thiago_simoes

Any nation can qualify through the Asian Championships (I think... This qualification system got me really confused). China and Japan are the favorites for the quotas.

Gymnasts who should be a safe bet to qualify based on the all-around rankings: Georgia Godwin (if Australia fails to qualify as a team) Diana Varinska Lee Yun-seo Danusia Francis Kim Su Jong Aneta Holasova Marcia Vidiaux Maria Holbura Close, but still at risk of not qualifying: Elisa Haemmerle Anastasiya Alistratava Mandy Mohamed Barbora Mokosova Long shots: Filipa Martins Caitlin Rooskrantz Jonna Adlerteg Gabriela Janik Simona Castro Oksana Chusovitina EDIT: I originally counted Austria twice instead of Portugal.

I didn't watch her routine, but at least Germany finished ahead of Belgium. Germany is a program with a much more mature development, and they risk a lot more than Belgium does. Belgium plays safe with all of their gymnasts, except for Derwael. In my opinion, gymnastics should not be about playing safe. It's great to have attention to detail and clean form, but they should also focus on difficulty, or else we will see boring routines over and over again. I feel bad for Australia, a program that risks a lot more, but is seldomly rewarded.

14.266 for Ellie Black on bars. These judges are completely out of their minds. Two things are common here: routines with terrible execution earning big scores (Black's uneven bars routine) and easy routines, severely lacking in difficulty, earning big execution scores (almost every Belgian gymnast). Ugh.

Their junior girls are fantastic. They can, in theory, rebuild their program for the 2024 Olympics, but Golgota has to stick around. She had a terrible day today. I still can't believe it was Holbura who scored over 50 points and was the first from her nation in the all-around ranking.

And France is on fire. If they repeat this performance in the team final, I believe then can get a medal. Amazing result for them!

Not only did Romania not qualify a team, but Golgota, their best gymnast (in theory), also did not qualify. Holbura is the one who qualified through the all-around.

This qualification system is so confusing that I am completely lost. Can a country qualify two gymnasts, one through the all-around competition and one through the event finals? I thought that each nation could either have a full team, or one gymnast.

13.966 for Melanie de Jesus dos Santos on floor, even though she had a visible fall on her double turn. Unbelievable. This competition cannot be taken seriously.

South Korea's best all-arounder is Lee Yun-seo. Shocking result. This means that Yeo Seo-jeong absolutely has to win a medal on vault, or else she will not qualify.

Chusovitina apparently fell on her second vault. Bummer. Not a problem for her Olympic qualification, but a vault final will be next to impossible now.

She only competed two events at the African Games and scores 23.450 in total. Algeria's best score at the event came from Lahna Salem (43.900) which would be near the last places until now. I don't think she has a chance to qualify. Maybe one of the men will be able to qualify, especially Metedji or Bourguieg.

So, despite some small problems on beam, Belgium is for sure the first team to qualify for Tokyo. I don't quite agree with it because most of their gymnasts are average at best (except for Derwael), but it is what it is. Poor Australia. As for individual gymnasts, a score of 50+ in the all-around should be more than enough to qualify, so I'd say and have secured individual Olympic quotas.

I doubt it. Belgium is being so ridiculously overscored it hurts. Such mediocre gymnasts receiving impossibly high scores for their level. Ugh. EDIT: Teams still to go that will probably score higher than are: . will secure one team spot provided they don't have a meltdown on beam. Brazil is the team on the line now.

Not a chance, unfortunately. At all. It's nice to see improvement, though. I am confident one of the girls will easily qualify through the all-around competition.

FIG did the right thing. It's good that Biles is trying something new, but even a tsukahara is extremely rare, what means that most girls did not master this. It would be terrible if more girls felt compelled to throw a double double like Biles because it's worth a lot, and injury themselves in this process. Biles is acting like a spoiled child about this, and she's not making new fans, I can tell.

