durkacz (POL) 11 Dmytro Zamotayev (UKR) Munarbek Seitbek Uulu (KGZ) Aleksej Sendrik (SRB) Sarkhan Aliyev (AZE) 12 Salah Ibrahim (GER) Jose de los Santos (DOM) Alexandru Paraschiv (MDA) Byamba-erdene Otgonbaatar (MGL) 13 Rafael Lozano Jr (ESP) Yoel Finol (VEN) Malik Hasanov (AZE) Kasra Tahmasebi (IRN) 14 Azat Makhmetov (BRN) Roland Veres (HUN) Joseph Commey (GHA) Alexander Rangel (COL) 15 Ramon Nicanor Quiroga (ARG) Batuhan Ciftci (TUR) Yaroslav Khartysz (UKR) Steve Kulenguluka (COD) 16 Luis Delgado (ECU) Kharkhuu Enkh-amar (MGL) David Grevorgkian (GER) Bayramdurdy Nurmuhammedov (TKM) 17 Sakhil Alakhverdovi (GEO) Van Duong Nguyen (VIE) Patris Mughalzai (GBR) Angel Llanos (PUR) 18 Ergunyal Sebahtin (BUL) Miguel Vega (MEX) Gianluigi Malanga (ITA) Deniel Kretter (GER) 19 Ala Eddine Zidi (TUN) Shukur Ovezov (TKM) Louis Richarno Colin (MRI) Gurgen Madoyan (ARM) 20 Sean Mari (IRL) Aider Abduraimov (UKR) Oier Ibarreche (ESP) Frederick Kiwitt (LBR) 21 Theophilus Allotey (GHA) Lucas Fernandez (URU) Saparmyat Odayev (TKM) Tiago Muxanga (MOZ) 22 Bareshem Harutyunyan (ARM) Tryagain Ndevelo (NAM) Abdelhaq Nadir (MOR) Sergio Martinez (ESP) 23 Anvarzhan Khodziev (KGZ) Caleb Tirado (PUR) Chol Man Choe (PRK) Alban Beqiri (ALB) 24 Hamza Esaadi (MOR) Michele Baldassi (ITA) Narek Hovhannisyan (ARM) Peerapat Yeasungnoen (THA) 25 Huthaifa Eashash (JOR) Pawel Brach (POL) Cleisson dos Santos (BRA) Junior Petanqui (CAN) 26 Gankhuyag Gan-erdene (MGL) O Tae Bom (PRK) Abhinash Jamwal (IND) Vasile Cebotari (MDA) 27 Mauricio Ruiz (MEX) Jean Caicedo (ECU) Jonas Jonas (NAM) Merven Clair (MRI) 28 Chuang Liu (CHN) Ping Lyu (CHN) Mizan Aykol (TUR) Miroslav Kapuler Ischenko (ISR) 29 Mohamed Moziane (ALG) Denis Bril (GER) Arsen Chabyan (AUT) Kelvin Soquessa (CZE) 30 Omer Ametovic (SRB) Armando Sigauque (MOZ) Chriztian Pitt Laurente (PHI) Il Hyok Kim (PRK)
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Second World Olympic Qualifiers W60kg (3,30) W66kg (4,37) W75kg (4,30) 1 Amy Broadhurst (GBR) Grainne Walsh (IRL) Naomi Graham (USA) 2 Namuun Monkhor (MGL) Arundhati Choudhary (IND) Valentina Khalzova (KAZ) 3 Miroslava Jedinakova (SVK) Kristina Kuluhova (SRB) Busra Isildar (TUR) 4 Rimma Volossenko (KAZ) Navbakhor Khamidova (UZB) Love Holgersson (SWE) 5 Agnes Alexiusson (SWE) Emilie Sonvico (FRA) Citlalli Ortiz (MEX) 6 Oh Yeonji (KOR) Leonie Mueller (GER) Veronika Nakota (HUN) 7 Vilma Viitanen (FIN) Blessing Oraekwe (NGR) Aziza Zokirova (UZB) 8 Ankushita Boro (IND) Camila Camilo (COL) < Baison Manikon (THA) 9 Felicitas Ganglbauer (GER) Stephanie Pineiro (PUR) Rady Gramane (MOZ) 10 Ayaka Taguchi (JAP) Ani Hovsepyan (ARM) Seong Su-yeon (KOR) 11 Loredana Marin (ROU) Jessica Triebelova (SVK) Patricia Mbata (NGR) 12 Sara Beram (CRO) Anastasia Chernokolenko (UKR) Shirleidis Orozco (COL) 13 Shoira Zulkaynarova (TJK) Luna Beeloo (NED) Karolina Makhno (UKR) 14 Vladislava Kukhta (HUN) Hwang Hyo-sun (PRK) Gabriele Stonkute (LTU) 15 Anna Jenni (SWI) Ivanusa Gomes Moreira (CPV) Vivianne Pereira (BRA) 16 Aslahan Mehmedova (BUL) Natalya Bogdanova (KAZ) Melissa Gemini (ITA) 17 Hanna Okhrei (UKR) Sara Kali (CAN) Hergie Bacyadan (PHI) 18 Camila Pineiro (URU) Joana Nwamerue (BUL) Irina Schonberger (GER) 19 Esmeralda Falcon (MEX) Ganzorig Badmaarag (MGL) Monika Langerova (CZE) 20 Ana Starovoitova (LTU) Saida Lahmidi (MOR) Maryelis Yriza (VEN) 21 Sheila Martinez (ESP) Griselda Duran (MEX) Elizabeth Andiego (KEN) 22 Klaudia Budasz (POL) Sheilla Yama (PNG) Ornella Sathoud (GHA) 23 Rashida Tagirova (UZB) Cara Whararau (NZL) Erdenatuya Enkhbaatar (MGL) 24 Terris Smith (CAN) Beatrise Rozentale (LAT) Deane Reed (NZL) 25 Carolina Ferreira (POR) Seon Su-jin (KOR) Duina Martinez (ESP) 26 Tianna Guy (TTO) Shahla Allahverdiyeva (AZE) Aynur Rzayeva (AZE) 27 Thi Linh Ha (VIE) Brigitte Mbabi (COD) Kimberly Gittens (BAR) 28 Ragad Alnaimi (KSA) Krista Kovalainen (FIN) Eseta Flint (TGA) 29 Teretia Toauriri (KIR) Nilufar Boboyorova (TJK) Diem Quynh Luu (VIE) 30 Zann Chee (SGP) Friza Asiko Anyango (KEN) Kitija Zaberga (LAT)
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Second World Olympic Qualifiers Top 30 per weightclass. (Number of qualifiers, number of entries) in the brackets. W50kg (4,34) W54kg (4,33) W57kg (4,33) 1 Daina Moorehouse (IRL) Huang Hsiao-wen (TPE) Maud Van der Toorn (NED) 2 Rinka Kinoshita (JPN) Sandra Drabik (POL) > Esra Yildiz (TUR) 3 Nazym Kyzaibay (KAZ) Im Aeji (KOR) Jennifer Fernandez (ESP) 4 Nataia Kuczewska (POL) Jennifer Lehane (IRL) Nilawan Techaseup (THA) 5 Tetyana Kob (UKR) Johana Gomez (VEN) Elise Glynn (GBR) 6 Pihla Kaivo-oja (FIN) Enkhjargal Mungunsetseg (MGL) Xu Zichun (CHN) 7 Aldana Florencia Lopez (ARG) Romane Moulai (FRA) Alyssa Mendoza (USA) 8 Savannah Stubley (GBR) Scarlett Delgado (CAN) Bolortuul Tumurkhuyag (MGL) 9 Zlatislava Chukanova (BUL) Shera Mae Patricio (USA) Jaismine (IND) 10 Nina Radovanovic (SRB) Anastasia Kovalchuk (UKR) Satsuki Yoshizawa (JPN) 11 Jung Joo-Hyung (KOR) Bojan Gojkovic (MNE) Nikolina Cacic (CRO) 12 Susan Aguas (ECU) Ulzhan Sarsenbek (KAZ) Claudia Nechita (ROU) 13 Tayonis Cedeno (VEN) Ekaterina Sycheva (ARM) Jin Hyejeong (KOR) 14 Thi Ngoc Tran Nguyen (VIE) Estefani Almanzar (DOM) Guadalupe Solis (MEX) 15 Kang Su Hyang (PRK) Islem Ferchichi (TUN) Anastasia Molochko (UKR) 16 Anush Grigoryan (ARM) Perla Bazaldua (MEX) Marie Al-Ahmadieh (CAN) 17 Sofie Vinther Rosshaug (DEN) Marta Lopez Del Arbol (ESP) Jinhyang Paek (PRK) 18 Fatima Herrera (MEX) Mikoto Harada (JAP) Lucie Sedlackova (CZE) 19 Mckenzie Wright (CAN) Melissa Mortensen (DEN) Olga