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2026 Winter Olympics - Very Early Predictions


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1 hour ago, JockCartier said:

 

I don't medal pick, per se... I assign probabilities/expected-values and total them up. So I don't have a gold medal estimate... but if you want one, divide those numbers by three and you'll be pretty close!

 

I imagine Norway, Italy and Netherlands and maybe Canada will probably skew a bit higher on golds, and US, Germany, and Sweden will skew a little lower... so maybe:

Norway - 14

US - 11

Germany - 11

Italy - 11
Canada - 10

Austria - 8

Netherlands - 8

Japan - 7

Sweden - 6

France.- 6

 

I was surprised seeing Italy come in that high, I was figuring 22-23, but I guess they've been do well on the World Cups. 

For me 20 medals will be good. And if more there are? Super. However, I prefer not to get my hopes up too much, so as not to be disappointed later.

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