[POLL-TRACK CYCLING] Which country will win the Track Cycling medal tally at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024?

[RussB 189]

  On 6/21/2024 at 3:37 AM, Nish said:

Love how everyone is underestimating Team NZ 

 

8 medals contenders 

5 real shot at medals 

 

• Men’s Madison (Gate and Stewart)
• Men’s Omnium (Gate)
• Men’s Team Pursuit (Gate, Stewart, Sexton, Hornblow)
• Women’s Team Pursuit (Botha, Wollaston, Shearman, Shields)
• Omnium (Wollaston)
• Madison (Wollaston and Botha)
• Women’s Sprint (Andrews)
• Women’s Keirin (Andrews)
• Women’s Team Sprint (Andrews, Patch and Fulton)

 

It’s okay to underestimate the little ol’ kiwis. Just a reminder, 8 medals at UCI World Cup last year. Domination in Nations Cup since then. 

 

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Not sure how I’ve underestimated them:

I said I expect them to win 2 golds in women’s team pursuit and Omnium (plus the men’s Madison is wide open and could frankly go in any direction, including NZ). 
 

A variety of silver/bronzes in the other events you mention too would seem like a fair prediction.

[Nish 7]

  On 6/21/2024 at 8:08 AM, RussB said:

Not sure how I’ve underestimated them:

I said I expect them to win 2 golds in women’s team pursuit and Omnium (plus the men’s Madison is wide open and could frankly go in any direction, including NZ). 
 

A variety of silver/bronzes in the other events you mention too would seem like a fair prediction.

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I didn’t mean that Team NZ would sweep gold medals. I just meant total medal haul could be well beyond expected based on the what people are predicting on here. I didn’t mean you specifically. Infact you are one of the few (or maybe the only one besides me) who has consistently mentioned of Team NZ do fairly well. 

Edited June 21, 2024 by Nish
At

[RussB 189]

  On 6/21/2024 at 8:13 AM, Nish said:

I didn’t mean that Team NZ would sweep gold medals. I just meant total medal haul could be well beyond expected and the way people are predicting on you. I didn’t mean you specifically. Infact you are one of few (or maybe the only one besides me) who has consistently mentioned of Team NZ do fairly well. 

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New Zealand’s only issue I think to a high medal haul is that Gate and Wollaston are going to have such a high workload with the multiple rounds of team pursuit, the Omnium and then the Madison. 
 

But yep the team should do very nicely! In terms of medals I have them finishing above Netherlands…it’s not hugely unlikely to me they finish 2nd in terms of overall medal count.

[Faramir 373]

I'm fine with two gold medals in team pursuits for  and one omnium medal.

[Josh 11,026]

For  hopefully one medal out of Bibic (men’s omnium), Michell (women’s sprint/keirin), and Genest (women’s keirin/sprint)

Edited June 21, 2024 by Josh

[Nish 7]

  On 6/21/2024 at 8:29 AM, Faramir said:

I'm fine with two gold medals in team pursuits for  and one omnium medal.

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Are you predicting that?

[Faramir 373]

  On 6/21/2024 at 9:36 AM, Nish said:

Are you predicting that?

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Event by event prediction? let's say yes.

Number of expected medals prediction? Rough estimate without thinking too much, something like 1.3 golds and 3-3.5 medals

[RussB 189]

  On 6/21/2024 at 10:02 AM, Faramir said:

Event by event prediction? let's say yes.

Number of expected medals prediction? Rough estimate without thinking too much, something like 1.3 golds and 3-3.5 medals

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Italy are quite big underdogs against New Zealand in the women’s pursuit.

 

mens team pursuit is very competitive between the big 3 - I’d have GB marginal favs given form this year.

[Faramir 373]

  On 6/21/2024 at 12:41 PM, RussB said:

Italy are quite big underdogs against New Zealand in the women’s pursuit.

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big underdogs? Seems a little exaggerated, what time do you think New Zealand can set?

[Dragon 1,893]

  On 6/21/2024 at 12:47 PM, Faramir said:

big underdogs? Seems a little exaggerated, what time do you think New Zealand can set?

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Before yesterday I had  winning by around a second and a half with  and  very close for silver.

Archibald's injury may cost 2-3 seconds lost for GBR