MedalChampion

I think you have overestimated China and the USA. For now, the USA is 9 gold medals behind their previous Games, which would place them closer to 30 than 36. This is a gap that will be hard to make up.

Day 5 Update Right now, at the end of Day 5, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France: 5 gold medals (-6 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 9 gold medals (-3 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 8 gold medals (+5 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games: China - 35 gold medals USA - 33 gold medals France - 15 gold medals

Day 4 Update Right now, at the end of Day 4, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France: 4 gold medals (-5 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 6 gold medals (-3 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 5 gold medals (+3 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games: China - 35 gold medals USA - 34 gold medals France - 13 gold medals Of course, all of this can change very quickly, I will update this table regularly.

Right now, at the end of Day 3, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France: 3 gold medals (-4 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 5 gold medals (-1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) 5 gold medals (+4 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games) This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games: China - 37 gold medals USA - 35 gold medals France - 14 gold medals Of course, all of this can change very quickly, I will update this table regularly.

Compared to the predictions made before the Games, is France ahead of these predictions or not? Is there even a remote possibility for France to finish first in the rankings?