Topicmaster1010

I agree and I hope the other one is  in 1st 

March 2 Exhibition Games:
 
 Korea 3-3  Hanshin Tigers
 Japan 3-4  Orix Buffaloes
 
Games for Taiwan, Czechia and Australia cancelled due to rain.

My extremely optimistic prediction for  Canada, we'll get a big increase but I'm almost surely going to be all wrong because nothing ever seems to go right for us, there's always so many disappointments.... 
 
@intoronto @orangeman @NearPup @Topicmaster1010 @JoshMartini007 @Safe Dragonfly feel free to share any thoughts/anything that needs adding (if the numbers in rowing/shooting should be higher lower/disciplines should be different), and if I've made mistakes then corrections are welcome. 
 
Aquatics
Artistic Swimming: 2, can't be optimistic about everything. 
Diving: 7. Three of Cullen/Wiens/Tessier in M 10m (I think at this stage leaving one behind would be a mistake...), Two of Jasmin/Erlam/Vallee/Palkhivala in W 3m, Miller in W 10m and Two of Zsombor-Murray/Paul/Fofana/Ciprick in M 3 (leaning towards the first two)
Open Water Swimming: 2. One male, one female. Emma Finlin and Eric Brown. 
Swimming: 31. With the stroke 50s being added, slight increase from Paris. 
Waterpolo: 26. Women's team, for sure, given the extra quotas. Men's team will be battling Brazil for the Pan American Games quota, far from a given but I think it can happen (hmmmm, probably won't though) 
Archery: 2. One male, one female. Eric Peters is the frontrunner for the men, and Stephanie Barrett for the women (Esebua/Chenier/Brug/Hawash are also in the mix), but the men's team also has a small chance (with Deevang Gupta and one of Crispin Duenas/Reece Wilson-Potyon) maybe. 
Athletics: I know we had 48 in Paris but hear me out... 62 59. Boosted by some young talent coming through the pipelines and I think and hope the men's 4x400m relay can qualify. 
Badminton: 6. Victor Lai in men's singles, Michelle Li in women's singles, Lai/Yakura in men's doubles, Choi/Wu in women's doubles. No Lindeman/Wu in mixed doubles.
Baseball/Softball: 15. Qualification in softball. 
Basketball: 28 again. Men's team is stacked with NBA talent and should qualify through the World Cup or the Final Olympic Qualification Tournament, although with what happened in Tokyo we'll see. Women's team almost fucked up their qualification at the Olympic Qualifying Tournament last time, hopefully that won't happen again. Women's 3x3 team should qualify, Paige Crozon/Katherine Plouffe/Saicha Grant-Allen are probably locks and the last spot will be between Bosch/Brown. 
Boxing: 4. Tammara Thibeault is focusing on pro boxing at the moment, but has stated she wants redemption in LA 2028 in 75kg. Unfortunately, Viktoria Penney who's a promising youngster on our team, currently competes in 80kg and will probably drop down a weight-class because cutting down 10kg is a nightmare which means only one of them will be able to compete. Keoma Ali-Ahmadieh has shown some strong form at the World Championships last year, Joshua Orfi did as well. Bryan Coldwell also has a chance. With Scarlett Delgado, Mackenzie Wright, and Marie Al-Ahmadieh continuing, all of which barely missed out on quotas last squad, our women's squad will be hungry.
Canoeing: 15. Katie Vincent, and two of Sloan MacKenzie/Sophia Jensen/Zoe Wojtyk in women's canoeing. Full squad in kayaking, and Fitzpatrick in men's canoeing. Alex Baldoni and Daniel Parry in the men's canoe slalom events (Parry is a promising youngster, may be too soon though), and one of Lea Baldoni/Lois Betteridge in the women's canoe slalom events. 
Cricket: 0. Nope, no chance. Our men might have a chance if it was 12 teams, but 6 absolutely not. 
Cycling: 24. In BMX freestyle, 1-2 of Mike Varga/Maxime Chalifoux/Jeffrey Whaley in the men's event. In BMX racing, Molly Simpson in the women's event for sure, and while Lucas Zhou is in contention for the men, along with Ryan Tougas I think both will miss out. Cole Punchard and one of Gunnar Holmgren/Carter Woods/Tyler Orschel in men's mountain biking, and Jennifer Jackson and one of Isabella/Ava Holmgren/Emily Johnson/Ella MacPhee/Rafaelle Carrier in women's mountain biking. Alison Jackson and one of Magdalene Vallires Mill/Olivia Baril/Sarah Van Dam in women's road race, Hugo Houle and Derek Gee in men's road race. James Hedgcock, Nick Wammes, and Tyler Rourke/Ryan Dodyk in men's team sprint, Sarah Orban, Kelsey Mitchell and Lauriane Genest in women's team sprint, teams in women's and men's pursuit.
Equestrian: Full team of 9 athletes
Fencing: 14. Team in women's foil, women's epee (if US can finish top 4), men's sabre (same with previous), men's foil, one of Nicolas Zhang/Fynn Fafard/Leon Xiao/Dylan French in men's epee, and Pamela Brind'Amour in women's sabre if she hasn't retired yet. 
Field Hockey: 16. Based off the qualification system, I'll say yes. Women are in a rebuild, so probably won't finish ahead of all of Uruguay/Chile/Mexico, however for the men I think there's a decent chance if we can make it to the bronze medal match against probably Chile, but it'll be a battle.
Flag Football: 10. Tossup with only 6 teams per gender, but I'll say the women's team qualifies. 
