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Paralympic Sports Qualification to Winter Paralympic Games Milano-Cortina 2026


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Posted (edited)

So far, :ITA:CHN:USA:KOR:LAT have secured wheelchair mixed doubles quotas through my rough calculations. 

 

United States, China, and Latvia finished 9th, 10th, and 11th, but cannot be overtaken by seven other countries as Estonia/Japan who are tied for 7th can only at best finish with 23 and 21 points (if they both make the final), same for South Korea, who are in the quarterfinals as the #1 seed are guaranteed a minimum of 28 points. 

 

24 F 10th :CHN F 9th :USA

22 F 11th :LAT

20 :KOR (QF, guaranteed 28)

14 :SVK (QF, guaranteed 19)

10 :CAN (QF, guaranteed 17, because of #3 seed)

9 :EST:JPN (QF, guaranteed 14)

8 :GBR (QF guaranteed 13)

 

QF pairings:

:KOR:SVK

:NOR:EST

:CAN:JPN

:GBR:CZE

 

16 different possible outcomes, BI= still in competition.

 

I'm gonna be editing this across the next 40 or so minutes, might've made some mistakes.


W | KOR-NOR-CAN-GBR: CAN 19, SVK 19, GBR 17, JPN 16, EST 15, NOR 9, CZE 8 | CAN SVK GBR Q

W | KOR-NOR-CAN-CZE: CAN 19, SVK 19, GBR 16, JPN 16, EST 15, CZE 9, NOR | CAN SVK GBR  Q

W| KOR-NOR-JPN-GBR: SVK 19, JPN 18, CAN 18, GBR 17, EST 15, NOR 9, CZE 8 | SVK JPN Q, GBR needs a 3rd or better to overtake CAN

W| KOR-NOR-JPN-CZE: SVK 19, JPN 18, CAN 18, GBR 15, EST 15, CZE 9, NOR | SVK JPN CAN Q

W | KOR-EST-CAN-GBR: CAN 19, SVK 19, EST 18, GBR 17, JPN 15, NOR 8, CZE 7 | CAN Q. SVK Q with CAN win over GBR or KOR win over EST, otherwise out. EST Q with a GBR loss, or a W over KOR, otherwise out. GBR Q with a W against CAN or a EST loss against KOR and a W against EST for bronze. 

W | KOR-EST-CAN-CZE: SVK 19, CAN 19, EST 18, GBR 15, JPN 15, CZE 9, NOR 8 | SVK CAN EST Q

W | KOR-EST-JPN-GBR: SVK 19, EST 18, JPN 18, GBR 17, CAN 17, NOR 8, CZE 6 | Winner of JPN-GBR Q, and EST Q with a win over SVK. If EST loses against SVK, winner of the bronze medal match Qs. 

W | KOR-EST-JPN-CZE: SVK 19, EST 18, JPN 18, CAN 17, GBR 14, CZE 9, NOR 8 | SVK EST JPN Q

W | SVK-NOR-CAN-GBR: SVK 23, CAN 19, GBR 17, JPN 15, EST 14, NOR 9, CZE 7 | SVK CAN GBR Q

W | SVK-NOR-CAN-CZE: SVK 23, CAN 19, GBR 15, JPN 15, EST 14, NOR 9, CZE 9 | SVK CAN GBR Q

W | SVK-NOR-JPN-GBR: SVK 23, JPN 18, GBR 17, CAN 17, EST 14, NOR 9, CZE 6 | SVK JPN GBR Q

W | SVK-NOR-JPN-CZE: SVK 23, JPN 18, CAN 17, GBR 14, EST 14, CZE 9, NOR  | SVK JPN CAN Q

W | SVK-EST-CAN-GBR: SVK 23, CAN 19, EST 18, GBR 17, JPN 14, NOR 7, CZE 6 | SVK Q. CAN Q with W over GBR or EST loss over SVK, otherwise GBR/EST Q. EST Q with a W over SVK or CAN W over GBR, otherwise GBR/CAN Q. GBR must beat CAN in this scenario. 

W | SVK-EST-CAN-CZE: SVK 23, CAN 19, EST 18, GBR 14, JPN 14, CZE 9, NOR 7 | SVK CAN EST Q 

W | SVK-EST-JPN-GBR: SVK 23, JPN 18, EST 18, GBR 17, CAN 16, NOR 7, CZE 5 | SVK Q. Winner of JPN-GBR Q, and EST Q with a win over SVK. If EST loses against SVK, winner of the bronze medal match Qs. 

W | SVK-EST-JPN-CZE: SVK 23, JPN 18, EST 18, CAN 16, GBR 13, CZE 9, NOR 7  | SVK EST JPN Q

Edited by Josh
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Posted (edited)

:SVK have qualified. Winner of JPN-EST will Q, and GBR Q with a win over KOR. If GBR loses against KOR, winner of the bronze medal match Qs. 
 

