I really don't see the Men's Madison doing anything special, this combination of Hayter/Wood only finished 8th in a meeting in Ghent at the end of June involving many of the Olympic combinations, I'd be more confident if Tarling was in there.
5th or 6th in the medal table looks likely with 4th perhaps possible. 3rd is almost impossible as we have to win all of the Women's Madison, Sprint, Modern Pentathlon, the Heptathlon and have one of our taekwondo fighters step up to Gold + hope Australia don't win any further Golds.