Football: 18. Women's team. Men's team has a very small chance, depending on the qualifying event roster, but don't see it at all. 
Golf: 4. Two per gender, as is typical. Brooke Henderson and one of Anna Huang/Alena Sharp/Maude Aimee Leblanc/Aphrodite Deng for the women, a combination of Corey Connors, Nick Taylor, Taylor Pendrith, MacKenzie Hughes for the men. 
Gymnastics:  12. Men's and women's teams in artistic gymnastics both qualify, men's is less sure though. It'll be between Felix Dolci, Ioannis Chronopoulos, Zachary Clay, Jayson Ramperstad, Chris Kaji, William Emmard, René Cournoyer, Aiden Li, Samuel Zakutney for the men's spots. Ellie Black, Lia Monica Fontaine, Aurelie Tran, Sydney Turner, Laurie Denoumee, Ava Stewart, Gabrielle Black, Denelle Pendrick, Rose Woo, Cassie Lee, and Ana Padurariu/Shallon Olsen (could be retired in some form, either overall or NT) for the women's spots. Sophiane Methot should qualify in trampoline for the women (Milette has no chance with the qualification system, unfortunately), and one of Remi Aubin/Gavin Dodd/Keegan Soehn/Etienne Cloutier for the men.
Handball: 
Judo: 7. One of Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard or Jessica Klimkait in women's 63kg (right now I trust the former more, Klimkait has only switched weight classes recently though so I hope she can succeed in the transition and it'll be a tight internal battle), Christa Deguchi in women's 57kg, Evelyn Beaton in women's 52kg, and Coralie Godbout in women's 78kg (20th and 21st in the rankings, somewhat surprising), Francois Gauthier Drapeau in men's 81kg, Kyle Reyes in men's 100kg, Arthur Margelidon in men's 73kg (hasn't competed since Paris, if he's not in form maybe Justin Lemire), and I have Julien Frascadore in men's 66kg missing out. 
Lacrosse: 24. Men's and women's teams qualify, anything else will be unacceptable (something would have to seriously go wrong but... until it happens)
Modern Pentathlon: Ermmmmmmm (Unless the new format favours a Canadian? Maybe Schultz? No idea)
Rowing: Hopefully 25? Katie Clark in women’s single sculls, women's eights, men's eights, women's quadruple sculls, men's double sculls etc. No idea if we have any chance in costal rowing? I assume Pidgen is our best chance @phelps 
Rugby Sevens: 24. Women's and men's teams both qualify, with the US getting host quotas it makes getting the North American quota a lot easier.  
Sailing: 7. Antonia and Georgia Lewin-Lafrance in 49er FX, Madeline Gillis/Galen Richardson in nacra 17, Arie Moffat/Will Jones in 49er, and one of Ryan Anderson/James Juhasz/Carlos Charbati in ICLA 7 (last is young, so he might not even be competing in it by 2027)
Shooting: 1-?. Madeline Boyd in women's skeet. Alex Wong in men's skeet? Shannon Westlake? Ty Ikeda?
Skateboarding: 4. Unless Reece Nelson switches from vert to park in the next year, which I doubt it, only Fay Ebert in park, even though Evie Pritchard/Olivia Jiang also have chances. Three of Cordano Russell, Ryan Decenzo, Matt Berger, Micky Papa, Christopher Setinas in men's street. 
Sport Climbing: 1. Madison Richardson in women's boulder. Think the Bautrand's and Pitcher in men's speed will miss out. Probably too soon for Kelley in boulder, Le/Villeneuve in speed.  
Squash: 1. Hollie Naughton in the women's event. Baillargeon has fallen down the rankings and probably won't qualify.
Surfing: 3. Erin Brooks hopefully  (she should've competed in Tahiti...) and one of Sanoa/Mathea Olin in the women's event, Cody Young in the men's event. Levi Young and Wheeler Hasburgh miss out. 
Taekwondo: 3. Skylar Park in women's 57kg, one of Leonarda Andric (women's 67kg) or Josipa Kafadar (women's 49kg), and one of Nicholas Hoefling/Braven Park (men's 58kg), Tae-Ku Park (men's 68kg) for the men. Ella Brewster has to do better than Park if she wants to qualify, I don't see it happening. 
Table Tennis: 2. We have chances to qualify both teams, but nah. I think it'll just be Edward Ly in men's singles and Mo Zhang in women's singles. 
Triathlon: 4. 2 per gender, as usual. Tyler Mislawchuk and Charles Paquet for the men, One of Dominika Jamnicky/Sophia Howell/Desirae Ridenour and Emy Legault for the women.
Tennis: 8. FAA, Shapo, Diallo in men's singles. Mboko, Fernandez, Andresscu, Marino in women's singles. Dabrowski in doubles. 
Volleyball: 4. Both teams could qualify, and neither team could qualify. Just so I have as little expectations as possible, I'll say neither. Humana-Parades/Wilkerson should qualify in women’s beach volleyball, I’m really confused on what the pairing situation is like so I’ll say we won’t qualify a second female team (and Belanger/Monkhouse are a tossup), but I think Schachter/Pickett can qualify in men’s beach volleyball through the NORCECA event. 
Weightlifting: 2 again. Maude Charron in women's 59kg, and Etta Love in women's 81kg+. Alex Bellemare comes up just short in men's 85/95kg, TBD weight-class. 
Wrestling: 6. Not sure if he has citizenship yet, but Peiman Biabani in men's 65kg freestyle (unfortunate for MacNeil) and Amar Dhesi in men's 125kg freestyle for the men. Alex Moore (men's 86kg freestyle) misses out). For the women, Ana Godinez (women's 62kg), one of Karla Godinez/Hannah Taylor (women's 57kg), Olivia Di Bacco (women's 68kg), Serena Di Benedetto (women's 53kg)
 
