Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Qualification Simulation Road to Milano Cortina 2026

[evil betty 65]

25 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Tucker Murphy is also on the WC start list. Could surprise and get a quota 

 Nicolas Claveaux-Laviolette, who competed for  until this season, should make it easily.

[intoronto 6,387]

86 (minus Kenya) countries have qualified as per the list on Wikipedia.

 

and  have also qualified in cross-country skiing bringing the total to 88.

 

 will almost assuredly qualify in biathlon.

 

(a different athlete from above) all have alpine skiers chasing qualification. I think these three should be able to qualify. Bringing the total up to 93. i

 

has a skeleton athlete on the bubble, but i think she will qualify, so 93 nations. 's athlete should easily qualify in freestyle skiing. Now up to 94.

Now the what ifs?

not sure if the FIS will intervene and allow him to compete. He also doesn't have enough races (I think?)

 have alpine skiers who just outside qualification, and I do not think they will be able to make it, same with in cross-country skiing. Also  in cross-country skiing, but he didn't compete at the WC and I am unsure if he intends to.

 

Countries with athletes potentially able to qualify but haven't competed this season (alpine skiing)
 

 

 

 

[evil betty 65]

On 11/29/2025 at 5:27 PM, intoronto said:

Now the what ifs?

not sure if the FIS will intervene and allow him to compete. He also doesn't have enough races (I think?)

 

 

 

 

I did a deep dive into FIS council meetings and found the following (forgive me if this has been brought up before): https://assets.fis-ski.com/f/252177/x/f4a7f510a1/2025_09_24_fis_council_summaryminutes.pdf Nathan Tchibozo's change to  was approved, so he does not have to sit out. However, for some reason his OWG eligibility listing only has his races he competed for his new NOC (where he is basically one race short of qualifying), this is not true of  Anastasia Papathomas and  Piera Hudson, who were approved at the same time. Weird right?

And for  I don't know where the legalities are right now but the FIS voted no to any inclusion of Russian or Belorussian athletes in October: https://assets.fis-ski.com/f/252177/x/25cbbd615b/2025_10_21_fis_council_summaryminutes.pdf It is interesting that the member nations who host events could deny AIN participation at their discretion and the motion still failed. 

[avlar 454]

32 minutes ago, evil betty said:

I did a deep dive into FIS council meetings and found the following (forgive me if this has been brought up before): https://assets.fis-ski.com/f/252177/x/f4a7f510a1/2025_09_24_fis_council_summaryminutes.pdf Nathan Tchibozo's change to  was approved, so he does not have to sit out. However, for some reason his OWG eligibility listing only has his races he competed for his new NOC (where he is basically one race short of qualifying), this is not true of  Anastasia Papathomas and  Piera Hudson, who were approved at the same time. Weird right?

And for  I don't know where the legalities are right now but the FIS voted no to any inclusion of Russian or Belorussian athletes in October: https://assets.fis-ski.com/f/252177/x/25cbbd615b/2025_10_21_fis_council_summaryminutes.pdf It is interesting that the member nations who host events could deny AIN participation at their discretion and the motion still failed. 

I can add on AIN`s that russians appealed to TAC/CAS and the hearings are sheduled for today.


Bad news: FIS agrreed for quick procedure so it means that the decision could be expected in 7-10 days. Elias may weaken FIS position in TAS/CAS to lost the case. At the same time FIS extended qualification dedaline to the mid-January so they potentially will have Tour de Ski to qulify even if they miss Davos.

[evil betty 65]

I noticed a new possibility for Olympic Qualification. Darya Dolidovich is competing in Biathlon as a refugee (from Belarus lives in Poland). Pretty sure that the Winter Olympics has never had that before. 

I really have no idea how realistic it is for her to get one of the wild cards but I thought it was an interesting find.