Surprising choices for the alternate gymnasts for big teams: Paseka is the alternate in Russia, and Skinner in the US team.

Thank you. This is what I was looking for. I looked up some sources and created an all-time list of big and small medals at the World Championships (here on Wikipedia) but I was looking for something closer to an official source because I'm not sure the list is perfect as it is. It's interesting because IWF lists separate medals for the Soviet Union and CIS, but not for West Germany and Germany, or for Egypt and the United Arab Republic. Nevertheless, I listed them separately on Wikipedia. Thanks once again.

@MHSN, can please share again the link to the PDF file containing an all-time table with big and small medals earned at the World Championships?

According to the final nominative entries, Aprizal will not compete. No chance for Indonesia, then. I didn't make myself clear, I'm sorry. It doesn't make a difference if he falls on the pommel horse if he's trying to qualify through the all-around competition. Of course his final score would be lower, but at least he can make up for it on the other events. However, if he doesn't throw full difficulty on pommel horse, he will not qualify to the final. It's the World Championships. Not a moment to play safe or water down routines. It's all or nothing.

I am so surprised to see an athlete from The Gambia measly 0.20 of a second from a medal!

It doesn't make a difference if he falls. His best chance of qualifying is earning a medal on the pommel horse. I don't think he could qualify through the all-around, at least not now.

I realized that there is a big number of nations that could achieve a medal result for the first time at these Championships, so now I'm excited for the competition. has the biggest chance on pommel horse. I'd say that if McClenagham hits his routines twice in a row (qualifications and event final) he has a big chance (more than 80%) to win a medal. has a moderate chance on rings. Zahran depends on mistakes from major contenders and a perfect routine in the final, but he definitely has a chance. has a 50/50 chance of a medal in a number of events (rings, all-around, parallel bars, horizontal bar) but I'm not very confident that their time has come. I would love to be proven wrong. has an outside chance on men's vault. Pretty much like Egypt, they depend on other gymnasts faltering, but a medal is still within reach if everything goes right. has an outside chance on men's floor. This is one of the most unpredictable apparatus, so anything is possible. has low chances on men's vault. has very low chances in a number of events. But Georgiou won a medal at the European Championships and the European Games, so he's lucky this year. won a surprising gold medal at the Asian Championships on pommel horse, so it would be nice to keep an eye on this apparatus. also has a contender on the pommel horse. Keikha has the seventh best score this year among the competitors, and if he makes it to the final let's see what could happen. has low chances with Dominici and Molinari. is the most surprising nation here. Matvei Petrov (born in Russia) has this year's second-best score on the pommel horse (tied with McClenaghan), but he achieved this score in a very small competition and was never able to even come close to a big score again. Still, a distant possibility for a medal. is a long shot for a medal on the high bar. is an even longer shot for a medal on men's vault, but I'm not ruling them out as of yet. I would say Ireland has the biggest chance of a medal. Egypt and Dominican Republic winning medals is perfectly possible too, but it would depend on how other gymnasts perform. Iran, Chile and Turkey are long shots, but nothing impossible. Jordan, Cyprus and Guatemala are not really close, but on a perfect day they could come close to a medal or even get a bronze medal. Argentina and Lithuania would need major mistakes from a big number of contenders. Albania and Indonesia are hoping for a miracle, but we have seen miracles happen before (Vietnam, Puerto Rico, Armenia).

I don't know what is the deal with Paraguay. They seem to never invest in sports, and they haven't performed well even in football. Bolivia, on the other hand, apparently invests big money (well, as much as they can, at least) in a number of sports. Still, I see no chance for an Olympic medal for Bolivia anytime soon, unfortunately, but they are on the right track. Paraguay is not even close.

No gymnastics events, but of course this is to be expected. Only India and Sri Lanka have sent gymnasts to the current World Championships, and Bangladesh seems not to have any active gymnast representing the nation in quite some time. I think I've never seen gymnasts from any of the other nations that compete at these Games.