Rundown
Artistic Swimming: 2-8
Diving: 6-8 hopefully
Open Water Swimming: 0-2
Swimming: 26-32
Waterpolo: 13-26
Archery: 2-4
Athletics: 50-62
Badminton: 4-8, singles and at least one doubles
Baseball/Softball: 15
Basketball: 16-28 (because of the unpredictability with the men, and disaster with the women)
Boxing: 2-6
Canoeing: 10-15, one of the K4's (probably the men if I had to guess) might miss out
Cricket: 0 and 0
Cycling: 15-24
Equestrian: 9
Fencing: 7-14
Field Hockey: 0-16
Flag Football: 0-20
Football: 18-36
Golf: 4
Gymnastics: 6-12
Judo: 5-8
Lacrosse: 24
Modern Pentathlon: 0 again 
Rowing: 13-29, right now
Rugby Sevens: 24
Sailing: 2-8, 49erFX then the rest are tossups along with Bugeja in kite
Shooting: 1-3, as usual
Skateboarding: 4
Sport Climbing: 0-1, maybe more if the US weren't able to get a second quota at Pan Ams but they are
Squash: 1-2, I see Baillargeon is still competing maybe
Surfing: 1-3
Taekwondo: 1-3
Table Tennis: 2-6
Triathlon: 4
Tennis: 5-8
Volleyball: 2-30, I expect the number to be higher than that, whether it's qualifying a team or two in indoor, or a men's quota/second women's quota in beach volleyball I'm not sure
Weightlifting: 1-3
Wrestling: 4-6, three in women's wrestling and one of the men above at least. 
 
