[Dmitry 92]

6 minutes ago, Nate River said:

Very weird that they changed it so late in the process.

 

TBH I'm not sure why there is a need for countries to have five athletes in those sports as long as injury replacements are available.

The system with 4 athletes + 1 possible replacement for team events in case of injury looks better. Especially for the countries which are weaker in this sports because fifth athletes of the strong countries took some quotas. But FIS decided to change the system to worse. Just two months before the Olympics...

[Dmitry 92]

All qualification procedures for FIS sports now have some differents compare to the second post of this thread.

 

But the biggest are in ski jumping and nordic combined. FIS went back to the maximum 5 athletes per NOC for men instead of 4 and delete all about alternate athletes. In the nordic combined changes in the rules had finished a week ago. Now the qualification situation looks very different - Russia and the USA are losing their places in the nordic combined team event. Slovenia and Poland are taking this places instead. 

[Dmitry 92]

Just now, OlympicIRL said:

 

Well it wasn't the main menu music that was the problem.... do you remember the songs that played as you competed in each event?

 

Not exactly. Something like pop punk

[Dmitry 92]

2 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

 

Yes, and 16 nations if I remember right. The music was dreadful

 

[Dmitry 92]

I remember Salt Lake City 2002 game. There were 6 disciplines: men's alpine skiing downhill, men's ski jumping K120, men's snowboard PGS, women's alpine skiing slalom, women's freestyle aerials and 2-man bobsleigh.

[Dmitry 92]

Finally there are Quota and allocation lists for all FIS sports here.

Edited May 16, 2017 by Dmitry

[Dmitry 92]

Nordic Combined at this moment.

 

Max quota per NOC are 4 athletes.

Total quota are 55 (50 for rule D.1 and 5 for rule D.2.)

According to the WC standings:

[Dmitry 92]

Women's ski jumping at this moment.

 

Max quota per NOC are 4 athletes.

Total quota for women's ski jumping are 35

According to the WC standings:

Quota	Country	The best athletes, who counted (their places at the WC in brackets)
4		TAKANASHI Sara (1), ITO Yuki (2), SETO Yuka (12), IWABUCHI Kaori (18).
4		ALTHAUS Katharina (4), VOGT Carina (5), WUERTH Svenja (10), STRAUB Ramona (19).
4		KLINEC Ema (7), VTIC Maja (11), ROGELJ Spela (17), BOGATAJ Ursa (22).
4		AVVAKUMOVA Irina (9), BARANNIKOVA Anastasiya (25), TIKHONOVA Sofia (27), KUSTOVA Alexandra (35).
4		HENDRICKSON Sarah (14), ENGLUND Nita (16), RINGQUIST Abby (28), GERAGHTY-MOATS Tara (40).
4		LEMARE Lea (23), MORAT Lucile (24), MATTEL Coline (32), AVOCAT GROS Oceane (42).
3		IRASCHKO-STOLZ Daniela (6), SEIFRIEDSBERGER Jacqueline (8), HOELZL Chiara (13).
3		MALSINER Manuela (15), RUNGGALDIER Elena (21), INSAM Evelyn (30).
1		HENRICH Taylor (33).
1		LUNDBY Maren (3).
1		KYKKAENEN Julia (20).
1		HARALAMBIE Daniela (37).

Total - 34 athletes.

Host guota

1

PARK Guy-Lim (60)

+1. Total - 35 athletes.

Edited April 28, 2017 by Dmitry
Correct with the host quota

[Dmitry 92]

I tried to calculate Quotas allocation according to World Cup and Continental Cup for men's ski jumping at this moment.

Max quota per NOC are 4 athletes.

Total quota for men's ski jumping are 65 (55 for rule D.1 and 10 for rule D.2.)

According to the WC standings:

Quota	Country	The best athletes, who counted (their places at the WC in brackets)
4		WELLINGER Andreas (4), EISENBICHLER Markus (8), FREITAG Richard (13), GEIGER Karl (18).
4		STOCH Kamil (2), KOT Maciej (5), ZYLA Piotr (11), KUBACKI Dawid (19).
4		KRAFT Stefan (1), HAYBOECK Michael (7), FETTNER Manuel (10), KOFLER Andreas (23).
4		TANDE Daniel Andre (3), STJERNEN Andreas (12), JOHANSSON Robert (14), FANNEMEL Anders (26).
4		PREVC Domen (6), PREVC Peter (9), TEPES Jurij (20), DAMJAN Jernej (28).
4		KOUDELKA Roman (25), STURSA Vojtech (36), JANDA Jakub (38), POLASEK Viktor (47).
4		KASAI Noriaki (15), ITO Daiki (24), TAKEUCHI Taku (30), KOBAYASHI Junshiro (54).
4		KLIMOV Evgeniy (17), KORNILOV Denis (39), ROMASHOV Alexey (55), VASSILIEV Dimitry (58).
3		AHONEN Janne (50), MAEAETTAE Jarkko (50), LARINTO Ville (56).
3		COLLOREDO Sebastian (46), INSAM Alex (53), BRESADOLA Davide (60).
3		AMMANN Simon (29), DESCHWANDEN Gregor (64), KARLEN Gabriel (71).
2		BICKNER Kevin (42), GLASDER Michael (67).
1		DESCOMBES SEVOIE Vincent (16).
1		BOYD-CLOWES Mackenzie (41).
1		NURMSALU Kaarel (69).

