RussB

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I don't think any of us here would discount Andrews at all, in either the keirin or the individual sprint. In fact I think all we have said is that the Keirin is genuinely open. In terms of winning the gold medal, I think about 6 ladies have realistic chances, which is great and more unpredictable than most of the track events. It will be interesting to see how Andrews comes back and where she slots into the pack. However, not to recognise Finucane as the number 1 women's sprinter right now, who is clearly becoming more accomplished at the Keirin recently (and therefore has to be considered to have strong chances for Paris) is a strange hill to die on in my view. It was a dominating performance this weekend in HK across all 3 disciplines and that's where we are right now. Come Paris the story may very well be different...looking forward to seeing the racing in 4-5 months time (hopefully in person if I can sneak a spare ticket when the exchange site opens) :D

This would be the most satisfying I agree. I wonder what “illness” Jakob will claim this time if he gets beaten

This is almost impossible as for some nations it's very hard to know what the individuals will target on the endurance side. My 2 cents: Women's omnium - 1.Wollaston. 2. Kopecky 3. Archibald Men's omnium - very open competition - Hayter Bibic Thomas and Gate will be near the top I'd have guessed. Women's pursuit - 1. NZ 2. GB 3. Aus [The 1/2 is a 50:50 toss up for me right now] Men's pursuit - 1. GB 2. Italy 3. Denmark Women's sprint - 1. GB 2. Germany 3. China Men's sprint - 1. Australia 2. Netherlands 3. Japan Individual sprint (W) - 1. Finucane 2. Friedrich 3. Gros/Hinze Individual sprint (M) - 1. Harry L 2. Richardson 3. Ota Madison - no idea on pairings yet Keirin - who knows!

No Olympic champions in Athletics is really not a good look for a nation with the resources of GB. The historic weakness across all of the field events is something that has been failed to be addressed and we are almost entirely dependent on our middle distances runners. UK Athletics will be keeping everything crossed someone steps up massively in the summer to give the squad at least one golden moment. Molly being the one that could generate most publicity.

The “indeed” man is killing me and I still can’t believe neither of them actually asked the Gadirova twins about when they were realistically aiming for in their recovery.

She is probably the bookmakers favourite in all 3 but if you break it down I'd estimate her chances right now at: Team Sprint 50-60% Individual Sprint 65-75% Keirin - 25%-30%

As it stands I think you have to take Becky on the uneven bars and hope she makes the final.

As an add on; the Gadirova twins were just on the BBC coverage. Jen said it “would be hard” for either of them to make Paris and it generally didn’t sound like either is targeting it right now. Jess did mention she is moving into the next stage of her recovery, finishing the Strength work she has been doing lately.

She has had many disappointing results in the event despite her successes in the individual sprint over the past 2 years, tactically she has appeared to get caught out so I don’t think a “favourite” tag can be said with any degree of certainty. Come Paris this event could be really wide open. However, there is a chance that if she arrives in dominating form she could feasibly go for all 3 titles.

Finucane dominating her Kierin semi final (quite a loaded semi with Gros and Friedrich) is exciting to see. She should be a contender in Paris. Will be hoping to take the form into the final and win the competition here.

It’s just a really unfortunate set of circumstances. Still, on the positive side, Ondine still has a chance at a minor medal in the all around. She would need to put together the competition of her life but she should be in the mix.

Megan Keith is a very exciting talent - so pleased she has made the time so early on this year !

From all of their injuries it would seem Poppy Stickler has the best chance of making it back, from the vertebrae and hip issues. Jess with an ACL surgery in December I don’t see how she can be ready for selection in June. Jen’s recovery seems harder to gauge as it has taken longer than expected, perhaps slightly more hope for her than her sister

On the women's side Ondine scores a 55.9 which is competitive (would have placed 4th at World's last year), but beyond that...Rebecca Downie hits a 14.350 on uneven bars to boost her chances. No Kinsella. Ruby Evans takes 2nd with 53.2 and Abigail Martin 3rd with 52.450. Clear that without the Gadirova twins the GB women are light, such a shame.

His second vault got a 14.8 so absolutely cost him the all round. Jarman ‘s floor is competitive in an individual final… such a high ceiling if he has a routine that is clean

Joe manages a 14.250! Better

Strong p bars from Joe (14.700) and Jake (14.650), Max score adjusted downwards to a 14.150 on the app

It seems from my perspective that the team is looking like: Fraser Jarman Hepworth Whitlock and Gianni (if he was fit) or Hall/ Tulloch (if not)

Tulloch only a 14.3 on rings.

My interpretation is that he feels quite assured of a place in the team to be managing his workload at Champs…

Harry Hepworth with a 14.650 on rings is more positive news.

Is there a broadcast available to watch for UK viewers? I watched round 1 on Discovery plus but there doesn't seem to be any available feed for Hong Kong? The results indicated that Friedrich got given race 1 on a deadheat with Emma winning the next two. She should be able to take down Gros in the final from recent form...I hope she can deliver a good result in the Kierin too...with her speed she should be competitive in a very open Olympic event

My comment is limited to team sprint. The men's kierin looks likely to go to Harry but the women's is really open.

So you have Germany as favs for the team sprint in Paris right now? I’d very much prefer to be backing the GB horse at this moment in time. Feels like they are progressing and on an upward curve. the value of “favs” tag this far out is limited though I concede, somebody has to be favourite !