Timezone 3 Posted February 28 Author #81 Share Posted February 28 23 minutes ago, Josh said: I’m convinced that half of you don’t understand what a “lock” is A lot of athletes/teams mentioned are favourites, but hardly locks. Gives us an example of what you consider as a lock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 7,769 Posted February 28 #82 Share Posted February 28 (edited) 41 minutes ago, Timezone said: Gives us an example of what you consider as a lock? Like I said, Uta Abe in women’s 52kg judo. I don’t have the time to name all “locks” and provide my reasoning on all events that I disagree with, maybe later I’ll do another reply. Other names I would consider to be “locks” include Mondo Duplantis in men’s pole vault, United States women’s basketball, Katie Ledecky in women’s 1500m freestyle (and 800m freestyle if McIntosh isn’t competing in it) and Summer McIntosh in women’s 400m individual medley* diving team sweeping the Olympic gold medals in diving is certainly possible, but they’ve never done it before. Not to mention that the Budapest 2023 World Champion in men’s 10m was Cassiel Rousseau. Along with that, I’d also give chance to a non-Chinese gold in men’s 10m synchro (been seeing a lot of good things from Tom Daley at Doha 2024) In table tennis, is right up there in men’s/women’s team. At Chengdu 2022, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the men’s team semifinals, while at Busan 2024, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the women’s team final. I also wouldn’t count out in women’s team, they narrowly lost to China in the group stage at Busan 2024 (also a deciding 5th game), although they aren’t very consistent so they might not even make it to a potential encounter against China. Edited February 28 by Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timezone 3 Posted February 28 Author #83 Share Posted February 28 Just now, Josh said: Like I said, Uta Abe in women’s 52kg judo. I don’t have the time to name all “locks” and provide my reasoning on all events that I disagree with, maybe later I’ll do another reply but of course Mondo Duplantis in men’s pole vault, United States women’s basketball, Katie Ledecky in women’s 1500m freestyle (and 800m freestyle if McIntosh isn’t competing in it) and Summer McIntosh in women’s 400m freestyle. diving team sweeping the Olympic gold medals in diving is certainly possible, but they’ve never done it before. Not to mention that the Budapest 2023 World Champion in men’s 10m was Cassiel Rousseau. Along with that, I’d also give chance to a non-Chinese gold in men’s 10m synchro (been seeing a lot of good things from Tom Daley at Doha 2024) In table tennis, is right up there in men’s/women’s team. At Chengdu 2022, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the men’s team semifinals, while at Busan 2024, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the women’s team final. I also wouldn’t count out in women’s team, they narrowly lost to China in the group stage at Busan 2024 (also a deciding 5th game), although they aren’t very consistent so they might not even make it to a potential encounter against China. Are you kidding Summer Mcintosh in 400m freestyle? Ariarne Titmus just broke World record last year, Summer finished 4th and you calling her a lock. 4x100m freestyle women's relay for Australians is a lock. dullard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dkats 48 Posted February 28 #84 Share Posted February 28 honestly realistically there is heaps of favourites, but only a handful of locks. Upsets happen so often at the Olympics so I’d be more interested in a page predicting upsets. Biathlonfan and OlympicIRL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 7,769 Posted February 28 #85 Share Posted February 28 14 minutes ago, Timezone said: Are you kidding Summer Mcintosh in 400m freestyle? Ariarne Titmus just broke World record last year, Summer finished 4th and you calling her a lock. 4x100m freestyle women's relay for Australians is a lock. Sorry I meant women’s 400m individual medley dullard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biathlonfan 490 Posted February 28 #86 Share Posted February 28 16 minutes ago, Dkats said: honestly realistically there is heaps of favourites, but only a handful of locks. Upsets happen so often at the Olympics so I’d be more interested in a page predicting upsets. I agree with this,someone make an upsets page,it would be way more interesting than this. Dkats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,809 Posted February 28 #87 Share Posted February 28 2 hours ago, Josh said: In table tennis, is right up there in men’s/women’s team. At Chengdu 2022, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the men’s team semifinals, while at Busan 2024, Japan took China to a deciding 5th game in the women’s team final. I also wouldn’t count out in women’s team, they narrowly lost to China in the group stage at Busan 2024 (also a deciding 5th game), although they aren’t very consistent so they might not even make it to a potential encounter against China. The moment you're even mentioning someone as 'wouldnt count them out', the first one is already not a 'lock' anymore NearPup, Biathlonfan and Josh 3 If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,809 Posted February 28 #88 Share Posted February 28 1 hour ago, Dkats said: honestly realistically there is heaps of favourites, but only a handful of locks. Upsets happen so often at the Olympics so I’d be more interested in a page predicting upsets. But predicting upsets is also....on the edge. Once people mention someone as a possible surprise, that person is barely still a possible surprise The real surprises and upsets are those winners who nobody mentioned as possible winners, outsiders or anything. nenad and CCB 1 1 If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biathlonfan 490 Posted February 28 #89 Share Posted February 28 6 minutes ago, heywoodu said: But predicting upsets is also....on the edge. Once people mention someone as a possible surprise, that person is barely still a possible surprise The real surprises and upsets are those winners who nobody mentioned as possible winners, outsiders or anything. It still would be more fun to me to see you guys just trying to randomly select some darkhorse for whatever reason.This ''lock,not lock,what's a lock'' i don't know,who's having fun ?,everyone just seems upset cause no one agrees what a lock is,because very rarely is it so obvious,no one's really gonna have grounds to argue,if your just pulling an athlete out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,809 Posted February 28 #90 Share Posted February 28 17 minutes ago, Biathlonfan said: It still would be more fun to me to see you guys just trying to randomly select some darkhorse for whatever reason.This ''lock,not lock,what's a lock'' i don't know,who's having fun ?,everyone just seems upset cause no one agrees what a lock is,because very rarely is it so obvious,no one's really gonna have grounds to argue,if your just pulling an athlete out of nowhere. I think the main point of the discussion here could be interesting, as long as it's more a matter of 'Who are the biggest gold medal favourites?' instead of the whole thing about calling it a lock or not If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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