[PREDICTION CONTESTS] Discussion Thread

[clemsonbeav 333]

2026 Olympic Podium Prediction Game

Results after 12/116 events

 

Men's Singles Luge

 

AKA Should have paid attention in 2022

 

Actual Results

Gold	Silver	Bronze

 

What We Predicted

 

 

 

% of Users who had...

Correct Gold Medal Prediction: 64%

Correct Silver Medal Prediction: 45%
Correct Bronze Medal Prediction: 12%

Correct Podium Makeup: 3%

 

Overall Podium Score: 55%

(This score represents how accurately we as a group did at guessing NOCs + Placement.)

 

 

Leaderboard

 

 

 

Explanation of Points:

Correct Medalists = Number of medalists guessed correctly

Correct Podium Points = 2 points for a correct medallist, 1 point if you guessed that a medalist would be on the podium, 1 point bonus if you got the whole podium correct

Correct Podiums = Number of podiums guessed correctly

Edited 9 hours ago by clemsonbeav

[clemsonbeav 333]

@Topicmaster1010 with your first correct podium! Congrats!

[clemsonbeav 333]

2026 Olympic Podium Prediction Game

Results after 13/116 events

 

Team Figure Skating

 

AKA Our best performance yet (though it wasn't determined until the very end)!

 

Actual Results

Gold	Silver	Bronze

 

What We Predicted

 

 

 

% of Users who had...

Correct Gold Medal Prediction: 88%

Correct Silver Medal Prediction: 85%
Correct Bronze Medal Prediction: 48%

Correct Podium Makeup: 48%

 

Overall Podium Score: 75%

(This score represents how accurately we as a group did at guessing NOCs + Placement.)

 

 

Leaderboard

 

 

 

Explanation of Points:

Correct Medalists = Number of medalists guessed correctly

Correct Podium Points = 2 points for a correct medallist, 1 point if you guessed that a medalist would be on the podium, 1 point bonus if you got the whole podium correct

Correct Podiums = Number of podiums guessed correctly

 

•  

Edited 9 hours ago by clemsonbeav

[clemsonbeav 333]

2026 Olympic Podium Prediction Game

Results after 14/116 events

 

W Freeski Slopestyle

 

Actual Results

Gold	Silver	Bronze

 

What We Predicted

 

 

 

% of Users who had...

Correct Gold Medal Prediction: 55%

Correct Silver Medal Prediction: 36%
Correct Bronze Medal Prediction: 27%

Correct Podium Makeup: 12%

 

Overall Podium Score: 55%

(This score represents how accurately we as a group did at guessing NOCs + Placement.)

 

 

Leaderboard

 

Explanation of Points:

Correct Medalists = Number of medalists guessed correctly

Correct Podium Points = 2 points for a correct medallist, 1 point if you guessed that a medalist would be on the podium, 1 point bonus if you got the whole podium correct

Correct Podiums = Number of podiums guessed correctly

 

[clemsonbeav 333]

2026 Olympic Podium Prediction Game

Results after 15/116 events

 

M Team Combined Alpine Skiing

 

AKA - Ack! A tie!

 

Actual Results

Gold	Silver	Silver

 

What We Predicted

 

 

% of Users who had...

Correct Gold Medal Prediction: 88%

Correct Silver Medal Prediction for : 48% 
Correct Silver Medal Prediction for : 9% 

Correct Podium Makeup: 0%

 

Overall Podium Score: 56%

(This score represents how accurately we as a group did at guessing NOCs + Placement.)

 

 

Leaderboard

 

Explanation of Points:

Correct Medalists = Number of medalists guessed correctly

Correct Podium Points = 2 points for a correct medallist, 1 point if you guessed that a medalist would be on the podium, 1 point bonus if you got the whole podium correct

Correct Podiums = Number of podiums guessed correctly

 

Edited 5 hours ago by clemsonbeav

[szy123 88]

@clemsonbeav Switzerland and Austria were tied for silver, there was no bronze

[clemsonbeav 333]

19 minutes ago, szy123 said:

@clemsonbeav Switzerland and Austria were tied for silver, there was no bronze

Oops!  Good catch - I didn't watch the event yet, and I didn't catch that.  That will be interesting in the formulas, as I didn't account for this situation.    I'll have to figure out how to best accomplish this.

[szy123 88]

3 hours ago, clemsonbeav said:

Oops!  Good catch - I didn't watch the event yet, and I didn't catch that.  That will be interesting in the formulas, as I didn't account for this situation.    I'll have to figure out how to best accomplish this.

Just 2 points for anybody who bet on Austria or Switzerland for silver and 1 for whoever put them at bronze? And no perfect podium. Betting on a tie would be a gamble but it wasn't against the rules of our game I think? That seems fair enough to me.

[clemsonbeav 333]

8 minutes ago, szy123 said:

Just 2 points for anybody who bet on Austria or Switzerland for silver and 1 for whoever put them at bronze? And no perfect podium. Betting on a tie would be a gamble but it wasn't against the rules of our game I think? That seems fair enough to me.

Yes, I just finished this exact thing.    Double-checking my math and posting updated results when I do.

[clemsonbeav 333]

2026 Olympic Podium Prediction Game

Results after 16/116 events

 

W 1000m Long Track

 

Another perfect Gold prediction, and our best overall prediction yet!

 

Actual Results

Gold	Silver	Bronze

 

What We Predicted

 

 

% of Users who had...

Correct Gold Medal Prediction: 100%

Correct Silver Medal Prediction: 42%
Correct Bronze Medal Prediction: 36%

Correct Podium Makeup: 36%

 

Overall Podium Score: 77%

(This score represents how accurately we as a group did at guessing NOCs + Placement.)

 

 

Leaderboard

 

Explanation of Points:

Correct Medalists = Number of medalists guessed correctly

Correct Podium Points = 2 points for a correct medallist, 1 point if you guessed that a medalist would be on the podium, 1 point bonus if you got the whole podium correct

Correct Podiums = Number of podiums guessed correctly