Rafa Maciel

I perhaps should explain a little more as I know there are a lot of users who are big fans of the Pro Cycling Stats data. The reason I say it is wrong on the women's side is because the PCS bases its ranking on the performance of the top 8 riders per nationality: Whilst this is correct for the men's rankings, for the women's rankings, the UCI only counts the points of the top 5 riders per country: So basically, PCS is consistently reporting higher ranking totals for each nation than we will see when using the official UCI rankings. Often that doesn't make a huge amount of difference, but in this instance it is giving misleading impression of where France will finish.

Interestingly, someone seems to have updated the Wikipedia page for road cycling qualification even though UCI haven't officially released the final rankings. Unfortunately, they seem to have used the Pro Cycling Stats data which is incorrect for the women's rankings. France will not finish ahead of Switzerland.

They should be close to getting a quota - Katie Boulter will be the most likely candidate but she will probably need to get into low-40s to be confident of qualifying. In Tokyo the last combined ranking was 54 so if the window closed today, they would be right on the edge of qualifying. Boulter is currently ranked about 50 and other than ITF level events, she isn't really defending a lot of points until the grass season which comes after the qualifying window closes. This should give her more opportunity to compete on the main tour next year and with guaranteed entry for Aus Open and French Open, there's a decent chance she can make more progress before the qualifying period closes.

Unlikely - France were about 900 points short of 5 place in the rankings on the women's side so will only qualify team of 3. The men on the other hand should finish in 5th and get the full team of 4.

Sunday October 15th 2023 becomes a dark day for Scottish sport - they were beaten by England 8-3 at mixed curling world champs. Can't think there will have been many occasions when England have come out on top against Scotland in curling.

Injury permitting, I'm 90% certain that Skupski won't be paired with Salisbury - he will instead opt to go with Dan Evans. They have been the preferred GB doubles pair for Davis Cup this year, have performed pretty well together and seem to get on really well both on and off the court. Salisbury will likely have the choice of Norrie, Murray or Draper as his partner and I think there's a good chance he would opt to go with Murray in a repeat of their pairing from Tokyo where they had a decent run to the quarter-finals and were pretty close to getting through to the medal matches. Not sure if that would change your medal prediction.

This is quite possibly the boldest prediction I've seen so far - I think Grant and Craig are unbeaten since Tokyo whilst the Irish pair finished 7th at the worlds.

The number of people playing the lottery always fluctuates depending on the level of the jackpot but lottery sales in 22/23 were the second highest on record at about 8.2bln. The figures for 23 are trending lower but that is primarily because there haven't been many big Euromillion rollovers to help drive sales. Nevertheless, the actual money going to "good causes" (of which UK Sport is a beneficiary) has remained fairly steady. The National Lottery Distribution Fund annual report was published in July and showed that the NLDF had 1.83bln of income in 22/23 - the same as in 21/22 and 20/21. In January the license changes to Allwyn and I fully expect that they will make changes to how the lottery is run but given the commitments they made in order to gain the license and the comments that have been made since, I'd be surprised if there was a significant drop off in terms of lottery support for UK Sport.

Josh Tarling scores another time trial victory by taking the Chronos des Nations title and beating Remco Evenepoel by 13 seconds.

Whilst disappointing, I don't think Gadirova's injury will fundamentally shift the needle for British Gymnastics going into Paris. They will still be set a target of 3-5 medals across the artistic, rhythmic and trampoline disciplines. Within artistic, even without Gadirova, they will have realistic medal chances with the men's team, Whitlock on pommel, Jarman on vault, Tulloch on rings and even an outside chance at an all-around medal from Joe Fraser. Obviously a lot depends on how the winter goes, but GB Gymnastics will be thinking they are in a good place going into Paris. In terms of funding, I'm not sure what you've based the assertion that lottery funding is rapidly falling. Financial support from UK Sport for the Paris Olympic cycle amounts to 241mln which is a significant increase on the 221mln awarded going into Tokyo. In addition to the funding of the national federations, there is around an additional 60mln of funding which is given directly to athletes. Looking at gymnastics specifically, they have received 13.3mln going into Paris - up from 13.2mln ahead of Tokyo. Assuming that the GB team does fall short of their target, whilst they would expect a funding cut, it is unlikely to be major and I'd still expect it to be in the region of 12.5-13mln. One of the biggest factors counting against major funding cuts is the need to address and implement the findings of the Whyte review.