12 teams, breaking our single games record of 9 set in 1976 at home in Montreal, and 439 athletes our highest total ever by a mile. 
 

Bronze for Miller/Fung in 10m synchro!
 
5th and 6th for Zsombor-Murray and Paul in 3m!

The WBC begins this week!! Here are my predictions that nobody asked for 
 
Pool A order (top 2 advance):     
Pool B order (top 2 advance):     
Pool C order (top 2 advance):     
Pool D order (top 2 advance):     
 
Semifinalists:    
Finalists:  
Winner: 
 
Two teams that qualify for LA28:  

FIBA Basketball World Cup 2027 Americas Qualifiers:
 -  81-97
(M.Carr- 17pts, K.Wiltjer- 16 pts, K.Robertson- 15pts)
 
The team currently sits undefeated with 8 points atop the Group C standings. Next stop in July with two home games vs Puerto Rico and Jamaica at the TD Coliseum in Hamilton.

Some changes that I've noticed:
 
3x3 Basketball: With the expanded 12 team field, one extra team per gender qualifies through world rankings, one extra team qualifies through the universality driven tournament and there's now an Olympic Qualifier series to award the final quotas.
 
Beach Volleyball: Continental qualifiers have have priority over the World championship and World Rankings quotas and there's now Olympic Qualifier Series quotas.
 
Canoe Sprint: World ranking system now in place and will be used instead of awarding world championship quotas.
 
Road Cycling: 2 nations ranking quotas per gender moved to universality.
 
Track Cycling: Sprint and Keirin ranking list is now combined and will award 14 quotas per gender. Previously it was 7+7. Team pursuit down to 8 quotas from 10. 2 of the quotas have been moved to madison (one additional team) and 6 to the omnium.
 
Fencing: Can get a Continental quota of you finished in the top 24 of the rankings. It was previously top 16. 
 
Hockey: 2 pro league quotas replace two qualification tournament quotas.
 
Judo: 5 less universality places and 4 more Continental places. For men, there's two more spots for Asia, one less for Oceania and 1 more for the Americas. For the women, there's one more spot for Europe, one less for Oceania and two more for Asia.
 
Modern Pentathlon: Less quotas awarded through world rankings as a result of quota cuts.
 
Open Water Swimming: Introduction of world ranking qualifier.
 
Sailing: In general, seems to be more quotas awarded at the last chance regatta and less quotas at the World Championships
 
Shooting: One less quota handed out at each World Championship and the return of World Cup qualifiers.
 
Swimming: Olympic qualification and consideration times renamed to A and B standard. B standard is now 1% slower than the A standard compared to 0.5% in 2024. Stroke 50s have their own direct qualification events and have minimum time standards instead of A and B standards. Qualification times have been nuked again. B standard selection process has also changed.
 
Volleyball: New revised format. Continental championships first, then world championships followed by world rankings. In 2024, it was 3 qualification tournaments and then world rankings. Only 3 countries per gender will qualify by world rankings now compared to 5 in 2024

Julia Snelgrove wins also bronze medal in women's mass start!!!

Some outstanding performances in Day 1 and 2 of the national indoor championships:
 
Women's 60mH: Mariam Abdul-Rashid delivers a championship record in the Women’s 60mH (8.03), rising to the occasion and shining bright on home soil in front of the Canadian crowd.
 
Women's 60m: Sadé McCreath smashes the Championship record with 7.12 in the 60m final, the fastest time in the nation this year and 13th in the world.

