thiago_simoes

This is the condition. If a gymnast doesn't make the final, no chance to qualify in this apparatus. If gymnasts from more than 3 nations that did not qualify a team manage to reach the final in a single apparatus, we will have to wait until event finals to see who will finish in the top 3 (among nations without a qualified team). This is very unlikely to happen, but there's a slight possibility in men's vault. If a nation fails to qualify a team, but is able to qualify one gymnast for the Olympics through the all-around ranking and more than 2 other gymnasts for the event finals, there is a specific rule stating that only three will be able to qualify. Once again, extremely unlikely to happen, and I only see a very small possibility of this happening with Turkey.

Spain, Turkey and Belarus are up in the air. They have potential. I don't know much about these teams.

I will play safe and only consider specific conditions for hopes of Olympic qualification so far: a team score over 248 points, an individual score of over 15 in any apparatus and a total all-around score of over 78. So, let's check who are the Olympic hopefuls so far Team: Apparatus: Artem Dolgopyat (Floor) Rhys McClenaghan (Pommel horse) All-around:

For sure! Congratulations!

Wow. I would never expect that! France scored quite decently. We have a lot of strong teams still to come: and can score more than 246 points. scored 250. and could potentially kick and out of the Olympics. Not so confident about Netherlands, but South Korea and Germany have a real chance of scoring over 246, and this could mean France might be out as a team.

Well, France is not doing well, and if they keep this level of performance, Italy might have a chance of qualifying a full team. And the best Polish gymnast scored over 75, what could be enough for one of the last spots if he's extremely lucky. Poland could qualify, after all. Let's see.

https://live.gymnastics.sport/schedule.php?idevent=14274

I thought the excellent results Chinese Taipei had achieved in past competitions this year were terrible overscores and totally exaggerated, but I was completely wrong. Look at what they did here! Not only they will qualify a full team for the Olympics, but they will also probably reach team final! Italy will probably not qualify a full team. I had high hopes for them, but it will be hard. Lodadio will also have a hard time reaching the rings final, so probably only one Italian will qualify for 2020. Bummer. Rhys McClenagham hit his routine! Ahaaa! This is surely enough for a medal, and Adam Steele also scored very decently and has a huge chance of qualifying through the all-around. After a major disappointment yesterday, two Irish gymnasts qualifying today is not bad at all! Anyone who scores over 78 points should qualify.

Lukasz Borkowski is the only one with a chance of qualifying. At the Polish Championships he scored 81.034, which would easily qualify him for Tokyo. But National Championships usually hand out unrealistic scores, so I searched for his score in an international competition. Bad news: at the European Games he scored 71.297. Anything under 78 means no chance of qualifying, in my opinion, especially because we probably will have 6-12 athletes who will qualify through the event finals (while in the women's competition only 1 qualified through the event finals). At the very worst, 75-76 should be the threshold for Olympic qualification, unless the judges are very strict.

Sorry, I counted 32 gymnasts. For a moment I thought there was a mistake, but it seems like it was right. i apologize for the confusion.

I counted the girls again and for a moment I thought Ireland had qualified, but I really counted 32 gymnasts. Bummer. There's still a huge chance someone will qualify through other means (world cup series, continental championships), so I believe there's hope for Ireland.

Olympic qualifiers: Team (4 quotas): Individual qualifiers through the event finals: Yeo Seo-jeong Individual qualifiers through the all-around: Flávia Saraiva Giulia Steingruber Georgia Godwin Diana Varinska Lee Yun-seo Zsofia Kovacs Martina Dominici Alexa Moreno Danusia Francis Kim Su Jong Aneta Holasova Marcia Vidiaux Maria Holbura Elisa Haemmerle Anastasiya Alistratava Farah Abdul Nancy Mohamed Nazli Savranbasi Barbora Mokosova Filipa Martins Ana Derek Caitlin Rooskrantz Jonna Adlerteg Gabriela Janik Simona Castro Lihie Raz Julie Erichsen Ariana Orrego Oksana Chusovitina Ting Hua-Tien Marina Nekrasova Qualified through host nation quota reallocation: Tan Sze En Gymnasts not qualified, but who would be next in line if other gymnasts qualify through continental championships or miss out due to injury: Megan Ryan Maria Kharenkova Argyro Afrati Maia Fishwick Adela Sajn

I will try to list the Olympic qualifiers, but of course I am extremely sad and I apologize in advance if I commit any mistakes.

At least we got Flávia in the beam final. Now I would not risk Flavia on floor so Fidelis can qualify through the all-around.

Absolutely no chance for Brazil. I'm happy to see Spain with a team at the Olympics again, though. And there's one extra quota for individual gymnasts, which is also nice.

Jade Barbosa is injured. We'll not qualify a team now. Oh, well... I kind of expected this to happen, but it's still painful to watch.

Olympic qualification until now:Event finals: Yeo Seo-jeong Roxana Popa All-around: Host quota reallocation: Only Finland, New Zealand and Singapore can still qualify individual gymnasts (or Brazil, if they fail to qualify a team, but in this case Spain would qualify a full team and one extra individual quota would be available). This means that from Switzerland until Peru everybody is assured an Olympic quota. Singapore is very unlikely to qualify, what means that Chusovitina will almost certainly qualify through host quota reallocation (and if Brazil fails to qualify a team, Chinese Taipei will be given host quota reallocation while Uzbekistan will qualify directly).

Romani! Finally a real chance of a medal!

Savranbasi needs only 11 points on floor to virtually secure an Olympic quota.

Hungary blew their chances on beam. Unbelievable. Switzerland is also not doing so well. Now only Brazil can qualify a full team.

Hungary with huge scores. Well deserved. They can realistically upset Japan along with Brazil.

I believe event finalists can only qualify if not previously qualified through the all-around. Since she is the best Mexican gymnast in the all-around competition, she has secured one quota either way. It would have been better for Mexico if they had just dropped Moreno out of the competition after her vault, so they would have secured a second quota.

Olympic qualification hopefuls until now:Event finals: Yeo Seo-jeong Roxana Popa All-around: Host quota reallocation: Probable individual qualifiers in upcoming subdivisions are from Turkey, Hungary, Switzerland, New Zealand and Finland. Singapore, Cyprus and Denmark will have a hard time qualifying. Unless major surprises occur, nations listed from Australia to Chile have secured one quota. Israel, Norway, Peru and Uzbekistan will probably be the last qualifiers, considering the host quota reallocation.

So, I believe Chusovitina will qualify now. I can see only seven gymnasts ahead of her, and this would be enough for her to secure at least the position for reallocation of the host nation quota.

Hungary, in theory. Brazil for sure (if they hit). Switzerland, no way.