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Makedonas

Totallympics Medallist
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Everything posted by Makedonas

  1. Extremely unlikely. There would have to be many, many withdrawals.
  2. And for mixed doubles, I'm not sure how it works because I think they sign up at the Olympics and use the rankings for that week if I remember correctly, but using this week's live rankings and the protected rankings for some players, I believe we would have this if everyone plays (which we know won't happen because some might skip mixed doubles) : 1. Gauff/Ram (8) 2. Swiatek/Hurkacz (9) T3. Siegemund/Zverev (10) T3. Perez/Ebden(10) 5. Paolini/Sinner (11) 6. Zvonareva/Medvedev (12) 7. Pegula/Fritz (18) 8. Sakkari/Tsitsipas (19) T9. Schuurs/Koolhof (20) T9. Bucsa/Granollers (20) T9. Kasatkina/Rublev (20) 12. Rybakina/Bublik (21) 13. Sorribes Tormo/Nadal (23) 14. Dabrowski/Auger-Aliassime (24) 15. Errani/Vavassori (25) 16-Host. Garcia/Roger-Vasselin (38*) ---------------------------------------------------- ALT 1. Routliffe/Venus (29) ALT T2. Mertens/Gille or Vliegen - they have the same ranking (30) ALT T2. Vondrousova/Lehecka (30) ALT 4. Boulter/Salisbury (35) ALT 5. Siniakova/Machac (40) ALT 6. Stefani/Melo (49) ALT 7. Vekic/Dodig (50) ALT8. Zheng/Zhang (51)
  3. If Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas win their quarterfinal, their combined ranking will increase to 68 and they will definitely qualify. Then Draper/Norrie will still have 79 because they are qualifying based on their singles rankings, and they can't drop any more than that and would theoretically be the first alternates. Haase, Erler, and Miedler can drop in the rankings if the Greeks make the final in Paris, and the Austrians also if Galloway wins the doubles title at the Surbiton Challenger this week (he is currently in the quarterfinals). If either of those happen following a GRE win tomorrow, then GBR 2 will be safe and the last spot will be between AUT and NED 2. Of course, probably there will be some withdrawals, especially considering the status of Cilic, Shapovalov (does he even want to play the Olympics on clay?), Daniell, and even Djokovic now which would remove Serbia. So probably in the end all of GRE, GBR 2, NED 2, and AUT will get in, and we will see about BRA, MEX, HUN, and possibly SRB (if no Djokovic) and CRO 2 (if no Cilic).
  4. Some updates: Griekspoor/Haase (78) Erler/Miedler (78 - I'm not sure if singles or doubles rankings have priority so they might be above the Dutch?) Draper/Norrie (79) ------------------------------------------------- Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas (82) Matos/Melo (83) Gonzalez/Reyes Varela (93) Fucsovics/Marozsan (97) Meanwhile now in danger of not having two teams, as Dodig fell out of the top 10 (ironically due to losing to the Tsitsipas brothers but it became official today now that Vavassori made SF and passed him). Cilic hasn't played since February so if he isn't back by then, the best second CRO team would be Coric/Dodig with a combined live ranking of 98...
  5. As I said before, I'll believe it when I see it...
  6. You are not bothering me. I don't know what the combinations would be but France has many options for the men which would all qualify, so they will surely have two teams. For the women, Garcia/Mladenovic should be one and the other will be Burel with either Gracheva or Parry, and probably Burel/Parry as Parry is ranked higher and they would be one of the last teams to make the cut, with Gracheva there's more of a risk they won't make it.
  7. Mladenovic is ranked 55 in doubles, Garcia is 22 in singles, so their combined ranking is 77 and definitely enough to make it in women's doubles assuming they team up together (which is very likely, and they would be one of France's best chances for a medal in tennis).
  8. Men's doubles: 29 teams are certain if they enter. 2 for: (18 total) 1 for: (25 total) 1 for only if Djokovic plays (with one of Djere, Kecmanovic, Lajovic only). Without Djokovic, Djere/Kecmanovic can be one of the first alternates with a combined live ranking of 102. 1 for assuming Daniell uses his protected ranking 1 for only if the team is Auger-Aliassime/Shapovalov, with Shapovalov using protected ranking 1 for sure for assuming it is Koolhof/Rojer, probably a second team too (see below) So that's 29 teams, which means the last 3 and first alternates are below: Griekspoor/Haase (78) Erler/Miedler (78 - I'm not sure if singles or doubles rankings have priority so they might be above the Dutch?) Draper/Norrie (79) ------------------------------------------------- Matos/Melo (83) Gonzalez/Reyes Varela (91) Fucsovics/Marozsan (97) Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas (102) Of course these are subject to change based on results from Roland Garros and challenger tournaments this week. For example, the Tsitsipas brothers would move up to 82 with a win tomorrow.