I'd be surprised if Stapley was able to get himself into the top 30 to earn a quota place for GB - he is only counting 3 events from the first qualification period so he is starting from a pretty low base. That being said, I do think he could have a chance of being selected for the team if GB are able to get 3 quota places for the men's event so that he could act as a domestique. He has no illusions that he is going to be challenging for a podium finish and instead knows that if selected, his role would be to protect and support Yee - a role he's shown that he is willing to do having taken that role in the WTCS final last month. I don't see either Brownlee or Izzard being willing to "sacrifice" their own chances of a top 20 finish in favour of Yee's chances to get a medal.

Judo Policy Document: 2024_GBJudo_PARIS_OLYMPIC_GAMES_SELECTION-PROCEDURE.pdf (britishjudo.org.uk) Key Points: Athletes will be selected where they are the only British athlete to have secured direct qualification by finishing in the top 17 of the Olympic Qualification List. Athletes receiving a continental quota will be selected to the team. Where 2 (or more) athletes would be eligible for direct qualification via the Olympic qualification list, priority will be given to any athlete who would be a top 8 seed in Paris. Where no athlete would be seeded, the performance at 2024 World Championships will determine selection. If the athletes can't be separated under this criteria, the selection panel will review their performances across the qualification window. Additional Factors: As with other selection policy, the document includes reference to "future potential" which will allow the selection panel to select a lower ranked athlete if they believe that they have potential to medal in LA 2028. Realistically, this should be one of the more straightforward selection policies as the quotas will be earned by a specific athlete based on their performance over the last 2 years and their position in the Olympic Qualification List. Unlike nations such as Japan, there are relatively few weight classes where GB look like there is a realistic possibility that they will have 2 athletes who would be eligible for selection - Women's 57Kg, 70Kg and 78Kg. To all intents and purposes, Chelsie Giles (52Kg) has already been selected. Lucy Renshall is also looking pretty secure for selection. In the 78Kg class, at the moment, Nathalie Powell would be likely to get the nod over Emma Reid but there's not a huge amount of clear water between them. Likewise, the selection decision in the 70Kg class is likely to be finely balanced with Katie-Jemima Yeats-Brown being in a qualifying position but having a lower world ranking than Kelly Petersen-Pollard who is currently just outside of the quota places. GB have 3 world class athletes in the 57Kg weight class - Lele Nairne, Acelya Toprak and Nekoda Smythe-Davis - but it is becoming a bit of a mess in terms of selection. We've already seen a successful appeal against non-selection for the European Champs by Smythe-Davis and I don't think the situation is likely to improve any time soon. Until last year, Toprak was the top ranked GB athlete in the class but since then, she has been overshadowed by both Nairne and Smythe-Davis who is returning after her maternity leave. Nairne started the qualification window strongly but since then, Smythe-Davis has gradually closed the gap and currently sits as the only GB athlete in a quota position - but she is just 29 points ahead of Nairne. To complicate the selection further, Smythe-Davis has the lowest world ranking of the 3. On the men's side, we are probably relying on a continental quota which would go to either Moorhead (81Kg) or Petgrave (90Kg). Unfortunately, Sam Hall who is probably one of the stronger prospects on the men's side was injured for much of the 1st qualification period and he has now moved up a weight class to 66Kg so although he has had a couple of good results, he is starting from a very low base. We are coming into a key competition period for GB athletes in the next few weeks with the Abu Dhabi Grand Slam followed by the European Champs and culminating in the Perth Oceania Open. How they perform - particularly the men - could have significant impact on their Olympic ambitions.

I wonder what Athens and London did to p*ss off the IOC to the extent that they didn't get to add any new sports to the schedule when they hosted. 1992 Barcelona: Adds Badminton 1996 Atlanta: Adds Softball, Mountain Biking and Beach Volleyball 2000 Sydney: Add Taekwondo, Triathlon and Trampoline Gymnastics 2004 Athens: 2008 Beijing: Adds BMX Racing and Open Water Swimming 2012 London....Adds no new sports and drops baseball and softball. 2016 Rio: Adds Rugby 7s and Golf 2020 Tokyo: Adds Skateboarding, Surfing, BMX Freestyle, Sport Climbing, 3x3 Basketball & Karate 2024 Paris: Adds Breaking 2028 Los Angeles: Adds Flag Football, Cricket, Softball/Baseball, Squash & Lacrosse

