vinipereira

Updated with the results, got 20/24 correct in a very predictable year. Overall happy with 'One Battle After Another' taking some awards, sad for 'The Secret Agent'.

Btw I highly recommend the short film 'Butterfly' which has a story related to the Olympics.

Once again here I am with my annual Oscar predictions post. Last year I predicted 13/23 winners which was my worst results ever by far. For the second consecutive year Brazil is nominated so I'm hoping that 'The Secret Agent' wins something, especially because it's a film from my home state. I watched 34 out of the 35 feature films (only 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' missing) and all 15 short films nominated, so I leave a personal ranking of all the categories. ["will win" is my prediction / "could win", my alternate prediction / "should win", my personal ranking / "shoud have been nominated", a way to remember other notable work]. Spoiler Best Picture WILL WIN: One Battle After Another COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. The Secret Agent; 2. One Battle After Another; 3. Hamnet; 4. Sentimental Value; 5. Frankenstein; 6. Marty Supreme; 7. Sinners; 8. Bugonia; 9. Train Dreams; 10. F1. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Sorry, Baby Directing WILL WIN: One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson COULD WIN: Sinners, Ryan Coogler SHOULD WIN: 1. One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson; 2. Hamnet, Chloé Zhao; 3. Sentimental Value, Joachim Trier; 4. Sinners, Ryan Coogler; 5. Marty Supreme, Josh Safdie. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: The Secret Agent, Kleber Mendonça Filho Actor in a Leading Role WILL WIN: Michael B. Jordan, Sinners COULD WIN: Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme SHOULD WIN: 1. Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent; 2. Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon; 3. Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme; 4. Michael B. Jordan, Sinners; 5. Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Lee Byung-Hun, No Other Choice Actress in a Leading Role WILL WIN: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet COULD WIN: Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You SHOULD WIN: 1. Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You; 2. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet; 3. Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value; 4. Emma Stone, Bugonia; 5. Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Eva Victor, Sorry, Baby Actor in a Supporting Role WILL WIN: Sean Penn, One Battle After Another COULD WIN: Delroy Lindo, Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value; 2. Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another; 3. Delroy Lindo, Sinners; 4. Sean Penn, One Battle After Another; 5. Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Tim Key, The Ballad of Wallis Island Actress in a Supporting Role WILL WIN: Amy Madigan, Weapons COULD WIN: Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another; 2. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value; 3. Amy Madigan, Weapons; 4. Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners; 5. Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Tânia Maria, The Secret Agent Writing (Adapted Screenplay) WILL WIN: One Battle After Another COULD WIN: Hamnet SHOULD WIN: 1. One Battle After Another; 2. Hamnet; 3. Bugonia; 4. Train Dreams; 5. Frankenstein. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Pillion Writing (Original Screenplay) WILL WIN: Sinners COULD WIN: Marty Supreme SHOULD WIN: 1. Sentimental Value; 2. It Was Just an Accident; 3. Marty Supreme; 4. Sinners; 5. Blue Moon. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: If I Had Legs I'd Kick You Animated Feature Film WILL WIN: KPop Demon Hunters COULD WIN: Zootopia 2 SHOULD WIN: 1. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain; 2. Arco; 3. Zootopia 2; 4. KPop Demon Hunters; 5. Elio. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: abstain (very weak year for animation) Documentary Feature WILL WIN: The Perfect Neighbor COULD WIN: Mr. Nobody Against Putin SHOULD WIN: 1. The Perfect Neighbor; 2. The Alabama Solution; 3. Cutting Through Rocks; 4. Mr. Nobody Against Putin; 5. Come See Me in the Good Light. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: It's Never Over, Jeff Buckley International Feature Film WILL WIN: Sentimental Value (Norway) COULD WIN: The Secret Agent (Brazil) SHOULD WIN: 1. The Secret Agent (Brazil); 2. Sentimental Value (Norway); 3. It Was Just an Accident (France); 4. The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia); 5. Sirāt (Spain). SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Late Shift (Switzerland) Casting WILL WIN: Sinners COULD WIN: One Battle After Another SHOULD WIN: 1. The Secret Agent; 2. Marty Supreme; 3. One Battle After Another; 4. Sinners; 5. Hamnet. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Weapons Cinematography WILL WIN: Sinners COULD WIN: One Battle After Another SHOULD WIN: 1. Train Dreams; 2. One Battle After Another; 3. Sinners; 4. Marty Supreme; 5. Frankenstein. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Hamnet Film Editing WILL WIN: One Battle After Another COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. One Battle After Another; 2. Sentimental Value; 3. Sinners; 4. Marty Supreme; 5. F1. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Black Bag Costume Design WILL WIN: Frankenstein COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Frankenstein; 2. Sinners; 3. Hamnet; 4. Marty Supreme. Not watched: Avatar: Fire and Ash. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Hedda Production Design WILL WIN: Frankenstein COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Frankenstein; 2. Hamnet; 3. Marty Supreme; 4. Sinners; 5. One Battle After Another. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Kiss of the Spider Woman Makeup and Hairstyling WILL WIN: Frankenstein COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. The Ugly Stepsister; 2. Sinners; 3. Frankenstein; 4. Kokuho; 5. The Smashing Machine. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: 28 Years Later Music (Original Score) WILL WIN: Sinners COULD WIN: One Battle After Another SHOULD WIN: 1. One Battle After Another; 2. Hamnet; 3. Frankenstein; 4. Bugonia; 5. Sinners. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Sirāt Music (Original Song) WILL WIN: "Golden", KPop Demon Hunters COULD WIN: "I Lied to You", Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. "I Lied to You", Sinners; 2. "Golden", KPop Demon Hunters; 3. "Train Dreams", Train Dreams; 4. "Sweet Dreams of Joy", Viva Verdi!; 5. "Dear Me", Diane Warren: Relentless. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: "Give Your Love" or "Our Love", The Ballad of Wallis Island Sound WILL WIN: F1 COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Sirāt; 2. Sinners; 3. Frankenstein; 4. One Battle After Another; 5. F1. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: The Voice of Hind Rajab Visual Effects WILL WIN: Avatar: Fire and Ash COULD WIN: Sinners SHOULD WIN: 1. Sinners; 2. The Lost Bus; 3. F1; 4. Jurassic World Rebirth. Not watched: Avatar: Fire and Ash. SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Mickey 17 Short Film (Animated) WILL WIN: Butterfly COULD WIN: Retirement Plan SHOULD WIN: 1. Butterfly; 2. Retirement Plan; 3. The Girl Who Cried Pearls; 4. Forevergreen; 5. The Three Sisters. Short Film (Documentary) WILL WIN: All the Empty Rooms COULD WIN: The Devil is Busy SHOULD WIN: 1. The Devil is Busy; 2. All the Empty Rooms; 3. Perfectly a Strangeness; 4. Armed Only with a Camera; 5. Children No More: Were and Are Gone. Short Film (Live Action) WILL WIN: A Friend of Dorothy COULD WIN: Two People Exchanging Saliva SHOULD WIN: 1. Two People Exchanging Saliva; 2. A Friend of Dorothy; 3. The Singers; 4. Jane Austen's Period Drama; 5. Butcher's Stain.

Cristian Ribera

With a single medal, better ranking for compared to 2024 Summer Olympics (19 vs. 20)

Crushing result for Sakamoto

Alysa Liu

Miura/Kihara

I almost died.

NOCs that won at least one medal in 2022, but still have to win a medal this time: (+ / ) NOCs that didn't win a medal in 2022, but are in the medal table this time:

Now remembering the great Denis Ten, his legacy lives on.

Kinda ironic that Simone Biles is in the arena...

Ooops...

So an easy gold for Malinin...

What a terrible skating for Siao Him Fa

The artistry in Aymoz skating (that ending!). Unfortunately, mistakes prevent him from achieving a better placement.

Without technical knowledge of the sport, I thought Gilles/Poirier were the best tonight...

Aymoz

in the medal table

Who would have thought that competing with a serious injury would result in something good...

His execution was quite bad today, maybe he was nervous?

Kimura

First gold for

Not the AI generated sequence

I didn't remember the parade of nations at the Winter Olympics being this long