2026 Winter Olympics - Very Early Predictions

[phelps 8,727]

5 minutes ago, copravolley said:

Vittozzi?

I hope she can do well, but I think she's not going to win any gold, as she's never been comfortable both with the shooting range and the altitude in Anterselva

 

I fear biathlon is going to be one of the biggest flops for us next year (the other disaster will come from the sliding sports, I'm pretty sure...rather, hopeless)

 

I think our medal table will heavily depend on the speedskating sports, on the big air events and on alpine snowboard, any other discipline's contribution is going to be marginal

[Josh 13,526]

On 12/2/2024 at 4:02 AM, Gianlu33 said:

Elia Barp? That's wishful thinking

I have more chances to become a billionaire

Sighel being the male athlete of the games for Italy is also wishful thinking with how dominant the Canadian men are at the moment  

 

Nothing Fontana has shown either that would prove she could be among the women to watch in long track speed skating. 

Edited December 4, 2024 by Josh

[orangeman 2,876]

On 11/29/2024 at 10:09 PM, rafalgorka said:

FINAL MEDAL TABLE - version 1.0 30.11.2024 early morning CET

 

 

17-11-9---37

14-13-12---39

12-8-16---36

10-8-6---24

9-10-10---29

9-10-6---25

7-5-13---25

7-5-4---16

6-5-7---18

5-11-10---26

5-9-4---18

5-5-2---12

2-2-4---8

2-2-1---5

2-1-1---4

1-2-3---6

1-2-1---4

1-1-2---4

1-0-1---2

0-2-1---3

0-2-0---2

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

Thank you for putting this together, it was fun to go through. From your keyboard to God's ears on Canada's short track team here (I believe you have us at 4-1-1, which is realistic if everything works out).

 

Leaving us off the podium in speed skating women's pursuit was interesting.

 

Three medals of any colour in curling would be celebrated at this point after two disasterous cycles.

 

In hockey, I'll always take our girls over the Americans (was "lucky" enough to see them lose in 2018 in person, though. Only time in 6 Games. Haha...hahahahaha...ha). 

 

For the men, I said above unless Canada finds a goaltender I'm not too optimistic. USA is just too well rounded. But lots can happen by then, and in a one game elimination tournament. 

[rafalgorka 1,821]

12 hours ago, orangeman said:

Thank you for putting this together, it was fun to go through. From your keyboard to God's ears on Canada's short track team here (I believe you have us at 4-1-1, which is realistic if everything works out).

 

Leaving us off the podium in speed skating women's pursuit was interesting.

 

Three medals of any colour in curling would be celebrated at this point after two disasterous cycles.

 

In hockey, I'll always take our girls over the Americans (was "lucky" enough to see them lose in 2018 in person, though. Only time in 6 Games. Haha...hahahahaha...ha). 

 

For the men, I said above unless Canada finds a goaltender I'm not too optimistic. USA is just too well rounded. But lots can happen by then, and in a one game elimination tournament. 

Thanks!

 

You are absolutely right, i must update Speed Skating W Team Pursuit predictions for sure.

 

If we're talking about hockey, I surely don't know much about this sport but i'll try to make some changes here as well.

 

Anyway, i'll try to update it every few weeks and we'll see how much wrong i am in Feb 2026.

Edited December 4, 2024 by rafalgorka

[orangeman 2,876]

On 12/4/2024 at 8:52 AM, rafalgorka said:

Thanks!

 

You are absolutely right, i must update Speed Skating W Team Pursuit predictions for sure.

 

If we're talking about hockey, I surely don't know much about this sport but i'll try to make some changes here as well.

 

Anyway, i'll try to update it every few weeks and we'll see how much wrong i am in Feb 2026.

You don't have to make any changes, especially when it comes to hockey. In one game elimination tournaments it's always 50/50. Anything can, and often does, happen. The last time NHLers participated was in 2014 and Canada dominated. But we had much, much, much better goaltending and even defence back then. Who knows what will happen in the next year. 

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Working on "if the olympics were this Christmas" predictions. Stay tuned.

[Bailer 159]

Well that would give Slovakia like 1 medal at max :(

[rafalgorka 1,821]

1 hour ago, Bailer said:

Well that would give Slovakia like 1 medal at max

Which event (in your opinion)?

[Bailer 159]

13 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Which event (in your opinion)?

I can't really decide between Alpine Skiing and Ski Mountaineering. Vlhová definitely has the skills and power to earn at least one more medal, even gold, and Jagerčíková is the current world champion in her event, although we know nothing about the sport and how it's gonna turn out at the Olympics.

 

Alright, I might have been too pessimistic:

Positive scenario: 2-4 medals (counting another Ice Hockey miracle)
Negative scenario: 1 medal

[Bailer 159]

On 12/15/2024 at 8:02 AM, rafalgorka said:

Working on "if the olympics were this Christmas" predictions. Stay tuned.

Are you planning on doing this during the holidays?