  9. Dodin probably wouldn't have qualified anyways unless there were a lot of withdrawals.
  10. 2024 European Rowing U19 Championships Gold: Nikolaos Cholopoulos and Konstantinos Giannoulis (men's double sculls) Gavriela Lioliou and Varvara Lykomitrou (women's double sculls) Panagiotis Makrygiannis (men's single sculls) Silver: Konstantinos Karagiannis and Dimitrios Koutras (men's pair)
  11. Spanoulis says Giannis Antetokounmpo will play for Greece in the qualifying tournament. I'll believe it when I see it...
  12. I understand for Alcaraz but why not Sorribes playing three events? It's not like she is a top player and expected to go deep the way Alcaraz is.
  13. Well we won gold in all three of those, so I guess I can't be surprised Also a silver in JM2- Disappointing 4th in JW2- especially since both girls had experience and won medals before... I am glad to see that a lot of our athletes who won medals here are tall also, especially as the lightweight category (which we usually do well in) is being removed from the Olympic programme, it's good to see that we still have some future hopes that can compete in the open weights in the future. Also I think only 3 countries won gold medals here: , and honestly the Romanian national anthem will probably be stuck in my head for the next few days because we heard it so much today @zob79
  14. Yes I think (Swiatek/Hurkacz), (Siegemund/Zverev) will be the main favourites for the medals but also (Sakkari/Tsitsipas) as well. We do not know about other teams, for example (Paolini/Sinner), or (Sorribes Tormo/Alcaraz), but I don't think these teams have ever played together and probably the men might not want to play mixed in addition to singles and men's doubles? Both of them are already injury prone as it is. As you said though, really anyone in the mixed draw can win a medal as it is only 16 teams so all of them will be good teams.
  15. I can do for other events later, sorry I have been kind of keeping these lists to myself the last few months. Obviously as a Greek women's doubles has been my main focus as I already know what our qualification status is for men's singles and women's singles, and men's doubles I think we are far out but if the Tsitsipas brothers win their first round at Roland Garros, which they got a good draw for, then it will get interesting so I'll start to look more.
  16. Yes, Rus is her only chance to go to the Olympics, as she can't compete in mixed doubles without competing in women's doubles, and mixed doubles is really where she has a chance to win a medal.
  17. Based on my calculations she is last in currently, but I'm sure there will be a few withdrawals. She could still miss out though especially if those around her do well in ITFs/125Ks next week (Cristian, Sherif, Golubic, Osorio, Schmiedlova, Uchijima), or if Gracheva makes QF, Danilovic makes SF in Roland Garros.
  18. Here are the possibilities for some second teams: Gadecki/Tomljanovic (106) - with Perez/Saville as the first team Saville/Tomljanovic (117) - might be too low, with Gadecki/Perez as the first team I think AUS will go with Perez/Saville and Gadecki/Tomljanovic which would give them more quotas and also Perez/Saville probably has a better chance than Perez/Tomljanovic which would mean Gadecki/Saville (157) would have no chance to qualify. Kerber/Maria (92) - I can't see Korpatsch/Siegemund as the main team but maybe Siegemund would play with someone like Friedsam or NIemeier, she is top 10 anyways so she can choose anyone she wants Kerber/Korpatsch (105) - With Siegemund playing with Maria or Friedsam, Niemeier, etc. Korpatsch/Maria (135) - Too low to qualify, so if Germany goes with Kerber/Siegemund, which I think is more likely than Australia going with Perez/Tomljanovic, then Germany has no chance for a second team So I think will have two teams, maybe 50/50, only 1 team, and it really depends on if L.Chan will play, or if Hsieh will choose someone other than Wu (and obviously she won't choose H.Chan as they hate each other)
  19. I will try right now to paint the picture (using current live rankings which may change) for women's doubles: Automatically qualified, based on top 10: (Mertens with whoever she chooses in top 300, it is impossible for Belgium to qualify another team otherwise) (This one is complicated because Hsieh doesn't get along with the Chan sisters, so she will probably play with Wu, but L.Chan hasn't played since last year so if she has a protected ranking she can use it to enter with her sister, otherwise Hsieh can play with someone else and H.Chan will qualify by ranking with Wu so they have two teams but I think it is more likely to see Hsieh/Wu and then if L.Chan is retired or injured then they will only have one team in Paris) (Routliffe can choose to play with Sun or Hourigan only, as they have no one else in top 300 and no chance to qualify a second team) (Dabrowski with whoever she chooses, probably Fernandez. If she chooses someone like Marino then Andreescu/Fernandez can also qualify via ranking, but I think she will pick Fernandez so Canada will only have one team) (This is another tricky situation because they can possibly get two teams depending on which combination they go with, but I think the likely one is Kerber/Siegemund which means the next highest ranked pair is Korpatsch/Maria and they would need a bunch of withdrawals to get in, now if Siegemund plays with Maria for example Kerber/Korpatsch will probably qualify) (Zvonareva is top 10 and I don't know what pairings they