When is the first realistic medal chance of the Games for your nation? When do you think your nation will get their first medal and in which event?
Day 1, being pessimistic, optimistic and realistic
First medal event of Olympic Games - Women's 10m Air Rifle. World no 1 Elavenil . She's shooting great especially in qualifications and has 100% record in finals, ie never came empty handed after reaching finals in international stage in seniors. The only time she won silver was in Naples at Summer Universiade . It was all gold other than that.
If we do get a shock no medal from Elavenil or Apurvi we'll go to the 2nd event of the Olympic Games, Women's -49kg weightlifting. Mira did 86+119 = 205 at asian champs and Hou did 96+117=213kg. It was later found to be a back injury and she went to US for the treatment and is consistently doing 90+120=210kg. She'll directly fly to Tokyo from US so no injury, no covid ,no bomb out in snatch i hope she breaks the national record, surely medal will come as 4th best lifter is at 195kg ,quite behind .
Then coming to 10m Air Pistol. Saurab Chaudhary got covid yet he seems to be on another planet. Consistently shooting 590+ in Qualification except for a few tournaments. I'm sure he'll do well in finals and win a medal.
Archery Mixed Team. It could be India's first couple to medal depending on ranking scores. Still archery is like a lucky draw unless your from Korea.
I expect minimum 1 gold and 1 other medal on day 1.
Is there a bumper day for your nation where you expect more than one or a few medals to come? If so, what day?
Day 1 only.
Day 4 we have mixed team rifle and pistol. We're unbeaten in Mixed Team Pistol since Manu competed with Saurab and have medalled in all mixed rifle events
Is there a day when you expect to have not so much competitors from your nation competing or no chances for medals?
I'm afraid Day 16 unless we have a finalist in -75kg or -60kg Women's Boxing. Starting week Shooting,Archery ,Hockey, Badminton,, Boxing... When Shooting ends wrestling will have our attention.