In the process of prepping next update of judo tracker I was looking ahead to the European Championships. I always check the IJF website to see who has entered and who ultimately drops out of GB team as the event gets closer. The Euro champs have almost 400 competitors on the IJF website and I nearly lost my sh*t when I looked at who was supposedly on the GB team. It includes Ian Johns in the -60Kg class and Jason Parsons in the -66KG class. Ignoring the fact that Johns is listed as 44 years old - he is (or at least was) the GB Paralympic head coach whilst Parsons is the England Talent development coach. Whilst this information is obviously wrong, it led me to news of a bit of internal conflict within GB judo after their first stage selection announcement was made at the end of August: Statement: European Judo Championships - British Judo Reading between the lines, I assume that Nekoda Smythe Davis - who had previously been announced as a reserve - has appealed against her omission from the team. Given that NSD is in a qualifying position for GB whilst Toprak is 500 points outside of the last qualifying position, it would seem to be a no-brainer to take your athletes with the best chance of qualifying.

unlikely to be eligible to compete in the continental qualifiers because we already have Jade Jones and Bianca Cook qualifying through the rankings so only way Williams qualifies is by getting herself into the top 5.

I agree - I've said throughout, that her path to qualification was narrow but not impossible. The question was whether she was willing to drop down to the smaller tournaments and to go chasing the points necessary to keep her in the race. She's shown that she's not willing to give up on her Olympic dream but realistically she needs to be reaching at least the semi-finals this week and the final in Manchester - and even that won't be enough on its own as she will need other athletes to slip up.

Following on from earlier comments about Lauren Williams' schedule, she is now appearing on the start lists for another couple of events: 10-Oct: Taiyuan Grand Prix (G-6 Level) 60 Points 28-Oct: Swedish Open (G-1 Level) 10 Points 3-Nov: Asian Taekwondo Open Championships (G-2 Level) 20 Points 2-Dec: Manchester Grand-Prix Final (G-10 Level) 100 Points I am a bit surprised that she is going to Pakistan for the Asian Open Championship event - but I guess the start list may not be as strong as some of the other events and it gives her a chance to compete in G-2 level event.

State of the Race - Men's Tour UCI Ranking - 3-Oct (Adjusted): - 22433.09 (22024.09) - 18329.98 (18241.98) - 15566.34 (14913.34) - 14012.02 (12857.02) - 13689.09 (13519.09) - 13521.36 (13308.36) This week the following races took place: Grand Prix Urubici de Ciclismo Grand Prix Internacional de Ciclismo de Santa Catarina Paris-Bourges Gran Piemonte Grand Prix Chantal Biya Il Lombardia Paris-Tours Of these races, ranking riders for and featured in Gran Piemonte and Il Lombardia and Paris-Tours. In Gran Piemonte, gained 125 points whilst picked up 20 points. At Il Lombardia, gained 255 points, gained 640 points and picked up 180 points. In Paris-Tours, won 70 points. That would mean the new ranking totals would be: - 14264.09 (14179.09) - 13636.36 (13558.36) - 13237.02 (13237.02) Outstanding Events Before Close of Qualification Window: 05-09 Oct: Tour of Hainan 07-09 Oct: Tour de Kyushu 08-15 Oct: Presidential Tour of Turkey 11 Oct: Giro del Veneto 15 Oct: Japan Cup Cycle Road Race 15 Oct: Chrono des Nations 15 Oct: Veneto Classic ?? 12-17 Oct: Gree-Tour of Guangxi (Not 100% sure whether this will be included in the rankings released on 17-Oct as the race will finish after the reported release time for the rankings however looking at the rankings release for 3-Oct, this includes races that took place on 3-Oct so that would indicate that it will be included.) Ranking Riders in action next week (NB not all start lists are confirmed) : Mark Cavendish in Tour of Turkey; Josh Tarling in Chrono des Nations : Axel Zingle and Guillaume Martin in Japan Cup Cycle Road Race : Pello Bilbao and Ion Izagirre in Tour of Guangxi France will have a cushion of around 300 points going into the last week of racing. In order to overtake France, they will need both of their riders to finish in the points in Guangxi - but unless one of them actually wins the race, it will be difficult to close the gap - even having 2 in the top 5 will not necessarily be enough for them. Projected Paris Quotas: 4 men qualified: 3 men qualified: 2 men qualified: 1 man qualified: The positions of Kazakhstan and Eritrea could be reversed. There are 3 Eritreans taking part in the Tour of Turkey and Girmay was in the Paris-Tours today. I'm not sure how UCI will apply the results from the Asian Games - they are listed as a Continental Games but if they are included in the ranking then Asia would be the only continent that counted 2 continental competitions which would seem to raise issues of whether there was a level playing field. If that was to be the case, all of the continental/world championship quotas would be reallocated: 2023 World Championship quotas: Lucas Eriksson was the only rider to finish from non qualified nation. 2023 African Championship quotas: Christopher Rougier-Lagane & Charles Kagimu 2023 Asian Championship quotas: Kim Euro & Mohammad Ganjkhanlou 2023 Pan-American Championship quotas: Antonio Eric Fagundez Lima & Daniel Andres Bonilla Quiros Reallocated Host Quotas: & Usual caveats apply - this could all be rubbish if I have gone cross-eyed scrolling through results and ranking lists.