Papadatou (GRE) 20 Guo Yi Xuan (TPE) Zeynab Rahimova (AZE) Szabina Szucs (HUN) 21 Zainab Adeshina (NGR) Zeina Nassar (GER) Andjela Brankovic (SRB) 22 Rita Soares (POR) Hanna Lakotar (HUN) Canan Tas (GER) 23 Nicole Durikova (SVK) Sara Svennson (SWE) Mahsati Hamzayeva (AZE) 24 Danisha Mathialagan (SGP) Denisse Bravo (CHI) Ana Milisic (SWI) 25 Marjona Savrieva (AZE) Fotima Begmuradova (TJK) Laura Jakovleva (LAT) 26 Ruhafzo Haqnazarova (TJK) Angelyris Lopez (PUR) Josefien Betist (SLE) 27 Margret Tembo (ZAM) Anjani Teli (NEP) Minerva Montiel (PAR) 28 Aylin Jamez (GUA) Amina Faki (KEN) Marine Camara (MLI) 29 Mihaela Badescu (ROU) Ornella Havyarimana (BDI) Feofaaki Epenisa (TGA) 30 Kathreen Sterling (HAI) Bele phekie (BOT) Huyen Tran Nguyen (VIE)
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Rank (Total) Country Projected qualifiers Already qualified Projected Total 2 Ireland 5 6 11 5 USA 3 6 9 9 Great Britain and NI 3 5 8 13 India 3 3 6 13 Poland 3 3 6 5 Kazakhstan 2 7 9 5 China 2 7 9 5 Turkey 2 7 9 13 Cuba 2 4 6 17 Philippines 2 3 5 17 Tajikistan 2 3 5 24 Mongolia 2 1 3 32 Armenia 2 0 2 2 Brazil 1 10 11 12 Thailand 1 6 7 13 Chinese Taipei 1 5 6 21 Serbia 1 3 4 21 Azerbaijan 1 3 4 24 Japan 1 2 3 24 Mexico 1 2 3 32 Ukraine 1 1 2 32 Croatia 1 1 2 32 Georgia 1 1 2 32 Sweden 1 1 2 32 Jordan 1 1 2 32 Netherlands 1 1 2 49 South Korea 1 0 1 49 Argentina 1 0 1 49 Finland 1 0 1 49 Iran 1 0 1 49 Slovakia 1 0 1 1 Australia 0 12 12 4 Uzbekistan 0 10 10 9 France 0 8 8 9 Italy 0 8 8 17 Colombia 0 5 5 17 Algeria 0 5 5 21 Bulgaria 0 4 4 24 Spain 0 3 3 24 Egypt 0 3 3 24 Morocco 0 3 3 24 Nigeria 0 3 3 24 Hungary 0 3 3 32 Dominican Republic 0 2 2 32 Belgium 0 2 2 32 Canada 0 2 2 32 Ecuador 0 2 2 32 North Korea 0 2 2 32 Puerto Rico 0 2 2 32 Venezuela 0 2 2 32 Germany 0 2 2 32 Norway 0 2 2 32 Refugee team 0 2 2 49 Vietnam 0 1 1 49 Denmark 0 1 1 49 DR Congo 0 1 1 49 Mozambique 0 1 1 49 Panama 0 1 1 49 Romania 0 1 1 49 Samoa 0 1 1 49 Tunisia 0 1 1 49 Zambia 0 1 1 49 Kosovo 0 1 1 Apologies for the weird looking table but hopefully it makes sense. I wanted to include the number of boxers in contention per country as well but I ran out of time. I have Ireland having an amazing tournament but that is very much the upper threshold for Ireland's potential here. Ireland, GB, India, Poland and USA all look likely to have good tournaments here but to varying extents that is a reflection of previous dissapointing tournament(s). Japan, Bulgaria and maybe Mongolia stand out amongst those who may be dissapointed with results here if this scenario plays out but I haven't looked at this too closely yet and obviously its just a projection which even if things go well won't prove remotely accurate.
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