Scenarios for Canadian men to qualify for the Olympics (Track Events) (only in areas where quotas aren’t guaranteed, which is why you’re not seeing the men’s 100m/200m/3000m steeplechase)
@intoronto did the women. I’ll do a rundown on the field events tomorrow (sometime before Wednesday at the latest)
Note, some athletes updated ranking points (Harry Jerome Classic), I’m too lazy to calculate, so I’ll wait for the updated Road to Paris rankings to update. There’s also a meet in Montreal on June 21, entry list isn’t officially out yet, but as soon as it’s over, there’ll be a second update.
Men’s 400m - Only 8 quotas are available through the Road to Paris rankings, and all of our athletes are nowhere near one. They’ll need to reach the entry standard of 45.00. Michael Roth, Austin Cole, Myles Misener-Daley, and Tyler Floyd are ones to watch out for. Callum Robinson, maybe, he ran well at the WA Relays, but has struggled in his individual 400m races.
Men’s 800m - Zakary Mama-Yari and Matti Erickson are in PB setting form, but will need to chop off another second and a bit in order to reach the Olympic standard. Abdullahi Hassan will also need to most likely reach the Olympic standard. Not impossible for the three, but not likely either. No chance through the Road to Paris rankings for any of them (actually, it depends on if Abdullahi Hassan performs well enough on June 21)
Men’s 1500m - Kieran Lumb looks safe (40/45th, 1249 points with the Harry Jerome Classic not yet updated, 35 points clear of 46th), but if he can replicate his 3:34.50 from last year in addition to finishing 1st, it should guarantee him a spot through the Road to Paris rankings.
Men’s 5000m - Thomas Fafard is the form of his life, and was so close to reaching the 13:05.00 Olympic standard (he was 0.07 off) about a month ago in Belgium. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t qualify automatically, but even if he doesn’t he should be one of the athletes in the rankings on the Road to Paris. He could go 13:20, and finish 2nd, that would net him 1217 points, putting him at an adjusted total of 1215 points, 41st in the Road to Paris but 27 points ahead of 43rd, and that might be enough. 13:15 would net him 1235 points (as long as he finishes 2nd), putting him at an adjusted total of 1221 points, 39th in the Road to Paris and 33 points ahead of 43rd. That should be more than enough.
Men’s 110m Hurdles
According to my calculations, Craig Thorne’s recent 13.48 got him 1222 points, and his recent 13.72 got him 1175 points. Neither have been updated on the Road to Paris page. That would put him at 1207 points overall, or 43rd in the rankings. 13.50 and 1st, would be 1258 points, and increase his overall score to 1214 points and 42nd in the Road to Paris. Unfortunately, it’ll probably require a 13.30-13.33 to get into a World Rankings quota, and like @intoronto said it’ll still be close.
Men’s 400m Hurdles
Malik Metivier opened up his season a week ago, with a very solid time of 49.07, just 0.37 away from the Olympic standard of 48.70. Unfortunately, he’s been injured since 2022, and this was his first race of the season, so no chance through the Road to Paris.