Men's 60m: In a thrilling final, Eliezer Adjibi surges at the line to claim the national title, stopping the clock at 6.64 to set a new Championship record. 
 
Women's Shot Put: Sarah Mitton with a 19.97m Championship record secures the national title, now focused on chasing the three-peat at the 2026 World Athletics Indoor Championships in Toruń, Poland.
 
In 1st day of  Men’s Heptathlon at the 2026 Canadian Indoor Championships:
Damian Warner leads the standings with 3,429 points.
Pierce LePage sits in second with 3,286 points.
 
Women's Pentathlon: Kendra Leger totals 3,812 points across five events to secure the national title in a commanding all-around performance.
 
 
 

14th for Cam Levins at the Tokyo Marathon, and at 36 years old sets the second best time of his career with 2:06:47! 

Karalis just cleared 6.07 and then 6.17 at our  Indoor National Championships! 

4th for Paul/Zsombor-Murray in synchro 3m at the Montreal WC!

Howden won race two of the Kopaonik WC, Jared Schmidt won the small final to finish 5th. 
 
Hannah Schmidt also won her small final in the women’s event, unfortunately Thompson went out in the quarterfinals. 

10th for Gagnon in women’s sprint free at the Fallun WC!

Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard wins silver at the Tashkent grand slam

Also a 5th and a 9th for Buck and Moisan in the women’s event. Good day of work for our alpine snowboarders. 

3rd place for Arnaud Gaudet in parallel giant slalom at the Krynica, Poland world cup!

From AC:
 
Kaiya Robertson continued her phenomenal season at the Husky Classic in Seattle, blazing 4:24.51 in the Mile to break the 10-year-old U23 Nrecord of 4:29.07 (pending ratification), previously held by Gabriela DeBues-Stafford.
 
(Indoors)

Tyler McGregor and Natalie Wilkie have been named opening ceremony flagbearers!

Silver for Drury in men’s ski cross during race one of the Kopaonik WC, unfortunately he got injured in a three-way crash during the big final and wasn’t able to attend the medal ceremony. 
 
4th for Howden, he crossed the line well in first but received a yellow card for line deviation. 
 
In the women’s event, Schmidt finished 4th and Thompson 5th

Like any Brazilian Olympic champion, Lucas met with our president today. An honor. 
 
He also reached 1 million followers on Instagram (he had around 300k before the Olympics).
 

Speed skating junior world championships:
Julia Snelgrove won silver medal in women's 500m

The disappointments still outweigh the positives, by a mile actually but well…(someone should make a thread for that?)
 
For  Canada, in no specific order;
A lot of these are similar to @Topicmaster1010's, but the same moments are standing out to me, there's also one that I'm not ready to mention yet because even though I'm proud of him, at the same time I'm still very disappointed about it. 
 
- Rachel Homan finally winning an Olympic medal after receiving a lot of hate after Pyeongchang 2018 and Beijing 2022 for not making the playoffs in either, she deserves this more than anyone. Also her triple takeout in the 8th against Sweden
- Entire cross country skiing team, no words to describe their performance, except saying they're easily the Canadian team of the Olympics and my expectations were blew out of the water. 
- Piper Gilles/Paul Porier winning an Olympic medal in ice dance, three years ago, Gilles had a cancer diagnosis which put her dreams in jeopardy. Also very special given how many times they've been screwed over by judges this season. 
- One of the greatest to ever do it in freestyle skiing, Mikael Kingsbury, winning gold in the Olympic debut of dual moguls in likely his last event at an Olympic Games.  
- "Sparky" Mark McMorris, coming back from that nasty hard crash during big air training, to not only compete in slopestyle, but finish third in qualifications and land a run in the final to finish 8th. 
- Brad Jacobs winning gold in men's curling as a big "fuck you" to everyone who has been accusing him of cheating online (I still like Edin but still), mostly people who don't understand curling ofc 
- Kelsey Mitchell fulfilling her dreams of becoming a dual summer-winter Olympian finishing 13th in 2-women bobsleigh, after only 8 months of competing in this sport. Insane! 
- Stephen Gogolev finishing 5th in the men's figure skating event, thought top 10-15 would've been what could realistically be expected.
- Megan Oldham winning her first Olympic medal with a bronze in slopestyle, then later on winning a gold in big air, after finishing 4th in big air in Beijing. 
- Deanna Stellato-Dudek becoming an Olympian after hitting her head during a training accident, which had her and Maxime Deschamps miss the figure skating team event.  
- Valerie Maltais winning three Olympic medals in speed skating at 35, team pursuit gold, and 1500m/3000m bronze. At most you could've hoped for 2, one of the 3000m/mass start and the team pursuit. Her winning a medal in the 1500m, can't have imagined it beyond my wildest dreams, it was her first international podium in this event. It's also likely her last Olympics. 
- Brendan Mackay coming up clutch on his last run to win an unexpected bronze in halfpipe as he didn't compete much this season, that being said he did win an event this season. 
- Laurent Dubreuil's surprise medal in the 500m in speed skating
- Courtney Sarault winning four medals, most medals by a Canadian at a Winter Olympics since Klassen in 2006, even though I choose to try and forget about short track. 
 