Total - 46 athletes.

Then should use CC until we reached 55.

According to the CC standings:

Quota	Country	The best athletes, who counted (their places at the CC in brackets)
+1		AALTO Antti (47).
+1		PEIER Killian (60).
+1		RHOADS William (72).
+1		IPCIOGLU Fatih Arda (109).
+1		ROCH DUPLAND Thomas (110).
+1		CHOI Seou (113).
+1		AIGRO Artti (114).
+1		CECON Federico (120).
+1		ZHAPAROV Marat (120).

+9. Total - 55 with 1 host spot inside.

11 countries have 4 quoats for the team event:           

It needs 12 for the competition. 1 country  have 3 quotas, so the USA take the first quota from last 10.

The last 10 guotas according to the CC standings:

Quota	Country	The best athletes, who counted (their places at the CC in brackets)
+1		MATTOON Nicholas (133).
+3		CINTIMAR Muhammet Irfan (124), DEMIR Ayberk (132), BEDIR Muhammed Ali (140).
+2		KARPENKO Nikolay (123), KOROLEV Alexey (140).
+1		KALINICHENKO Vitaliy (131).
+1		MALTSEV Kevin (145).
+1		MAURER Joshua (147).
+1		KIM Hyun-ki (153).

+10. Total - 65.

 

Without 12 countries for the team event (48 quotas), the other 17 quoats goes:  4 - , 3 -  , 2 -   , 1 - .

 

The next eligible athlete in CC who could be counted is  TKACHENKO Sergey (173) and he is the last in the CC standings.

[Dmitry 92]

There are the new Olympic Quota Lists for alpine skiing and cross country.

[Dmitry 92]

Russia

 

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (7) - Except Khoroshilov there are no any top-level athletes. But I think 5 skiers are the minimum fo us, we can take some more.

Cross Country Skiing  (20) - Russia should have the maximum.

Ski Jumping  (8) - It's possible to have 4 athletes both for men and women. But it can be a little less.

Nordic Combined  (2) - 2 athletes are the real goal. But if we will be able to qualified 3rd then we can take 4th for team event.

Freestyle Skiing  (21) - 4 women's quota for aeirals and for moguls are real. For the other events it's something like that: 2-3 for men's aeirals and for moguls. 2-4 for men's SX, 1-2 for women's SX, 0-2 for men's SBS, women's SBS, women's HP. 0-1 for men's HP.

Snowboarding  (19) - 4 men and 4 women should be for PGS. We can take 2-4 quotas for men's SBX and for women's too, 1-2 for men's SBS/BA and for women's too. 0-2 for men's HP, 0-1 for women's HP.

Biathlon  (11) - Men's team have to be full. Women's will include 6 athletes only if we will be lucky.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (18) - It is possible to stay outside team pursuit or mass-start events. But for the distances we will have a big team.

Short Track Speed Skating  (8) - For the distances we should have the maximum. I think men's team will qualify for the relay. But with women's relay can be some concerns.

Figure Skating  (15) - 3 women's quotas, 2 for pairs, 2 for duets and 2 for men's are the minimum. But 3 quotas for all are possible.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (10) - 8-9 are for very bad results during the next season if we can't take 3rd woman or 2nd men's doubles quotas. 10 are the real goal.

Skeleton  (5) - 3 men and 2 women are the most possible team.

Bobsleigh  (16) - 12 are for very bad results. 16 are real with 3 crews in 4-men and 2 crews in 2-women. In 2-men it will be 2 or 3 crews.

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (7) - Very good chances with women's and mixed-double teams. Men's qualifyng is the tough objective. But it is possible too.

Ice Hockey  (48) - Both team qualified.

 

 

We should qualified in the all 15 sports. And I think at least 1 athlete/team will start at the 90 olympic events (minimum). It is possible to have some more.

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (240) too optimistic

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (190) too pessimistic

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (215)

 

[Dmitry 92]

On 2/5/2017 at 18:49, Mateusz said:

Do you know what is "quotas applied" column? I thought it is column with skiers who can compete in Pjongczang but when i click on Poland i didn't recognize the names 

They are athletes which have the minimum pts for qualifying through the D.1 way for Poland in the qualifying rules. I would say FIS marked them like a "lower border" with their pts for the country. But of course Poland's federation can use anybody through the D.1 way who is upper of this border. You can find them if you click on Poland's number in the total column. After that change "Display" to "Only the not used for quota calculation".