will use but Russia will definitely qualify 2 teams) (Hunter and Perez are top 10 but Hunter is injured-long term and will miss Paris, so the other AUS spot gets reallocated to the combined ranking route. Gadecki/Tomljanovic would probably qualify by ranking so if Hunter chooses someone else like Saville or Sharma, then AUS can have two teams. If she plays with Gadecki or Tomljanovic then chances are low for AUS to have a second team) (Melichar is top 10 but like Russia they will have two teams regardless) (Siniakova is top 10 but they will have two teams regardless) So based on the above, we will definitely have these 12 teams: With each potentially adding another team, so we'll say yes for now and that makes 15 teams will all also have 2 teams by ranking, so now we're up to 21 and this is where things get complicated. can all only have 1 team by ranking, probably Bucsa/Sorribes Tormo, Rus/Schuurs, Danilina/Rybakina, Azarenka/Sabalenka. can have 2 teams by ranking, but only if Swiatek plays with Kawa or Piter, which I'm sure won't happen, so they will also probably have just 1 team which would be Swiatek with Frech or Linette. So that's 26 teams. I think were aiming for 2 teams, with Stefani getting a top 10 spot to play with Pigossi who is outside the top 100 but they won bronze together in Tokyo, and Haddad Maia with Gamarra Martins who would also qualify by ranking. Now Stefani is 11 and withdrew from Roland Garros so can only have 1 team in Paris probably and probably Pigossi won't play, it'll be 2 of the other 3 girls. Only chance for Pigossi/Stefani is if there are a ton of withdrawals or if Pigossi wins a big 125k or something in singles next week and rises into the top 100, but as of now only 1 team for Brazil, so that's 27. played with Boulter/Watson at Roland Garros so probably that will be their team for Paris. With other combinations they could possibly qualify a second team if they do Boulter/Nicholls and Lumsden/Watson but that still wouldn't be 100% certain so they'll likely stick with the 1 team, becoming the 28th team. won't need to use their host spot as Garcia/Mladenovic will qualify anyways, and then Burel/Parry would be borderline, but if Gracheva wins her next match at Roland Garros then she would move up a lot in the rankings and Burel/Gracheva would definitely make the cut, but let's say for now France only has 1 team, so that's 29. Based on their historical partnerships, I think we see Begu/Niculescu qualify and then Bogdan/Cristian are borderline. Cirstea hasn't played for the national team since 2018 so I don't think they could even make an exemption for her, and she didn't seem to care about missing Tokyo so I don't expect her to be in Paris either. Errani/Paolini will qualify and Bronzetti/Cocciaretto are borderline. That is 31 teams. Now for the last spot, based on the current live rankings: Burel/Parry (106) ------------------------------------------------ Grammatikopoulou/Sakkari (108) - But Sakkari said she wants to play with Papamichail, but Papamichail/Sakkari would be 118 right now, so if they don't make it then I guess she will still try with Grammatikopoulou? I'm not sure. Bronzetti/Cocciaretto (110) Bogdan/Cristian (118) Martic/Vekic (119) Babos/Bondar (119) Badosa/Bouzas Maneiro (120) Ostapenko/Semenistaja (126) - I think Sevastova has a higher protected ranking that would get her in with Ostapenko but I think she has a bad injury and won't be able to make Paris. Not 100% sure though. Frech/Kawa (128) - If the first team is Linette/Swiatek. Olmos/Zarazua (129) Pigossi/Stefani (130) - If Brazil chooses Gamarra Martins/Haddad Maia, otherwise Pigossi with one of the others would be even lower than 130. Lumsden/Nicholls (131) Mihalikova/Schmiedlova (134) Of course also we don't know what will decide, but if they only have 1 team each then it's possible for more teams after Burel/Parry to get in.
  20. Yes, Rus/Schuurs will easily qualify, the cutoff right now is around 110 without withdrawals. For men the cutoff is higher, but the Netherlands will probably have 2 men's doubles teams.
  21. As expected, good start for , and also for at the European U19 Championships. We won our heats in JM1X, JM2X, JW2X and I'd honestly be surprised if we didn't win gold in those events. We also won our heat in JM2- and should win a medal tomorrow but I don't know yet what colour. JW2- a little disappointing, but they were in a tough heat and still qualified for the final. JM4- also a little disappointing but made the final. I'm not sure why 3 of our rowers were switched out at the last minute, maybe the original guys got Covid or something? JW4X no words, 7 crews and they were the only ones who couldn't make the final. I'm not sure why they were chosen when I think we have better girls who stayed home, but also they are a young team, Mouratidou for example in the bow seat is only 15. Hopefully changes are made for the World Championships.
  22. Yes but he is 35, almost 36 yo, and has never participated at the Olympics before, and this time it is in his home country!
  23. We haven't qualified in boxing since Beijing. For Tokyo we had 3 athletes lose quota bouts (1 had to withdraw due to injury). 20 yo Roulias is the only one this time who made it to a quota bout. Really hoping he can make it. I'm not sure why we only sent two women here. I thought the youngsters Giannkopoulou and/or Stavridou deserved a chance as well as Linardatou who did so well in the previous qualifying tournament.
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