State of the Race - Women's Tour UCI Ranking - 3-Oct: - 14399.23 - 7758.43 - 6526 - 5775.05 - 5412.43 This week the following races took place: Binche-Chimay-Binche / Memorial Frank Vandenbroucke Tre Valli Varesine Asian Games - Road Race and Individual Time Trial Grand Prix Urubici de Ciclismo Feminina Grand Prix Internacional de Ciclismo de Santa Catarina There will be no change in the top 5 ranking this week. Australia who are in 6th and around 500 points shy of GB haven't been able to close the gap. Outstanding Events Before Close of Qualification Window: 12-14 Oct: Tour of Chongming 15 Oct: Chrono des Nations The start lists for these events are not confirmed as of today but realistically, there are unlikely to be enough points available to make significant changes to the overall rankings at the top of the rankings but we may see some changes further down the list. Projected Paris Quotas: 4 women qualified: 3 women qualified: 2 women qualified: 1 woman qualified: If that was to be the case, 5 of the 8 continental/world championship quotas would be reallocated: 2023 World Championship quotas: Anastasia Carbonari & Eri Yonamine 2023 African Championship quotas: No Reallocation Required 2023 Asian Championship quotas: Thi That Nguyen (No change) & Phi Kun Pan 2023 Pan-American Championship quotas: Andrea Ramirez Fregoso & Mariana Garcia Britos Reallocated Host Quotas: & For those who have used the PCS site's rankings tracker, you will notice that there are differences between the site's data and the analysis outlined above. I believe that this is primarily because PCS counts the top 8 riders - as per the men's ranking - whereas the UCI ranking for women is based on the top 5 riders.

I don't think the Tour of Guangxi will actually count for the Olympic rankings because it isn't due to complete until 17-Oct. According to the UCI Regulations document, the rankings are updated every Tuesday at 2am CET. That would be 9am in China and would suggest that the last stage of the tour would not be complete by the time that the rankings for 17-Oct were due to be published and would not therefore be included until the 24-Oct rankings release. Looking back to previous releases, I don't think that the UCI include the stage results in the ranking until the whole race is completed which leads me to believe that the last stage race to be included in the Olympic ranking will be the Presidential Tour of Turkey.

Santiago del Estero - World Cup Round 7 Men's BMX Racing 1.) Romain Mahieu 2.) Joris Daudet 3.) Nicolas Torres Women's BMX Racing 1.) Bethany Shriever 2.) Saya Sakakibara 3.) Felicia Stancil

Mont-Sainte-Anne World Cup Last World Cup event of the season: Men's Short Course 1.) Victor Koretzky 2.) Jordan Sarrou 3.) Christopher Blevins Women's Short Course 1.) Laura Stigger 2.) Loana Lecomte 3.) Rebecca Henderson

There is one more week of events to go - but there aren't huge amount of races left in the calendar and a lot of the ranking riders wont be taking part.

add 640 pick up 180 pick up 255 So, by my quick calculation, Spain - who had a really good Il Lombardia in 2022 - will drop below both GBR and France in the next release of the UCI rankings. France should have a cushion of around 60-70 points and that margin should increase again tomorrow with the Paris-Tours event tomorrow.

Great result for McClenaghan and it will give him a huge confidence boost ahead of next year's Olympics, but I do think that going into Paris, he will have to up his degree of difficulty towards 6.6-6.7. He has stuck with his 6.4 DD routine through Tokyo, Liverpool WC and Antwerp largely because he knows that he can nail the execution score but in doing so, he is leaving the door open to his competitors.