Mikayel Mikayelyan - Cross Country Skiing
Dario Cologna - Cross Country Skiing
Lizzy Yarnold - Skeleton
I hope GB wins more than 2 medals . Only for the reason that we are finally starting to develop as a serious (ish) winter sport nation across a range of sports and if the team fails to hit their medal target of at least 4 medals I'm worried about funding being harshly cut from winter olympic sports just when we need to be investing in them.
I've got my fingers crossed for at least 1 medal in Short Track, 1 medal in Skeleton/Bobsleigh, 1 medal in Curling and 1-2 medals across the snow sports, that would be a great result and ensures UK Sport invests in a range of winter sports towards 2022.
ExpandNorway, Austria and Latvia are missing their ice hockey teams?
Austria and Latvia are, but Norway still have theirs. Looks like Norway's losses have come from a range of sports, Snowboarding down from 9 to 5, no Luge athletes this time, Freestyle Skiing down from 11 to 8, there's not really an obvious place where they have lost their quota from?
Changes in Team Sizes since 2014: (Non-Host Nations participating in both games and minimum change of +/-4 athletes)
China (+15)
Belgium (+14)
United States (+12)
Croatia (+8)
Italy (+8)
Japan (+8)
Belarus (+7)
Czech Republic (+6)
New Zealand (+6)
Denmark (+5)
Israel (+5)
Slovenia (+5)
Poland (+4)
Sweden (+4)
-------------------------------------
Brazil (-4)
Serbia (-4)
Kazakhstan (-6)
Slovakia (-6)
Netherlands (-8)
Spain (-8)
Australia (-9)
France (-9)
Ukraine (-10)
Latvia (-23)
Austria (-24)
Norway (-25)
Spain and New Zealand should be on that list, both of them have decent chances for a medal in figure Skating/snowboarding?
ExpandGreedy as hell.
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Their athletes in alpine skiing literally haven't competed in any int. event.
They've all had a bit of experience! But not for a few years - they have all competed in Iran and some in junior races in Kazakhstan.
Also their cross country skiers were pretty good at a race in Russia so if they would have bothered they probably could have qualified anyway.
Expand12
So this means 12 (!) South Korean players will be kicked out of the team 2 weeks before the Olympics? That'd be terribly sad...
Not quite - there will be 23 South Koreans and 12 North Koreans, so technically only 2 South Koreans will miss out as a usual sized team is 25. 22 athletes are selected for each match and at least 3 North Koreans must feature in each match.
North Korea will compete with 22 athletes at the 2018 Olympics.
There will be 12 women’s ice hockey players joining a unified team.
10 other athletes will compete in figure Skating, short Track speed skating, cross country skiing and Alpine Skiing.
Interesting news here about North Korea:
Looks like the IOC will be funding 5-10 North Korean winter sports athletes with the FIS and ISU to participate in qualification events and training camps. They should be able to qualify in Figure Skating, Short Track Speed Skating and Cross Country Skiing, so hopefully the support is going to these athletes.
2 North Korean cross country skiers have just both scored under 300 points in a race in Russia, Han Chun Gyong (251 points) and Pak Il-Chol (295). Their women both got around 350 points. So it definitely looks like we will see North Korean cross country skiers in South Korea for the Olympics!
Had a little look and there are few more chances for some of the countries here to qualify:
Colombia in Alpine Skiing (Michael Poettoz has got multiple runs under 140 FIS poits and should be already qualified)
Malaysia in Alpine Skiing (Jeffrey Webb again has multiple runs under 140 FIS Points and should qualify for Malaysia)
Both now depend on whether the National Federation will agree to send them but I can't see why not.
Expand
North Korea suddenly has a bunch of alpine and cross-country skiers registered on FIS (some of them competing already).
Looks like they really want to be in South Korea for some reason.
To be honest politics aside they are an ideal country to develop winter sports, good snowy conditions and good bulk of gymnasts and sportspeople for ice sports! I know they've recently opened the first ski resort in North Korea so I wouldn't be surprised if they try and develop it over time. They must want to make their presence felt in South Korea at the Olympics but coming in as one of the last finishers in Cross Country skiing or Alpine doesn't really do that. They'd do better trying to qualify their figure skating pair that won a medal at the Asian games who have a more realistic chance of a good placing
Do you know if we are going to open individual qualification threads for each sport, because if so some sports are already quite a way into qualification and some big events are coming up soon?
