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Men's Curling Tournament at the Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026


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2 hours ago, Quaker2001 said:

Believe it or not.. they're not done yet.  If Norway and Italy both lose their next match (and they're playing Canada and Switzerland), then it comes down to draw shot challenge and that might favor the US.

where would one find that statistic... Draw Shot Challenge?

Actually I went to wikipedia and it lists the DSC stats as follows.  I don't know if wikipedia is accurate. (EDIT, yes the below stats are found on the official website, and are accurate)

 

USA 17.663. (3rd best after SUI and GBR)

ITA: 18.764

NOR: 24.907

GER:  19.186

 

Since this figure is an average across 9 games for USA, and 8 games for the other three, it might be practically impossible for any of the teams other than USA to win the LSC tie-break.  For example,  ITA is at 18.764*8=150.112.    The USA is 17.663*9=158.967.   So ITA must beat USA's 158.967 cm raw total, which means in ITA's last game the two rocks measurements combined must average 8.854 centimeters or less.   

 

So it seems if ITA and  NOR both lose their 9th game, and neither makes some sort of miraculous DSC result, and even if GER wins its 9th game, USA becomes the 4th semifinalist. 

Edited by DunnInLA
45 minutes ago, DunnInLA said:

where would one find that statistic... Draw Shot Challenge?

https://livescores.worldcurling.org/og/

5 hours ago, Quaker2001 said:

thank you, went to that link, and  I did find DSC under the PDF Reports section.  It agrees with the wikipedia stats I posted above.

 

Now the most crucial open question is exactly what is the procedure for implementing Head to Head tiebreak when 3 teams are tied.  Is this in writing anywhere?   It would seem among USA, NOR and ITA, all three are  at 1-1 vs. each other, so I assume DSC comes into play and USA becomes semifinalist #4.

 

But if GER also finishes 4-5, then both USA and GER would be 2-1 vs. the other three, while ITA and NOR would be 1-2 vs. the other three.   Then again breaking the tie between USA and GER requires going to DSC, where USA again prevails by a quite wide margin and becomes semifinalist #4.

Edited by DunnInLA

By the way, those shot % by position are really interesting.  USA's only standout is their lead, at #1 at the moment, while skip, #2 and vice are 7th, 8th, and 9th respectively among their position peers.   seems USA would hardly have any wins at all without that lead performing so spectacularly.  Maybe that lead should be skip next time.  well, maybe not, I guess it depends on whether his weighted shots are as good as his draw shots.

Edited by DunnInLA
27 minutes ago, DunnInLA said:

thank you, went to that link, and  I did find DSC under the PDF Reports section.  It agrees with the wikipedia stats I posted above.

 

Now the most crucial open question is exactly what is the procedure for implementing Head to Head tiebreak when 3 teams are tied.  Is this in writing anywhere?   It would seem among USA, NOR and ITA, all three are  at 1-1 vs. each other, so I assume DSC comes into play and USA becomes semifinalist #4.

 

But if GER also finishes 4-5, then both USA and GER would be 2-1 vs. the other three, while ITA and NOR would be 1-2 vs. the other three.   Then again breaking the tie between USA and GER requires going to DSC, where USA again prevails by a quite wide margin and becomes semifinalist #4.

https://worldcurling.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/2023-The-Rules-of-Curling.pdf p. 45 I think has what you're looking for.

7 minutes ago, clemsonbeav said:

thanks, that's what I was looking for.

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