:CAN will not qualify for the Paralympics :facepalm: (I really hope I did the calculations wrong)

 

Edit: :JPN defeat Estonia and qualify. :GBR v. :EST for the final spot.

Edited by Josh
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  • 2 months later...

:LTU was awarded spot for Rapolas Micevičius in snowboarding. This means that Lithuania will return to winter parolympics after 32 years!, since (first and) last appearance in 1994

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  • 3 months later...

91 to 77 votes.

It means russian flag and anthem at the Paralympics 2026.

Ukrainian minister of sports: "Today it became known that a former member of the European Parliament from Great Britain received bribes for supporting Russia's positions."


We can expect boycott of the Paralympic Games by Ukraine.
 

 

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14 minutes ago, avlar said:

91 to 77 votes.

It means russian flag and anthem at the Paralympics 2026.

Ukrainian minister of sports: "Today it became known that a former member of the European Parliament from Great Britain received bribes for supporting Russia's positions."


We can expect boycott of the Paralympic Games by Ukraine.
 

 

Righ now it also means boycott from some other countries (Latvia at least) according to the rstrctions imposed by the fovernments on participation in the events where russians and belorussians compete with their national symbols.

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3 hours ago, avlar said:

Righ now it also means boycott from some other countries (Latvia at least) according to the rstrctions imposed by the fovernments on participation in the events where russians and belorussians compete with their national symbols.

What`s about Poland? They have changed a lot over the past 3 years: from very pro-Ukraine to a fairly quite neutral country, from what I can see from the public mood there. Italy, of course, has always been quite pro-Russia, unfortunately.

Edited by copravolley
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4 hours ago, avlar said:

91 to 77 votes.

It means russian flag and anthem at the Paralympics 2026.

Ukrainian minister of sports: "Today it became known that a former member of the European Parliament from Great Britain received bribes for supporting Russia's positions."


We can expect boycott of the Paralympic Games by Ukraine.
 

 

Not surprised, we'd probably get a similar vote from IOC members.

 

They might hold off to see what happens in 2026 in terms of boycotts, but at this rate I expect them to fully return by LA28.

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1, Short Track - 10, Skeleton - 1, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 18)  North Macedonia: 4 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)  Norway: 81 (-9) (Alpine Skiing - 16, Biathlon - 11, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 7, Freestyle Skiing - 5, Nordic Combined - 3, Ski Jumping - 7, Ski Mountaineering - 3, Snowboarding - 3, Speed Skating - 10)  Poland: 55 (-5) (Alpine Skiing - 3, Biathlon - 8, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Luge - 5, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 4, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 9)  Portugal: 4 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 1, Speed Skating - 1)  Romania: 28 (-6) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Luge - 6, Ski Jumping - 4, Snowboarding - 2)    San Marino: 1 (NEW) (Alpine Skiing - 1)  Serbia: 4 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2)  Slovakia: 54 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 4, Biathlon - 6, Bobsleigh - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 1, Ice Hockey - 25, Luge - 8, Short Track - 1, Ski Jumping - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 3)  Slovenia: 38 (-3) (Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 9, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Nordic Combined - 2, Ski Jumping - 7, Snowboarding - 4)  Spain: 19 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 4, Speed Skating - 1)  Sweden: 115 (-1) (Alpine Skiing - 9, Biathlon - 12, Cross-Country Skiing - 16, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 15, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 2, Ski Jumping)  Switzerland: 179 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 22, Biathlon - 10, Bobsleigh - 18, Cross-Country Skiing - 12, Curling - 11, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 21, Ice Hockey - 48, Luge - 1, Nordic Combined - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 5, Ski Mountaineering - 4, Snowboarding - 18, Speed Skating - 3)  Türkiye: 8 (+1) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Jumping - 2)  Ukraine: 44 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Biathlon - 10, Cross-Country Skiing - 6, Figure Skating - 1, Freestyle Skiing - 9, Luge - 8, Nordic Combined - 2, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Jumping - 2, Snowboarding - 1)   Oceania (3 nations)    Australia: 54 (-3) (Alpine Skiing - 3, Bobsleigh - 4, Cross-Country Skiing - 7, Figure Skating - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 16, Luge - 1, Short Track - 2, Skeleton - 1, Ski Mountaineering - 2, Snowboarding - 14)  New Zealand: 20 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 4, Freestyle Skiing - 10, Snowboarding - 6)  Vanuatu: 1 (0) (Freestyle Skiing - 1)   Other (1 nation)    Individual Neutral Athletes: 17 (0) (Alpine Skiing - 2, Cross-Country Skiing - 3, Figure Skating - 3, Freestyle Skiing - 1, Luge - 2, Short Track - 2, Ski Mountaineering - 1, Speed Skating - 3)    Refugee Olympic Team: 1 (NEW) (Biathlon - 1)
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