GREAT BRITAIN
Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang
Ski Sports
Alpine Skiing (3-4) - 2 basic quota, plus potentially 2 quota for athletes ranked in the Top 30 (Dave Ryding Slalom, Alexandra Tilley Slalom or Giant Slalom)
Likely athletes to qualify: Dave Ryding, Alexandra Tilley, Jack Gower/Charlie Raposo (for 2nd male spot) and Charlotte Guest (for 2nd female spot)
Cross Country Skiing (4-6) - 2 basic quota, plus 2 quota for being ranked in top 300 (Andrew Musgrave 41st Distance, Andrew Young 10th Sprint, Annika Taylor 147th Sprint). Potentially 2 Top 30 points list quota (Young 10th, Musgrave 41st (even higher with new 12.71 points score from most recent WC moving him 22nd). There is a question over whether the BOA will accept all these quota, considering Musgrave and Young will have single handedly won them all and Callum Smith is the only other British male ranked inside the top 1000. Likely athletes to qualify: Andrew Musgrave, Andrew Young, Callum Smith, Annika Taylor, Sarah Hale and James Clugnet (potential 4th male spot)
Ski Jumping (0) - Never say never - but gone are the days of Eddie the Eagle!!
Nordic Combined (0)
Freestyle Skiing (6-9) -
AERIALS: Llyod Wallace on qualification borderline SKI CROSS: Emily Sarsfield on qualification borderline HALFPIPE: Tough ask but Molly Summerhays, Rowan Cheshire and Madison Rowlands can all qualify, Muuray Buchan on the borderline on the mens side SLOPESTYLE: James Woods should qualify, Isabel Atkin and Katie Summerhays should qualify as well, Anna Vincenti possibly.
Snowboarding (5-7) -
SBX: Zoe Gillings-Brier should qualify SLOPESTYLE/BIG AIR: Jamie Nicholls, Billy Morgan, Rowan Coultas fo the men and Katie Omerod and Aimee Fuller for the women. HALFPIPE: Outside chance for Ayla Thidling to qualify.
Biathlon (1-2) - Probably 1 in each gender!
Skating Sports
Speed Skating (0) - Nope
Short Track Speed Skating (4-10) - Potential for both genders to qualify a relay team. If not, then for the women Elise Christie and Charlotte Gilmartin should qualify, maybe too soon for Kathryn Thompson and Jennifer Pickering both born in 1996/7. On the Men's side without a relay 2 or 3 quota is possible and will be between Richard Shoebridge, Joshua Cheetham, Jack Whelbourne and Farrell Treacy.
Figure Skating (2-3) - Chance for Phillip Harris to qualify in men's singles, his scores have consistently improved this season. Penny Coomes and Nick Buckland haven't competed this season due to Penny's injury but hopefully they can qualify in the Ice Dance.
Sleigh Sports
Luge (0-1) - Now we are competing on the Nations Cup and have the same training facilities/coaches as the skeleton program so by 2022 we should have a strong team.
Skeleton (3-5) - The woman can qualify 3 athletes with Lizzie Yarnold, Laura Deas and Donna Creighton/Ashleigh Pittaway-Fay, but 2 at worse. The men will be between 1 (Dom Parsons) and 2 if anyone else can join him high up in the rankings.
Bobsleigh (8-11) - Should qualify 2x4-man, 1-2x2-man and 1x2-woman.
Team Sports
Curling (12) - All teams should qualify
Ice Hockey (0) - Already out
Total Optimistic Prediction - (70)
Total Pessimistic Prediction - (48)
Total Realistic Prediction - (59)
ExpandNo live Olympics on German TV in 2018, 2020, 2022 and 2024, only on Eurosport..
Which is a huge shame especially for winter sports, because German TV is where I basically get all my live winter sports every winter
Thank god in Britain we have a law that the Olympic Games must be shown live on free to air TV!
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Maybe they should have let the North Korean mass games organisers do this ceremony, would have been even more spectacular!
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