Those Gracenote predictions are a mess. They have Katie Vincent winning two medals, but she's only competing in one event... and also, the 4x100 free women's relay is mess. They are probably our least likely to medal (them of the 4x200 men). Used to be a strength, but is in sad shape now.
I figure we should surpass 25 fairly easily. Kinda figured we'd be around 28-29, but that may be some rose coloured glasses.
My estimates:
Swimming - 8-9 - McIntosh will win a bunch, 1 or 2 from the usual suspects, medley relays, and men should kick in a couple
Track - 7-8 - Katzberg, Rogers, Mitton, Warren are highly likely. LePage too if he's healthy. Arop is a favourite. 4x100 men probably. And between DeGrasse, Morales Williams, Ahmed, Sutherland, Dunfee and the 4x400 women they could win 1-2 between them.
Judo - 2 - DeGuchi is a heavy favourite, and Shady is a strong contender. A couple others have an outside chance
Track Cycling - 1-2 - Bibic has had some great results. Mitchell and Genest are coming off medals in Tokyo. Outside chances in the team events
Team Sports - 1-2 - Should get at least one medal out of basketball. Beach Volleyball is a strong possibility too.
Breaking - 1 - Phil Kim is a heavy favourite
Canoe Sprint - 1 - Vincent/MacKenzie are a favourite to medal, but Jensen has an outside shot too
The rest are kinds odds and ends where we can probably pick up a medal hear and there.
Rowing - Women's 8's have a decent shot of getting back on the podium.
Diving - Both 10m sychro events have a chance
Gymnastics - I think the women will finally get a medal, Black, Olsen and even the team have a chance
Weightlifting - Charon had to move weightclasses, but is still a coinflip to podium
Tennis - The doubles teams have an outside shot
Golf - I have Henderson with a small chance
Martial arts - Thibeault in boxing and Park in Taekwondo maybe. Also have four wrestlers that are longshots
Team Sports - Women's soccer always seem to find magic at the Olympcs. Rugby and volleyball are long shots
Archery - I think Eric Peters has a chance
Fencing - My longshot of longshots... the womens Team Foil