Then International Athletes, in no specific order;
 Johan-Olav Botn pointing to the heavens to honour Sivert-Guttorm Bakken   Benny Karl winning back-to-back golds in parallel giant slalom, ofc  Totallympian  @brunamoura's Olympic debut (we are all so proud of you) Men's freestyle skiing big air final, we were blessed with some insane tricks from the boys   I don’t know if I’ll be able to witness that high of a level in a competition in the next few decades  AJ Ginnis' farewell run, because it meant him becoming an Olympian  Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo creating history as the first athlete to win 6 Olympic golds in a single games One of the greatest alpine skiers of all time,  Federica Brignone, winning her long awaited Olympic gold, and a few days later winning another one, the more special one to me was the super-G though  Kacper Tomasiak becoming one of the breakout stars of the games with 3 medals  female biathlon team   Von Allmen with an incredible Olympic debut, with 3 golds   Nazgul, the dog, crossing the finish line during women's team sprint qualifications   Suvi Minkinnen and especially  Teresa Vobronikova winning bronze medals in biathlon    winning three medals in ski mountaineering, and especially Oriol Cardona Coll with the gold More on ski mountaineering,  Marianne Fatton winning gold in the women's event, she seems like a nice person and a great ambassador for the sport.   Mikhail Shaidorov upsetting Malinin to win gold in men's figure skating  Sturla Holm Lægrid admitting to cheating on his girlfriend publicly in an interview (kidding)   Nadja Käelin coming from out of nowhere, and having an incredible Olympics  Hassleborg and Isabella/Rasmus Wråna winning double gold for Sweden in curling, continuing their legacy in this sport, very happy for all of them as they are all some of my favourite curlers.  Tirinzoni winning an Olympic medal in what is likely to be her last Olympics after seeing how dominant she's been ever since the 2018-19 season, same with Pätz if she does hang up her broom.   Riku Miura/Ryuichi Kihara's WR in the pairs free skate   Viktor Thorup medal in the mass start, even though the race was boring  Eileen Gu winning gold in halfpipe, after her grandmother passed away the very same day. She didn't know about it until after the event, but I think to me with how she performed, her grandmother seemed to be giving her that extra bit of strength from above.  Medal for  Henry Sildaru in halfpipe, and not only a final but a top 8 for  Benjamin Lynch   Elina Ieva Bota winning a medal in women's singles luge  Finland’s success in nordic combined with 3 medals, Eero Hirvonen and Ilkka Herola   A few curling shots that stood out,  Mouat's run quadruple in the 7th end against Switzerland in the semifinals,  Muskatewitz's quadruple runback double in the 1st end against China and his spinner in the 5th end against Czechia (definitely a few that I'm missing) Just seeing how happy everyone was every time one of their athletes either medaled, or did better than expectations, definitely was one of them. 

Canada team for junior world championships that starts tomorrow in Germany 
 
https://speedskating.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/2026-Junior-World-Championships-Nomination.pdf#:~:text=o Marek Chomin o Gabriel Charest •,and returning March 1st%2C 2026%2C to Canada.